Leeds North East
Yorkshire and The Humber · Borough constituency · Leeds borough
About the Leeds North East constituency
Leeds North East is a borough constituency in Yorkshire and The Humber. The sitting MP is Fabian Hamilton (Labour), first elected in May 1997. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 51.5% to 15.9% for the Conservatives, a majority of 16,083 votes on a 64.4% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 41.3% and the Greens on 18.2%, a margin of 23.1 points.
Who lives in Leeds North East? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Leeds North East vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Leeds North East
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Leeds North East within Leeds
Leeds North East sits entirely within Leeds Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alwoodley | Labour 43.7%vs Conservative 25.6% | May 2026 Conservative 57.4%vs Green 14.0% | Labour→Conservative +30.7pp | 47.8% |
| Chapel Allerton | Labour 59.1%vs Green 13.1% | May 2026 Green 45.1%vs Labour 38.0% | Labour→Green +26.6pp | 42.8% |
| Moortown | Labour 51.8%vs Conservative 14.5% | May 2026 Labour 32.9%vs Green 29.2% | Labour share -18.8pp | 49.1% |
| Roundhay | Labour 50.9%vs Green 14.7% | May 2026 Labour 38.1%vs Green 37.3% | Labour share -12.8pp | 50.1% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Leeds North East at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Leeds North East at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Fabian Hamilton | 42.7% | 33.1% | 19.6% | 4,545 | 70.0% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Fabian Hamilton | 47.9% | 32.9% | 5.3% | 7,250 | 69.9%-0.1 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Fabian Hamilton | 63.1% | 31.0% | 3.7% | 16,991 | 75.6%+5.7 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Fabian Hamilton 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 57.5% | 23.6% | 11.2% | 17,089 | 71.2%-4.4 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Fabian Hamilton | 51.5% | 15.9% | 4.8% | 16,083 | 64.4%-6.8 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Leeds North East
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Leeds North East. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Graduate48.2 / 48.5vs 33.7
- ↓Leave37.4 / 41.1vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate48.2 / 46.4vs 33.7
- ↓Leave37.4 / 45.8vs 53.2
- ↓Leave37.4 / 44.4vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate48.2 / 40.5vs 33.7
- ↑Graduate48.2 / 49.4vs 33.7
- ↓Leave37.4 / 40.8vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate48.2 / 38.3vs 33.7
- ↓Leave37.4 / 48.5vs 53.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.