Constituency profile

Na h-Eileanan an Iar

Scotland · County constituency · Na h-Eileanan Siar

Torcuil Crichton MP
Sitting MP

Torcuil Crichton

Labour

MP since July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
Scotland
County constituency, Na h-Eileanan Siar council
Last 5 GE winners
SSSSL
SNP 4/5, Labour 1/5
EU referendum 2016
44.8% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -7.1pp below mean
Current outlook
Labour +12.4pp
vs SNP 29.9%
ScottishRemain-leaningGraduate-heavy

About the Na h-Eileanan an Iar constituency

Na h-Eileanan an Iar is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Torcuil Crichton (Labour), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 49.5% to 21.1% for the SNP, a majority of 3,836 votes on a 63.4% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 42.3% and the SNP on 29.9%, a margin of 12.4 points.

Who lives in Na h-Eileanan an Iar? Constituency demographics

From Scotland's 2022 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
44.8%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
44.2%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
17.8%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
74.4%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
22.8%
UK average ~36%
Median age
50.9
UK median ~40
Age 65+
30.9%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
20.5%
UK average ~28%

How did Na h-Eileanan an Iar vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from SNP · majority 3,836 votes (28.4pp) · turnout 63.4%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Na h-Eileanan an Iar

Pick a metric to colour the map by demographics from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Holyrood 2026 layer

How Na h-Eileanan an Iar voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)

Na h-Eileanan an Iar sits almost entirely within the Holyrood constituency of Na h-Eileanan an Iar. Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.

Holyrood constituencyApprox. share of Na h-Eileanan an Iar's areaWinnerRunner-upElected MSP
Na h-Eileanan an Iar97%Labour 37.7%SNP 36.5%Donald MacKinnon

Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are approximate shares of the Westminster seat's land area, not of its electorate. They come from an area overlay of the post-2024 Westminster boundary on simplified Holyrood second-review boundaries (in force from 7 May 2026), so they do not always sum to 100% and small overlaps may be artefacts of the simplified boundaries.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Na h-Eileanan an Iar within Na h-Eileanan Siar

Na h-Eileanan an Iar sits entirely within Na h-Eileanan Siar Council. Na h-Eileanan Siar was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Na h-Eileanan Siar
36 data zones
100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council result per ward, from the most recent election with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›

Scottish council wards elect several councillors each by STV, so for these wards the table shows first preferences, not seats: the party with the most first-preference votes and each other party's share. 2022 figures are from the official cast-vote records.

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council first preferences Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Na h-Eileanan an Iar at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Na h-Eileanan an Iar at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD SNP Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010SNP holdAngus MacNeil32.9%4.4%7.5%45.7%--9.6%1,88567.6%
2015SNP holdAngus MacNeil28.6%7.6%2.9%54.3%--6.6%4,10273.2%+5.6
2017SNP holdAngus MacNeil33.8%16.5%1.7%40.6%--7.5%1,00769.6%-3.6
2019notionalScottish National Party winnerAngus Brendan MacNeil 2019 MP, pre-review boundary28.3%22.2%4.4%45.1%---2,43868.4%-1.2
2024Lab gain from SNPTorcuil Crichton49.5%4.8%2.8%21.1%5.2% Ref-16.7%3,83663.4%-5.0

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Na h-Eileanan an Iar

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Na h-Eileanan an Iar. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.