Constituency profile

West Bromwich

West Midlands · Borough constituency · Sandwell borough

Sarah Coombes MP
Sitting MP

Sarah Coombes

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
West Midlands
Borough constituency, Sandwell council
Last 5 GE winners
LLLCL
Labour 4/5, Conservative 1/5
EU referendum 2016
67.8% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +15.9pp above mean
Current outlook
Labour +8.3pp
vs Reform UK 27.8%
MidlandsStrong Leave areaWorking-class profileDiverse

About the West Bromwich constituency

West Bromwich is a borough constituency in the West Midlands. The sitting MP is Sarah Coombes (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 46.2% to 20.1% for the Conservatives, a majority of 9,554 votes on a 49.3% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 36.1% and Reform UK on 27.8%, a margin of 8.3 points.

Who lives in West Bromwich? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
67.8%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
23.8%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
27.3%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
57.1%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
42.0%
UK average ~36%
Median age
37.8
UK median ~40
Age 65+
19.3%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
32.5%
UK average ~28%

How did West Bromwich vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 9,554 votes (26.1pp) · turnout 49.3%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of West Bromwich

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

West Bromwich within Sandwell

West Bromwich sits entirely within Sandwell Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Sandwell
60 LSOAs
100%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
Charlemont with Grove ValeLabour 42.0%vs Conservative 30.7%2024 Labour 45.6%vs Conservative 38.3%-35.0%
Great Barr with Yew TreeLabour 46.6%vs Conservative 21.6%2024 Labour 49.7%vs Conservative 24.8%-32.0%
Greets Green and LyngLabour 50.3%vs Reform 19.1%May 2026 Labour 48.1%vs Reform 26.1%
Labour share
-2.2pp
35.5%
NewtonLabour 46.4%vs Conservative 20.1%May 2026 Labour 34.6%vs Reform 32.1%now part of Newton Valley
Labour share
-11.8pp
36.4%
OldburyLabour 48.9%vs Reform 20.6%May 2026 Labour 42.6%vs Reform 28.4%
Labour share
-6.3pp
32.2%
RowleyLabour 43.1%vs Reform 23.7%May 2026 Reform 49.3%vs Labour 28.0%
Labour→Reform
+20.4pp
-
TividaleLabour 43.0%vs Reform 21.8%May 2026 Reform 42.0%vs Labour 36.3%
Labour→Reform
+13.4pp
-
West Bromwich CentralLabour 50.5%vs Reform 18.7%May 2026 Labour 48.0%vs Reform 20.6%
Labour share
-2.6pp
-

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for West Bromwich at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won West Bromwich at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorLab holdTom Watson West Bromwich East MP46.5%28.9%13.2%2.6% UKIP-8.8%6,69660.6%
2015predecessorLab holdTom Watson West Bromwich East MP50.2%24.9%2.0%21.2% UKIP1.7%-9,47058.9%-1.7
2017predecessorLab holdTom Watson West Bromwich East MP58.0%38.2%1.6%-1.4%0.8%7,71361.2%+2.3
2019notionalConservative winnerNicola Richards West Bromwich East MP, pre-review boundary42.1%47.3%3.5%-1.9%5.2%2,15057.3%
2024Lab gain from ConSarah Coombes46.2%20.1%3.6%19.5% Ref5.6%5.0%9,55449.3%-8.0

West Bromwich was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat West Bromwich East (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like West Bromwich

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to West Bromwich. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.