Makerfield
North West · Borough constituency · Wigan borough
About the Makerfield constituency
Makerfield is a borough constituency in the North West. The sitting MP is Andy Burnham (Labour), first elected in June 2026. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 45.2% to 31.8% for Reform UK, a majority of 5,399 votes on a 52.5% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 50.9% and Reform UK on 34.3%, a margin of 16.6 points.
Who lives in Makerfield? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Makerfield vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Makerfield
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Makerfield within Wigan
Makerfield sits entirely within Wigan Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abram | Labour 45.9%vs Reform 32.0% | May 2026 Reform 56.1%vs Labour 24.2% | Labour→Reform +22.9pp | 33.1% |
| Ashton-in-Makerfield South | Labour 46.6%vs Reform 32.5% | May 2026 Reform 46.4%vs Labour 32.5% | Labour→Reform +14.0pp | 38.5% |
| Bryn with Ashton-in-Makerfield North | Labour 39.5%vs Reform 36.2% | May 2026 Reform 52.2%vs Labour 24.1% | Labour→Reform +15.7pp | 37.8% |
| Hindley | Labour 49.6%vs Reform 30.6% | May 2026 Reform 52.3%vs Labour 21.4% | Labour→Reform +24.9pp | 35.3% |
| Hindley Green | Labour 45.5%vs Reform 31.6% | May 2026 Reform 52.3%vs Labour 32.7% | Labour→Reform +16.8pp | 38.9% |
| Leigh West | Labour 51.0%vs Reform 28.0% | May 2026 Reform 51.8%vs Labour 25.5% | Labour→Reform +24.7pp | 33.6% |
| Orrell | Labour 41.2%vs Reform 29.5% | May 2026 Reform 39.9%vs Labour 24.2% | Labour→Reform +13.7pp | 43.0% |
| Winstanley | Labour 45.4%vs Reform 31.1% | May 2026 Reform 49.7%vs Labour 31.0% | Labour→Reform +16.4pp | 42.4% |
| Worsley Mesnes | Labour 47.2%vs Reform 31.6% | May 2026 Reform 50.9%vs Labour 25.2% | Labour→Reform +20.7pp | 37.4% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Makerfield at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Makerfield at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Yvonne Fovargue | 47.3% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 12,490 | 59.3% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Yvonne Fovargue | 51.8% | 19.5% | 3.7% | 13,155 | 60.3%+1.0 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Yvonne Fovargue | 60.2% | 31.3% | 2.8% | 13,542 | 63.2%+2.9 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Yvonne Fovargue 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 45.3% | 34.3% | 4.8% | 4,955 | 59.0%-4.2 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Josh Simons | 45.2% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 5,399 | 52.5%-6.5 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Makerfield
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Makerfield. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Leave64.9 / 66.7vs 53.2
- ↑Owner-occupied72.7 / 72.4vs 61.9
- ↓Graduate24.7 / 25.5vs 33.7
- ↑Leave64.9 / 65.3vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate24.7 / 24.3vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied72.7 / 69.9vs 61.9
- ↑Owner-occupied72.7 / 71.2vs 61.9
- ↓Graduate24.7 / 26.3vs 33.7
- ↑Leave64.9 / 59.7vs 53.2
- ↑Leave64.9 / 68.8vs 53.2
- ↑Owner-occupied72.7 / 72.2vs 61.9
- ↓Graduate24.7 / 24.8vs 33.7
- ↑Leave64.9 / 66.0vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate24.7 / 24.9vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied72.7 / 69.0vs 61.9
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.