Constituency profile

Tynemouth

North East · Borough constituency · North Tyneside borough

Sir Alan Campbell MP
Sitting MP

Sir Alan Campbell

Labour

First elected May 1997

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
North East
Borough constituency, North Tyneside council
Last 5 GE winners
LLLLL
Labour 5/5
EU referendum 2016
47.6% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -4.3pp below mean
Current outlook
Labour +22.2pp
vs Reform UK 18.9%
NorthernBrexit-marginal

About the Tynemouth constituency

Tynemouth is a borough constituency in the North East. The sitting MP is Sir Alan Campbell (Labour), first elected in May 1997. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 50.6% to 18.7% for the Conservatives, a majority of 15,455 votes on a 66.2% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 41.1% and Reform UK on 18.9%, a margin of 22.2 points.

Who lives in Tynemouth? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
47.6%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
37.5%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
15.7%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
66.9%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
32.6%
UK average ~36%
Median age
45.5
UK median ~40
Age 65+
26.8%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
23.9%
UK average ~28%

How did Tynemouth vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 15,455 votes (31.9pp) · turnout 66.2%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Tynemouth

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Tynemouth within North Tyneside

Tynemouth sits entirely within North Tyneside Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
North Tyneside
62 LSOAs
100%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
Chirton & Percy MainLabour 51.7%vs Reform 15.7%May 2026 Reform 48.0%vs Labour 22.4%
Labour→Reform
+30.8pp
-
Cullercoats & Whitley Bay SouthLabour 55.5%vs Reform 13.8%May 2026 Labour 31.8%vs Green 25.7%
Labour share
-23.7pp
-
MonkseatonLabour 55.5%vs Conservative 18.6%May 2026 Labour 33.7%vs Reform 26.4%
Labour share
-21.8pp
-
Preston with Preston GrangeLabour 50.2%vs Conservative 20.3%May 2026 Conservative 35.3%vs Reform 23.9%
Labour→Conservative
+20.8pp
-
St Mary'sLabour 42.4%vs Conservative 25.7%May 2026 Others 31.6%vs Conservative 25.3%
Labour→Others
+29.3pp
-
TynemouthLabour 52.0%vs Conservative 21.2%May 2026 Conservative 38.8%vs Labour 30.3%
Labour→Conservative
+19.7pp
-
Whitley Bay NorthLabour 55.5%vs Reform 13.8%May 2026 Green 39.7%vs Labour 33.7%
Labour→Green
+25.3pp
-

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Tynemouth at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Tynemouth at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Lab holdAlan Campbell45.3%34.4%14.9%1.7% UKIP1.0%2.7%5,73969.6%
2015Lab holdAlan Campbell48.2%32.8%3.0%12.2% UKIP3.8%-8,24069.0%-0.6
2017Lab holdAlan Campbell57.0%36.5%3.0%2.2% UKIP1.1%0.2%11,66673.4%+4.4
2019notionalLabour winnerAlan Campbell 2019 MP, pre-review boundary46.7%40.2%6.7%-2.4%4.0%3,51273.9%+0.5
2024Lab holdAlan Campbell50.6%18.7%5.6%15.3% Ref7.4%2.5%15,45566.2%-7.7

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Tynemouth

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Tynemouth. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.