Derby North
East Midlands · Borough constituency · Derby borough
About the Derby North constituency
Derby North is a borough constituency in the East Midlands. The sitting MP is Catherine Atkinson (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 45.5% to 23.7% for the Conservatives, a majority of 8,915 votes on a 56.9% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 36.0% and Reform UK on 26.6%, a margin of 9.4 points.
Who lives in Derby North? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Derby North vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Derby North
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Derby North within Derby
Derby North sits entirely within Derby Council. Derby was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Derby | 100% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbey | Labour 50.6%vs Reform 20.1% | 2023 Labour 62.9%vs Lib Dem 13.3% | - | 27.7% |
| Chaddesden East | Labour 44.8%vs Conservative 27.4% | 2023 Conservative 47.5%vs Labour 35.0% | - | 30.0% |
| Chaddesden North | Labour 44.8%vs Conservative 21.5% | 2023 Labour 36.6%vs Lib Dem 35.8% | - | 24.0% |
| Chaddesden West | Labour 46.6%vs Conservative 22.7% | 2023 Labour 49.4%vs Conservative 37.3% | - | 23.0% |
| Darley | Labour 50.6%vs Conservative 20.4% | 2023 Labour 63.8%vs Conservative 15.2% | - | 48.1% |
| Littleover | Labour 43.0%vs Conservative 21.7% | 2023 Lib Dem 51.5%vs Labour 32.2% | - | 40.5% |
| Mackworth & New Zealand | Labour 49.7%vs Conservative 25.5% | 2023 Labour 40.9%vs Conservative 40.3% | - | 30.0% |
| Mickleover | Labour 33.1%vs Conservative 32.9% | 2023 Conservative 46.4%vs Lib Dem 27.0% | - | 45.9% |
| Normanton | Labour 46.8%vs Reform 15.9% | 2023 Labour 71.7%vs Conservative 12.5% | - | 47.5% |
| Oakwood | Conservative 37.2%vs Labour 34.1% | 2023 Conservative 64.2%vs Labour 21.7% | - | 35.0% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Derby North at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Derby North at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Chris Williamson | 33.0% | 31.7% | 28.0% | 613 | 63.1% |
| 2015 | Con gain from Lab | Amanda Solloway | 36.6% | 36.7% | 8.6% | 41 | 64.1%+1.0 |
| 2017 | Lab gain from Con | Chris Williamson | 48.5% | 44.4% | 4.6% | 2,015 | 69.6%+5.5 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Amanda Solloway 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 39.8% | 45.2% | 7.3% | 2,540 | 65.4%-4.2 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Catherine Atkinson | 45.5% | 23.7% | 4.5% | 8,915 | 56.9%-8.5 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Derby North
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Derby North. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Under 3534.8 / 35.4vs 30.2
- ↑Under 3534.8 / 33.6vs 30.2
- ↑Under 3534.8 / 35.9vs 30.2
- ↑Under 3534.8 / 32.6vs 30.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.