Constituency profile

Wallasey

North West · Borough constituency · Wirral borough

Dame Angela Eagle MP
Sitting MP

Dame Angela Eagle

Labour

First elected April 1992Cabinet: Secretary of State for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
North West
Borough constituency, Wirral council
Last 5 GE winners
LLLLL
Labour 5/5
EU referendum 2016
49.9% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -2.0pp below mean
Current outlook
Labour +22.3pp
vs Reform UK 26.0%
NorthernBrexit-marginalWorking-class profile

About the Wallasey constituency

Wallasey is a borough constituency in the North West. The sitting MP is Dame Angela Eagle (Labour), first elected in April 1992. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 57.7% to 15.6% for Reform UK, a majority of 17,996 votes on a 57.7% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 48.2% and Reform UK on 26.0%, a margin of 22.3 points.

Who lives in Wallasey? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
49.9%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
27.2%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
19.2%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
63.3%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
36.1%
UK average ~36%
Median age
43.6
UK median ~40
Age 65+
25.1%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
27.2%
UK average ~28%

How did Wallasey vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 17,996 votes (42.1pp) · turnout 57.7%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Wallasey

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Wallasey within Wirral

Wallasey sits entirely within Wirral Council. Wirral was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Wirral
63 LSOAs
100%

Recent council by-elections

Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.

DateWardResultTop 3 vote shares
5 Jul 2024Liscard
Wirral
Lab HOLD—

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
Leasowe and Moreton EastLabour 58.8%vs Reform 17.7%2023 Labour 63.5%vs Conservative 15.7%-34.8%
LiscardLabour 60.5%vs Reform 14.7%2023 Labour 64.7%vs Conservative 15.4%-32.0%
Moreton West and Saughall MassieLabour 52.4%vs Reform 17.6%2023 Conservative 50.6%vs Labour 38.2%-38.1%
New BrightonLabour 60.6%vs Reform 13.3%2023 Labour 60.1%vs Green 18.6%-37.1%
SeacombeLabour 58.5%vs Reform 15.9%2023 Labour 55.3%vs Green 39.2%-32.7%
UptonLabour 57.6%vs Reform 15.5%2023 Labour 63.3%vs Conservative 18.1%-32.3%
WallaseyLabour 55.8%vs Conservative 17.4%2023 Conservative 46.0%vs Labour 44.4%-47.6%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Wallasey at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Wallasey at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Lab holdAngela Eagle51.8%31.4%13.7%2.9% UKIP-0.3%8,50763.2%
2015Lab holdAngela Eagle60.4%22.7%2.3%11.7% UKIP3.0%-16,34866.2%+3.0
2017Lab holdAngela Eagle71.5%23.2%1.6%2.4% UKIP1.3%-23,32071.7%+5.5
2019notionalLabour winnerAngela Eagle 2019 MP, pre-review boundary63.7%25.9%3.9%-2.4%4.1%19,42270.5%-1.2
2024Lab holdAngela Eagle57.7%11.7%4.3%15.6% Ref9.1%1.5%17,99657.7%-12.8

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Wallasey

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Wallasey. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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