2028 presidential primaries

Vance at 37%, Harris at 24%

PollCheck averages of national primary polls. Updated November 5, 2026.

Republican primary

National, 10 polls in 60 days
  1. JD VanceJD Vance37.4%▼0.8
  2. Marco RubioMarco Rubio25.0%▲6.2
  3. Donald Trump Jr.Donald Trump Jr.10.0%▼2.5
  4. Ron DeSantisRon DeSantis7.9%▼0.9
  5. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Robert F. Kennedy Jr.4.8%▼0.5
  6. Nikki HaleyNikki Haley4.1%▲0.3
Full Republican averageCandidates

Democratic primary

National, 13 polls in 60 days
  1. Kamala HarrisKamala Harris23.6%▼5.1
  2. Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom14.1%▼1.4
  3. Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg12.4%▲0.9
  4. Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez12.1%▲2.6
  5. Jon OssoffJon Ossoff10.1%▲2.2
  6. Mark KellyMark Kelly7.1%▲0.4
Full Democratic averageCandidates
State polls

States with polls in the last 180 days

Polls in the last 180 days.

Republican

Older polls only: California, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Nevada, South Carolina and Vermont.

Democratic

Older polls only: Alaska, Maine, Nevada, North Carolina and Vermont.

How the average works

Decided voters only, rescaled to 100. The average uses polls from the last 60 days, weighting recent and larger polls more; partisan polls (R or D) count half. A poll that leaves out a candidate averaging 15% or more is not used.

Poll lists adapted from Wikipedia: Nationwide opinion polling for the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries (revision 1383595386) - Statewide opinion polling for the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries (revision 1383421160) - Nationwide opinion polling for the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries (revision 1382682450) - Statewide opinion polling for the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries (revision 1383419384). Licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0; PollCheck averages are derived from them.

Photos: Donald Trump Jr. by Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 4.0 (source, cropped); Gavin Newsom by Charles Ommanney - Office of the Governor of California, CC BY-SA 4.0 (source, cropped); others official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.

PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits