Earley and Woodley
South East · Borough constituency
About the Earley and Woodley constituency
Earley and Woodley is a borough constituency in the South East. The sitting MP is Yuan Yang (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 39.7% to 37.8% for the Conservatives, a majority of 848 votes on a 62.4% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 29.9% and the Conservatives on 29.2%, a margin of 0.6 points.
Who lives in Earley and Woodley? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Earley and Woodley vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Earley and Woodley
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Earley and Woodley within Wokingham and Reading
Earley and Woodley crosses council boundaries: Wokingham (77%), Reading (23%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Wokingham | 77% | View projection › |
| Reading | 23% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulmershe & Coronation | Conservative 52.2%vs Labour 29.0% | May 2026 Conservative 35.7%vs Reform 20.8% | Conservative share -16.5pp | 48.5% |
| Church | Labour 55.0%vs Conservative 28.1% | May 2026 Labour 39.6%vs Reform 24.6% | Labour share -15.4pp | 34.0% |
| Hawkedon | Conservative 36.9%vs Labour 31.7% | May 2026 Lib Dem 35.9%vs Conservative 31.9% | Conservative→Lib Dem +10.6pp | 46.1% |
| Hillside | Conservative 42.8%vs Labour 28.0% | May 2026 Lib Dem 37.4%vs Conservative 32.9% | Conservative→Lib Dem +14.1pp | 52.5% |
| Loddon | Conservative 39.5%vs Labour 38.0% | May 2026 Conservative 29.6%vs Reform 21.7% | Conservative share -9.9pp | 44.8% |
| Maiden Erlegh & Whitegates | Conservative 38.9%vs Labour 35.4% | May 2026 Lib Dem 37.1%vs Conservative 26.6% | Conservative→Lib Dem +16.4pp | 48.7% |
| Redlands | Labour 47.8%vs Green 21.4% | May 2026 Green 54.8%vs Labour 25.0% | Labour→Green +28.1pp | 40.2% |
| Shinfield | Labour 44.9%vs Conservative 34.8% | May 2026 Conservative 31.7%vs Others 19.7% | Labour→Conservative +15.0pp | 37.0% |
| South Lake | Conservative 42.3%vs Labour 31.1% | May 2026 Lib Dem 32.4%vs Conservative 22.8% | Conservative→Lib Dem +17.6pp | 48.6% |
| Spencers Wood & Swallowfield | Lib Dem 40.9%vs Conservative 38.6% | May 2026 Lib Dem 31.0%vs Conservative 30.4% | Lib Dem share -9.9pp | 43.7% |
| Whitley | Labour 57.8%vs Conservative 25.7% | May 2026 Labour 34.6%vs Reform 23.0% | Labour share -23.2pp | 32.0% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Earley and Woodley at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Earley and Woodley at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Con hold | John Redwood Wokingham MP | 10.1% | 52.7% | 28.0% | 13,492 | 71.4% |
| 2015predecessor | Con hold | John Redwood Wokingham MP | 14.5% | 57.7% | 13.5% | 24,197 | 71.9%+0.5 |
| 2017predecessor | Con hold | John Redwood Wokingham MP | 25.1% | 56.6% | 15.9% | 18,798 | 75.5%+3.6 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | John Redwood Wokingham MP, pre-review boundary | 26.7% | 48.8% | 21.8% | 11,293 | 72.9% |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Yuan Yang | 39.7% | 37.8% | 13.4% | 848 | 62.4%-10.5 |
Earley and Woodley was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Wokingham (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Earley and Woodley
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Earley and Woodley. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Age 65+17.8 / 17.6vs 22.7
- ↑Employed62.1 / 62.8vs 57.3
- ↑Graduate40.5 / 38.3vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied69.6 / 71.2vs 61.9
- ↓Leave44.4 / 46.2vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate40.5 / 42.6vs 33.7
- ↓Leave44.4 / 44.2vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate40.5 / 44.7vs 33.7
- ↑Employed62.1 / 63.6vs 57.3
- ↑Graduate40.5 / 42.1vs 33.7
- ↑Employed62.1 / 63.2vs 57.3
- ↓No quals13.6 / 14.2vs 18.0
- ↑Graduate40.5 / 41.6vs 33.7
- ↓Leave44.4 / 46.7vs 53.2
- ↓No quals13.6 / 12.8vs 18.0
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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