Weston-Super-Mare
South West · County constituency · North Somerset borough
About the Weston-Super-Mare constituency
Weston-Super-Mare is a county constituency in the South West. The sitting MP is Dan Aldridge (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 38.5% to 28.1% for the Conservatives, a majority of 4,409 votes on a 59.4% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Reform UK on 33.5% and Labour on 29.4%, a margin of 4.1 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.
Who lives in Weston-Super-Mare? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Weston-Super-Mare vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Weston-Super-Mare
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Weston-Super-Mare within North Somerset
Weston-Super-Mare sits entirely within North Somerset Council. North Somerset was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| North Somerset | 100% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hutton & Locking | Conservative 36.7%vs Labour 30.5% | 2023 Independent 32.3%vs Conservative 28.2% | - | 36.6% |
| Weston-super-Mare Central | Labour 36.8%vs Conservative 23.9% | 2023 Lib Dem 52.8%vs Conservative 22.6% | - | 24.8% |
| Weston-super-Mare Hillside | Labour 34.5%vs Conservative 25.2% | 2023 Lib Dem 70.0%vs Labour 16.1% | - | 26.3% |
| Weston-super-Mare Kewstoke | Conservative 35.7%vs Labour 32.9% | 2023 Conservative 41.6%vs Lib Dem 37.7% | - | 30.5% |
| Weston-super-Mare Mid Worle | Labour 38.1%vs Conservative 27.9% | 2023 Lib Dem 37.3%vs Labour 33.0% | - | 28.0% |
| Weston-super-Mare Milton | Labour 45.7%vs Conservative 24.8% | 2023 Labour 58.0%vs Conservative 28.7% | - | 27.8% |
| Weston-super-Mare North Worle | Labour 35.0%vs Conservative 31.9% | 2023 Conservative 47.9%vs Labour 26.4% | - | 26.6% |
| Weston-super-Mare South | Labour 45.9%vs Reform 20.4% | 2023 Labour 69.4%vs Conservative 15.8% | - | 17.0% |
| Weston-super-Mare South Worle | Labour 38.9%vs Conservative 28.4% | 2023 Labour 39.6%vs Conservative 37.5% | - | 24.0% |
| Weston-super-Mare Uphill | Labour 40.0%vs Conservative 31.1% | 2023 Labour 32.0%vs Conservative 32.0% | - | 60.8% |
| Weston-super-Mare Winterstoke | Labour 44.4%vs Conservative 22.0% | 2023 Labour 45.8%vs Conservative 20.5% | - | 33.7% |
| Wick St Lawrence & St Georges | Labour 37.1%vs Conservative 27.6% | 2023 Independent 41.5%vs Conservative 23.5% | - | 26.1% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Weston-Super-Mare at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Weston-Super-Mare at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con hold | John Penrose | 10.9% | 44.3% | 39.2% | 2,691 | 67.2% |
| 2015 | Con hold | John Penrose | 18.3% | 48.0% | 10.4% | 15,609 | 65.4%-1.8 |
| 2017 | Con hold | John Penrose | 32.7% | 53.1% | 9.2% | 11,544 | 68.7%+3.3 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | John Penrose 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 28.1% | 57.1% | 11.7% | 13,310 | 64.9%-3.8 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Daniel Aldridge | 38.5% | 28.1% | 8.9% | 4,409 | 59.4%-5.5 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Weston-Super-Mare
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Weston-Super-Mare. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Social rent10.9 / 11.5vs 16.8
- ↑Leave57.2 / 57.4vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate27.3 / 23.5vs 33.7
- ↑Leave57.2 / 57.9vs 53.2
- ↓Social rent10.9 / 14.2vs 16.8
- ↓Graduate27.3 / 29.3vs 33.7
- ↑Leave57.2 / 58.4vs 53.2
- ↓Social rent10.9 / 13.6vs 16.8
- ↓Graduate27.3 / 29.4vs 33.7
- ↑Leave57.2 / 60.3vs 53.2
- ↓Social rent10.9 / 13.5vs 16.8
- ↓Graduate27.3 / 28.6vs 33.7
- ↑Leave57.2 / 56.9vs 53.2
- ↓Social rent10.9 / 14.0vs 16.8
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.