2028 presidential election / Rubio vs. Newsom

Rubio 42.8%, Newsom 44.0%

PollCheck average of national polls from the last 180 days. Updated November 5, 2026.

Marco RubioMarco Rubio
Republican
42.8%
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom
Democrat
44.0%
MarginD+1.23 of 5 polls used
Every poll

5 national polls

Newest first.

DatesPollsterSampleRubioNewsomMarginUndec.Source
Nov 5, 2026PollCheck average3 of 5 polls used3 of 5 polls42.844.0D+1.2
Oct 2-4, 2026YouGovUMass Lowell/YouGovOct 2-4, 2026 · 1,000 LV · Poll1,000 LV4244D+213Poll
Aug 16-17, 2026Emerson CollegeAug 16-17, 2026 · 1,000 LV · Poll1,000 LV4648D+26Poll
Jul 1-4, 2026Zogby AnalyticsJul 1-4, 2026 · 1,003 LV · Poll1,003 LV4036R+424Poll
Nov 14-16, 2025Morning Consult Not in averageNov 14-16, 2025 · 2,201 RV · Poll2,201 RV3941D+220Poll
Aug 29-31, 2025Leger360 Not in averageAug 29-31, 2025 · 849 A · Poll849 A4449D+57Poll
Vance vs. NewsomRubio vs. Ocasio-CortezRubio vs. HarrisRubio vs. OssoffAll pairings
How the average works
The average uses polls from the last 180 days, weighting recent and larger polls more. Each polling house counts once, and partisan-sponsored polls (R or D) count half. Where a poll reports several populations, likely voters are used first. A match-up needs 3 polls from 2 polling houses for an average.

Poll lists adapted from Wikipedia: Nationwide opinion polling for the 2028 United States presidential election (revision 1383801796). Licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0; PollCheck averages are derived from them.

Photos: Gavin Newsom by Charles Ommanney - Office of the Governor of California, CC BY-SA 4.0 (source, cropped); others official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.

PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits