Croydon West
London · Borough constituency · Croydon borough
About the Croydon West constituency
Croydon West is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Sarah Jones (Labour), first elected in June 2017. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 54.1% to 16.8% for the Conservatives, a majority of 14,226 votes on a 48.9% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 46.0% and the Conservatives on 20.3%, a margin of 25.7 points.
Who lives in Croydon West? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Croydon West vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Croydon West
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Croydon West within Croydon
Croydon West sits entirely within Croydon Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Croydon | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bensham Manor | Labour 54.0%vs Conservative 15.4% | May 2026 Labour 37.0%vs Green 26.6% | Labour share -17.0pp | 32.8% |
| Broad Green | Labour 55.9%vs Conservative 14.8% | May 2026 Labour 44.1%vs Green 23.8% | Labour share -11.8pp | 32.1% |
| Fairfield | Labour 49.8%vs Conservative 17.2% | May 2026 Green 43.9%vs Labour 28.4% | Labour→Green +26.6pp | 31.1% |
| Selhurst | Labour 54.8%vs Conservative 14.1% | May 2026 Labour 43.1%vs Green 28.9% | Labour share -11.8pp | 30.1% |
| South Norwood | Labour 56.3%vs Conservative 16.1% | May 2026 Green 36.3%vs Labour 33.8% | Labour→Green +24.2pp | 36.7% |
| Waddon | Labour 51.2%vs Conservative 23.1% | May 2026 Labour 35.1%vs Conservative 24.4% | Labour share -16.1pp | 37.5% |
| West Thornton | Labour 55.5%vs Conservative 15.2% | May 2026 Labour 38.9%vs Green 20.4% | Labour share -16.6pp | 33.7% |
| Woodside | Labour 51.1%vs Conservative 18.3% | May 2026 Labour 36.8%vs Green 30.8% | Labour share -14.4pp | 38.5% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Croydon West at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Croydon West at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Malcolm Wicks Croydon North MP | 56.0% | 24.1% | 14.0% | 16,481 | 60.6% |
| 2015predecessor | Lab hold | Steve Reed Croydon North MP | 62.6% | 22.7% | 3.6% | 21,364 | 62.3%+1.7 |
| 2017predecessor | Lab hold | Steve Reed Croydon North MP | 74.2% | 19.9% | 2.8% | 32,365 | 68.2%+5.9 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Steve Reed Croydon North MP, pre-review boundary | 66.7% | 21.5% | 7.0% | 20,090 | 62.8% |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Sarah Jones | 54.1% | 16.8% | 9.6% | 14,226 | 48.9%-13.9 |
Croydon West was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Croydon North (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Croydon West
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Croydon West. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Owner-occupied39.9 / 34.1vs 61.9
- ↑Private rent36.1 / 35.6vs 20.2
- ↓Age 65+11.7 / 13.9vs 22.7
- ↓Owner-occupied39.9 / 26.8vs 61.9
- ↑Private rent36.1 / 36.0vs 20.2
- ↓Age 65+11.7 / 8.6vs 22.7
- ↓Owner-occupied39.9 / 41.4vs 61.9
- ↓Age 65+11.7 / 13.1vs 22.7
- ↑Under 3537.5 / 34.9vs 30.2
- ↓Owner-occupied39.9 / 39.3vs 61.9
- ↓Age 65+11.7 / 10.2vs 22.7
- ↑Under 3537.5 / 38.3vs 30.2
- ↓Owner-occupied39.9 / 49.9vs 61.9
- ↓Leave45.8 / 46.3vs 53.2
- ↓Age 65+11.7 / 15.4vs 22.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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