2028 presidential election
2028 presidential election polls
PollCheck averages of national head-to-head polls. Updated November 5, 2026.
Polling averages
Every head-to-head on one scale
Republican DemocratHollow: latest poll, no average yet
Vance vs. NewsomAverage of 5 polls40.643.9D+3.3
Vance vs. Ocasio-CortezAverage of 5 polls42.742.0R+0.7
Vance vs. HarrisAverage of 3 polls43.648.4D+4.8
Rubio vs. NewsomAverage of 3 polls42.844.0D+1.2Rubio vs. Ocasio-CortezAverage of 3 polls43.842.3R+1.5
Vance vs. ButtigiegLatest of 4 polls, no average3638D+2Rubio vs. HarrisLatest of 3 polls, no average4843R+5
Rubio vs. OssoffLatest of 1 poll, no average4447D+3
Trump Jr. vs. BidenLatest of 1 poll, no average3637D+1Vance vs. CubanLatest of 1 poll, no average3439D+5Vance vs. OssoffLatest of 1 poll, no average4449D+5
Vance vs. ShapiroLatest of 1 poll, no average3734R+3Vance vs. SmithLatest of 1 poll, no average3735R+2Vance vs. WhitmerLatest of 1 poll, no average4033R+72028 candidates 2028 primaries
How the average works
The average uses polls from the last 180 days, weighting recent and larger polls more. Each polling house counts once, and partisan-sponsored polls (R or D) count half. Where a poll reports several populations, likely voters are used first. A match-up needs 3 polls from 2 polling houses for an average.
Poll lists adapted from Wikipedia: Nationwide opinion polling for the 2028 United States presidential election (revision 1383801796). Licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0; PollCheck averages are derived from them.
Photos: Gavin Newsom by Charles Ommanney - Office of the Governor of California, CC BY-SA 4.0 (source, cropped); Donald Trump Jr. by Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 4.0 (source, cropped); Josh Shapiro by Maryland GovPics, CC BY 2.0 (source, cropped); others official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits