House districts / New York
New York's 21st congressional district
NY-21. Same lines in 2026 as in 2024.
Fundraising
- Anthony Thomas Constantino Ras of Oct 14, 2026Raised $17.1mSpent $14.8m · Cash $2.3m
- Blake Gendebien Das of Oct 14, 2026Raised $7.7mSpent $7.5m · Cash $364k
5 other 2026 candidates filed reports (primary candidates). 12 other candidates have not filed.
Federal Election Commission, candidate totals, public domain.
President in this district
PollCheck calculation from precinct returns on the 2026 lines (method).
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Other | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris 39.4% | Trump 60.1% | 0.5% | R+20.6 |
| 2020 | Biden 41.2% | Trump 56.8% | 2.1% | R+15.6 |
| 2016 | Clinton 37.2% | Trump 55.7% | 7.1% | R+18.6 |
Who lives here
| Measure | This district | US |
|---|---|---|
| People | ||
| Population | 770,419 | |
| Adults (18+) | 618,726 | |
| Citizens, % of adults | 98.3% | 92.1% |
| Age, % of adults | ||
| 18 to 29 | 18.9% | 20.3% |
| 30 to 44 | 22.5% | 25.9% |
| 45 to 64 | 33.2% | 31.8% |
| 65 and over | 25.4% | 22.0% |
| Race and Hispanic origin, % of residents | ||
| White | 88.6% | 57.4% |
| Black | 2.1% | 11.9% |
| Hispanic | 3.8% | 19.3% |
| Asian | 1.0% | 5.9% |
| Other or more than one | 4.5% | 5.5% |
| Education and income | ||
| Bachelor's degree or higher, % of 25+ | 26.2% | 35.7% |
| Median household income | $70,983 | $80,734 |
American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates for this district. The tick marks the US figure.
Winning margin
Results since 1976
| Year | Winner | Share | Runner-up | Share | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current lines (2024 on) New York Legislature's 2024 map | |||||
| 2024 | Elise M. Stefanik Republican + Conservative | 62.0% | Paula Collins Democrat + Working Families others 0.1% | 38.0% | R+24.0 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2022 seat count changed from 27 to 26 after the census | |||||
| 2022 | Elise M. Stefanik Republican + Conservative | 59.1% | Matt Castelli Democrat + Moderate | 40.8% | R+18.3 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2012-2020 seat count changed from 29 to 27 after the census | |||||
| 2020 | Elise M. Stefanik Republican + Conservative, Independence | 58.8% | Tedra L. Cobb Democrat + Working Families | 41.1% | R+17.7 |
| 2018 | Elise M. Stefanik Republican + Conservative, Independence, Reform | 56.1% | Tedra L. Cobb Democrat + Working Families, Women’s Equality others 1.5% | 42.4% | R+13.7 |
| 2016 | Elise M. Stefanik Republican + Conservative, Reform, Independence | 65.2% | Mike Derrick Democrat + Working families others 4.6% | 30.1% | R+35.1 |
| 2014 | Elise M. Stefanik Republican + Independence, Conservative | 53.0% | Aaron G. Woolf Democrat + Working families others 14.5% | 32.5% | R+20.5 |
| 2012 | William L. Owens Democrat + Working families | 47.1% | Matthew A. Doheny Republican + Conservative, Independence others 7.6% | 45.3% | D+1.9 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2002-2010 seat count changed from 31 to 29 after the census | |||||
| 2010 | Paul Tonko Democrat | 54.4% | Theodore J. Danz, Jr. Republican + Conservative others 3.8% | 41.7% | D+12.7 |
| 2008 | Paul D. Tonko Democrat + Working families | 54.9% | James Buhrmaster Republican + Conservative others 14.1% | 31.0% | D+23.9 |
| 2006 | Michael R. McNulty Democrat + Independence, Conservative, Working families | 72.3% | Warren Redlich Republican others 7.6% | 20.2% | D+52.1 |
| 2004 | Michael R. McNulty Democrat + Working families, Conservative, Independence | 62.2% | Warren Redlich Republican others 12.1% | 25.7% | D+36.5 |
| 2002 | Michael R. McNulty Democrat + Conservative, Independence, Working families | 68.1% | Charles B. Rosenstein Republican others 9.3% | 22.6% | D+45.5 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1992-2000 seat count changed from 34 to 31 after the census | |||||
| 2000 | Michael R. McNulty Democrat + Conservative, Independence | 65.6% | Thomas G. Pillsworth Republican others 11.9% | 22.6% | D+43.0 |
