Constituency profile

Loughborough

East Midlands · County constituency · Charnwood borough

Dr Jeevun Sandher MP
Sitting MP

Dr Jeevun Sandher

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
East Midlands
County constituency, Charnwood council
Last 5 GE winners
CCCCL
Conservative 4/5, Labour 1/5
EU referendum 2016
50.1% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -1.8pp below mean
Current outlook
Labour +2.8pp
vs Reform UK 25.9%
MidlandsBrexit-marginal

About the Loughborough constituency

Loughborough is a county constituency in the East Midlands. The sitting MP is Dr Jeevun Sandher (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 40.8% to 29.1% for the Conservatives, a majority of 4,960 votes on a 61.3% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 28.6% and Reform UK on 25.9%, a margin of 2.8 points.

Who lives in Loughborough? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
50.1%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
33.0%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
14.3%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
63.8%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
35.1%
UK average ~36%
Median age
36.5
UK median ~40
Age 65+
20.2%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
39.5%
UK average ~28%

How did Loughborough vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 4,960 votes (11.7pp) · turnout 61.3%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Loughborough

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Loughborough within Charnwood

Loughborough sits entirely within Charnwood Council. Charnwood was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Charnwood
56 LSOAs
100%

Recent council by-elections

Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.

DateWardResultTop 3 vote shares
9 May 2024Loughborough East
Charnwood
Lab HOLD—

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
Barrow upon SoarLabour 41.1%vs Conservative 28.8%2023 Conservative 44.4%vs Labour 39.9%-39.3%
Dishley, Hathern & Thorpe AcreLabour 38.4%vs Conservative 33.1%2023 Labour 45.9%vs Independent 20.7%-57.9%
Loughborough AshbyLabour 41.7%vs Conservative 25.0%2023 Labour 63.1%vs Conservative 20.8%-36.1%
Loughborough EastLabour 47.8%vs Reform 19.8%2023 Labour 73.2%vs Green 8.5%-35.4%
Loughborough NanpantanLabour 39.8%vs Conservative 33.7%2023 Conservative 45.5%vs Labour 41.6%-46.4%
Loughborough Outwoods & ShelthorpeLabour 46.4%vs Conservative 30.7%2023 Labour 53.0%vs Conservative 34.9%-41.8%
Loughborough SouthfieldsLabour 41.5%vs Conservative 25.4%2023 Labour 52.1%vs Conservative 38.2%-42.3%
Loughborough StorerLabour 43.0%vs Conservative 21.8%2023 Labour 68.2%vs Conservative 14.4%-25.2%
Loughborough WoodthorpeLabour 50.9%vs Conservative 29.7%2023 Labour 54.8%vs Conservative 24.9%-34.2%
Quorn & Mountsorrel CastleConservative 39.2%vs Labour 33.0%2023 Conservative 47.3%vs Labour 35.6%-40.8%
Shepshed EastLabour 36.8%vs Conservative 29.5%2023 Labour 42.8%vs Conservative 41.4%-31.0%
Shepshed WestLabour 36.6%vs Conservative 32.9%2023 Labour 45.9%vs Conservative 40.8%-29.6%
The WoldsConservative 41.0%vs Labour 25.7%2023 Conservative 47.5%vs Lib Dem 26.9%-41.5%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Loughborough at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Loughborough at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Con gain from LabNicky Morgan34.5%41.6%18.3%1.8% UKIP-3.9%3,74468.2%
2015Con holdNicky Morgan31.9%49.5%4.1%11.0% UKIP3.5%-9,18369.2%+1.0
2017Con holdNicky Morgan42.0%49.9%3.6%2.7% UKIP1.8%-4,26968.0%-1.2
2019notionalConservative winnerJane Hunt 2019 MP, pre-review boundary38.8%50.6%7.6%-2.6%0.4%6,09169.8%+1.8
2024Lab gain from ConJeevun Sandher40.8%29.1%6.1%17.0% Ref7.0%-4,96061.3%-8.5

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Loughborough

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Loughborough. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.