North Cornwall
South West · County constituency · Cornwall
About the North Cornwall constituency
North Cornwall is a county constituency in the South West. The sitting MP is Ben Maguire (Liberal Democrat), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, the Liberal Democrats won with 47.0% to 27.6% for the Conservatives, a majority of 9,957 votes on a 66.8% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Liberal Democrats on 38.5% and Reform UK on 28.2%, a margin of 10.3 points.
Who lives in North Cornwall? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did North Cornwall vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of North Cornwall
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
North Cornwall within Cornwall
North Cornwall sits entirely within Cornwall Council. Cornwall was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Cornwall | 100% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altarnun & Stoke Climsland | Lib Dem 57.3%vs Conservative 20.8% | 2025 Lib Dem 61.5%vs Reform 24.9% | - | - |
| Bodmin St Mary's & St Leonard | Lib Dem 50.9%vs Conservative 20.7% | 2025 Lib Dem 55.2%vs Reform 26.3% | - | - |
| Bodmin St Petroc's | Lib Dem 50.6%vs Conservative 22.5% | 2025 Lib Dem 65.9%vs Reform 27.3% | - | - |
| Bude | Lib Dem 49.5%vs Conservative 24.3% | 2025 Independent 32.2%vs Lib Dem 29.8% | - | - |
| Camelford & Boscastle | Lib Dem 43.2%vs Conservative 29.9% | 2025 Lib Dem 41.7%vs Reform 31.1% | - | - |
| Lanivet, Blisland & Bodmin St Lawrence | Lib Dem 50.4%vs Conservative 32.5% | 2025 Lib Dem 43.9%vs Reform 27.5% | - | - |
| Launceston North & North Petherwin | Lib Dem 41.8%vs Conservative 29.1% | 2025 Independent 43.8%vs Reform 28.6% | - | - |
| Launceston South | Lib Dem 50.2%vs Conservative 27.0% | 2025 Lib Dem 39.1%vs Independent 34.9% | - | - |
| Padstow | Lib Dem 35.4%vs Conservative 32.7% | 2025 Lib Dem 55.7%vs Reform 31.3% | - | - |
| Poundstock | Lib Dem 53.8%vs Conservative 24.4% | 2025 Lib Dem 42.7%vs Reform 26.4% | - | - |
| St Columb Major, St Mawgan & St Wenn | Lib Dem 38.1%vs Conservative 30.7% | 2025 Reform 32.9%vs Lib Dem 29.5% | - | - |
| St Teath & Tintagel | Lib Dem 52.0%vs Conservative 25.9% | 2025 Lib Dem 53.3%vs Reform 28.5% | - | - |
| Stratton, Kilkhampton & Morwenstow | Lib Dem 49.5%vs Conservative 28.7% | 2025 Lib Dem 45.1%vs Reform 31.1% | - | - |
| Wadebridge East & St Minver | Lib Dem 44.9%vs Conservative 30.9% | 2025 Lib Dem 36.2%vs Reform 22.1% | - | - |
| Wadebridge West & St Mabyn | Lib Dem 44.0%vs Conservative 27.8% | 2025 Independent 68.2%vs Reform 17.5% | - | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for North Cornwall at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won North Cornwall at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | LD hold | Dan Rogerson | 4.2% | 41.7% | 48.1% | 2,981 | 68.9% |
| 2015 | Con gain from LD | Scott Mann | 5.4% | 45.0% | 31.2% | 6,621 | 71.8%+2.9 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Scott Mann | 12.1% | 50.7% | 36.6% | 7,200 | 74.0%+2.2 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Scott Mann 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 9.6% | 59.1% | 29.9% | 15,783 | 72.1%-1.9 |
| 2024 | LD gain from Con | Ben Maguire | 5.8% | 27.6% | 47.0% | 9,957 | 66.8%-5.3 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like North Cornwall
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to North Cornwall. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Age 65+31.1 / 31.8vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3522.4 / 22.7vs 30.2
- ↑Leave60.2 / 59.5vs 53.2
- ↑Age 65+31.1 / 31.9vs 22.7
- ↑Leave60.2 / 62.0vs 53.2
- ↓Under 3522.4 / 23.5vs 30.2
- ↑Age 65+31.1 / 33.7vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3522.4 / 21.3vs 30.2
- ↑Leave60.2 / 57.6vs 53.2
- ↑Age 65+31.1 / 30.6vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3522.4 / 23.6vs 30.2
- ↓Graduate28.0 / 28.5vs 33.7
- ↑Age 65+31.1 / 30.9vs 22.7
- ↑Leave60.2 / 61.3vs 53.2
- ↓Under 3522.4 / 23.6vs 30.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.