City of Durham
North East · County constituency · County Durham
About the City of Durham constituency
City of Durham is a county constituency in the North East. The sitting MP is Mary Kelly Foy (Labour), MP since December 2019. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 47.1% to 18.1% for Reform UK, a majority of 11,757 votes on a 57.6% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 39.9% and Reform UK on 20.5%, a margin of 19.4 points.
Who lives in City of Durham? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did City of Durham vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of City of Durham
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
City of Durham within County Durham
City of Durham sits entirely within County Durham Council. County Durham was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| County Durham | 100% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont | Labour 49.5%vs Reform 17.7% | 2025 Lib Dem 40.2%vs Reform 29.6%2025 ward: Belmont, covering 78% of this ward | - | 39.0% |
| Brandon | Labour 50.6%vs Reform 19.1% | 2025 Green 35.0%vs Reform 27.1%2025 ward: Brandon, covering 100% of this ward | - | 36.0% |
| Deerness | Labour 51.4%vs Reform 18.9% | 2025 Reform 38.9%vs Labour 25.8%2025 ward: Deerness, covering 88% of this ward | - | 37.0% |
| Durham South | Labour 45.9%vs Lib Dem 18.2% | 2025 Lib Dem 38.6%vs Labour 27.7%2025 ward: Elvet, Gilesgate & Shincliffe, covering 100% of this ward | - | 28.0% |
| Elvet and Gilesgate | Labour 49.5%vs Lib Dem 17.5% | 2025 Lib Dem 38.6%vs Labour 27.7%2025 ward: Elvet, Gilesgate & Shincliffe, covering 100% of this ward | - | 28.0% |
| Esh and Witton Gilbert | Labour 42.8%vs Reform 18.9% | 2025 Lib Dem 48.0%vs Reform 33.0%2025 ward: Langley & Esh, covering 60% of this ward | - | 37.0% |
| Framwellgate and Newton Hall | Labour 42.9%vs Reform 19.0% | 2025 Lib Dem 55.7%vs Labour 18.4% | - | 42.0% |
| Neville's Cross | Labour 42.6%vs Lib Dem 19.4% | 2025 Lib Dem 52.5%vs Labour 21.1% | - | 31.0% |
| Sherburn | Labour 48.8%vs Reform 18.9% | 2025 Reform 35.7%vs Lib Dem 31.1%2025 ward: Pittington & Sherburn, covering 50% of this ward | - | 38.0% |
| Willington and Hunwick | Labour 46.0%vs Reform 19.5% | 2025 Reform 50.4%vs Labour 26.4% | - | 38.0% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for City of Durham at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won City of Durham at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Roberta Blackman-Woods | 44.3% | 13.3% | 37.7% | 3,067 | 67.2% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Roberta Blackman-Woods | 47.3% | 22.2% | 11.3% | 11,439 | 66.5%-0.7 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Roberta Blackman-Woods | 55.4% | 29.8% | 9.9% | 12,364 | 67.9%+1.4 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Mary Foy 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 40.9% | 31.9% | 16.9% | 4,657 | 70.4%+2.5 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Mary Foy | 47.1% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 11,757 | 57.6%-12.8 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like City of Durham
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to City of Durham. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Employed46.1 / 48.6vs 57.3
- ↓Leave43.3 / 45.3vs 53.2
- ↑Under 3537.1 / 38.2vs 30.2
- ↓Leave43.3 / 47.0vs 53.2
- ↓Employed46.1 / 51.6vs 57.3
- ↓Leave43.3 / 50.3vs 53.2
- ↓Employed46.1 / 54.9vs 57.3
- ↑Under 3537.1 / 36.0vs 30.2
- ↓Employed46.1 / 51.1vs 57.3
- ↓Leave43.3 / 45.9vs 53.2
- ↓Employed46.1 / 53.3vs 57.3
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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