Na h-Eileanan an Iar
Scotland · County constituency · Na h-Eileanan Siar borough
About the Na h-Eileanan an Iar constituency
Na h-Eileanan an Iar is a county constituency in Scotland, covering most or all of Na h-Eileanan Siar. The sitting MP is Torcuil Crichton (Labour), first elected in July 2024.
At the 2024 general election, Labour won Na h-Eileanan an Iar with 49.5% of the vote, ahead of the SNP on 21.1%, a majority of 3,836 votes. Turnout was 63.4%.
If a general election were held today, PollCheck's projection at the current seven-poll average has Labour on 31.8% and the SNP on 26.6% in Na h-Eileanan an Iar, a margin of 5.2 points. The projection updates automatically as new polls are added.
Demographically, Na h-Eileanan an Iar is a Remain-leaning area (an estimated 44.8% voted Leave in 2016). About 44.2% of residents hold a degree, 74.4% of homes are owner-occupied, and the seat has a median age of about 51 (2021 Census).
Across the last 5 general elections on record, the seat has been won by the SNP 4 times, Labour 1 time (earlier years may be on predecessor boundaries).
Who lives in Na h-Eileanan an Iar? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Na h-Eileanan an Iar vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Na h-Eileanan an Iar
Pick a metric from the drop-down to colour the map by demographic. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 800 residents each, from Scotland's 2022 Census). Hover any area for detail. Britain Elects' 2024 ward estimates don't cover this seat, so no ward-winners layer is available here.
How Na h-Eileanan an Iar voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Na h-Eileanan an Iar sits almost entirely within the Holyrood constituency of Na h-Eileanan an Iar. Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Share of Na h-Eileanan an Iar | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Na h-Eileanan an Iar | 97% | Labour 37.3% | SNP 36.1% | Donald MacKinnon |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).
Na h-Eileanan an Iar within Na h-Eileanan Siar
The Westminster constituency of Na h-Eileanan an Iar sits entirely within Na h-Eileanan Siar Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - English councils rotate their election cycles and Na h-Eileanan Siar was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below show the most recent council ward results available.
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Na h-Eileanan Siar | 100% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward. Where the council held a May 2026 election, those results are shown; otherwise we show the most recent available ward result (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024), or, where the seat was uncontested at the last election, the current sitting councillor from OpenCouncilData. The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Na h-Eileanan an Iar at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Na h-Eileanan an Iar at past general elections?
2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | SNP hold | Angus MacNeil | 32.9% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 1,885 | 67.6% |
| 2015 | SNP hold | Angus MacNeil | 28.6% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 4,102 | 73.2%+5.6 |
| 2017 | SNP hold | Angus MacNeil | 33.8% | 16.5% | 1.7% | 1,007 | 69.6%-3.6 |
| 2019notional | Scottish National Party winner | Angus Brendan MacNeil 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 28.3% | 22.2% | 4.4% | 2,438 | 68.4%-1.2 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from SNP | Torcuil Crichton | 49.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3,836 | 63.4%-5.0 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Na h-Eileanan an Iar
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Na h-Eileanan an Iar. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Graduate44.2 / 44.1vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent5.7 / 10.6vs 20.2
- ↓Leave44.8 / 43.3vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate44.2 / 46.5vs 33.7
- ↓Under 3520.5 / 20.7vs 30.2
- ↑Age 65+30.9 / 31.4vs 22.7
- ↓Private rent5.7 / 8.3vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate44.2 / 43.5vs 33.7
- ↓Leave44.8 / 40.3vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent5.7 / 8.9vs 20.2
- ↓Under 3520.5 / 21.9vs 30.2
- ↑Age 65+30.9 / 29.9vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3520.5 / 21.3vs 30.2
- ↓Leave44.8 / 44.6vs 53.2
- ↑Age 65+30.9 / 30.3vs 22.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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