| 1998 | Michael R. McNulty Democrat + Conservative, Independence | 67.0% | Lauren Ayers Republican others 9.7% | 23.3% | D+43.8 |
| 1996 | Michael R. McNulty Democrat + Conservative, Independence | 59.2% | Nancy Norman Republican + Freedom others 16.7% | 24.1% | D+35.1 |
| 1994 | Michael R. McNulty Democrat + Conservative | 61.1% | Joseph A. Gomez Republican others 10.5% | 28.4% | D+32.7 |
| 1992 | Michael R. McNulty Democrat + Conservative | 56.0% | Nancy Norman Republican + Liberal others 13.3% | 30.7% | D+25.3 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1982-1990 seat count changed from 39 to 34 after the census | |||||
| 1990 | Hamilton Fish Jr. Republican + Conservative | 65.0% | Richard L. Barbuto Democrat others 12.8% | 22.2% | R+42.8 |
| 1988 | Hamilton Fish, Jr. Republican + Conservative | 74.6% | Lawrence W. Grunberger Democrat others 1.9% | 23.5% | R+51.2 |
| 1986 | Hamilton Fish Jr. Republican + Conservative | 76.5% | Lawrence W. Grunberger Democrat others 2.2% | 21.2% | R+55.3 |
| 1984 | Hamilton Fish Jr. Republican + Conservative | 78.3% | Lawrence W. Grunberger Democrat | 21.7% | R+56.7 |
| 1982 | Hamilton Fish, Jr. Republican + Conservative | 75.2% | J. Morgan Strong Democrat | 24.8% | R+50.5 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1976-1980 | |||||
| 1980 | Robert Garcia Democrat + Liberal | 98.2% | Loidis R. Cordero Right to life others 0.8% | 1.0% | D+97.2 |
| 1978 | Robert Garcia Democrat + Liberal | 98.0% | Lawrence W. Lindsley Sr. Conservative | 2.0% | D+95.9 |
| 1976 | Herman Badillo Democrat + Liberal | 98.6% | Lawrence W. Lindsley, Sr. Conservative | 1.4% | D+97.1 |
More on New York
Other New York districts
About these results
Shares count all candidate votes, including write-ins, with a candidate's votes on several party lines added together. Each result is on the lines in force at the time. Mid-decade redraws before 2016 may be unmarked.
President in this district: 2016 and 2020 are estimates: precinct votes are split between districts by census block.
Counties only partly inside the district show the 2024 result for that part; estimates are labelled.
Margin chart: winner minus runner-up. Gaps are unopposed races; dashed lines are new district lines.
Sources
Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2016 (doi:10.7910/DVN/IG0UN2, CC0; via MEDSL/constituency-returns), and Clerk of the US House, Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election 2018-2024 (public domain).
Presidential results: PollCheck calculation from MIT Election Data and Science Lab 2024 precinct returns (doi:10.7910/DVN/XDJYKC, doi:10.7910/DVN/USBYR4, CC0; state totals doi:10.7910/DVN/42MVDX, CC0) and Voting and Election Science Team 2016 and 2020 precinct results and shapes (doi:10.7910/DVN/NH5S2I, doi:10.7910/DVN/K7760H, CC BY 4.0), with US Census Bureau 2020 block populations and block equivalency files (public domain). Official figures: Texas Legislative Council (2024 on the 2026 lines); Louisiana, New Jersey, California and Washington election offices (county totals). Certified results transcribed by Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): Maine 2024 by district: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine (revision 1382530995); Indiana county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana (revision 1382505975); Oregon county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon (revision 1382605746).
District lines: US Census Bureau TIGER/Line 2026 (120th Congress) and 2025 cartographic boundary files (119th Congress), public domain.
Members: unitedstates/congress-legislators (CC0).
Counties: US Census Bureau 2024 cartographic boundary file (public domain); 2024 county results summed from the same MEDSL precinct returns, with the official county totals above.
Demographics: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 (public domain).
2028 candidates: Federal Election Commission (public domain).
Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits