2028 primaries / Republican / New Hampshire

Vance first in the New Hampshire Republican field at 38%

PollCheck average of New Hampshire Republican primary polls. Updated November 5, 2026.

New Hampshire DemocraticAll primaries
Polling average

All candidates

Average share in 5 polls from the last 180 days, with the change over 30 days.

  1. JD VanceJD Vance37.8%▼0.7
  2. Marco RubioMarco Rubio29.7%▲3.9
  3. Nikki HaleyNikki Haley8.4%0.0
  4. Ron DeSantisRon DeSantis5.5%▼0.3
  5. Rand PaulRand Paul4.5%▲0.1
  6. Tulsi GabbardTulsi Gabbard3.7%0.0
Polling trend

New Hampshire Republican primary polling average

Every poll

11 New Hampshire Republican primary polls

Newest first. A dash means the candidate was not asked.

PollsterDatesSampleVanceRubioHaleyDeSantisPaulGabbardUndec.Source
Saint Anselm CollegeOct 19-20, 2026 · 734 LV · PollOct 19-20, 2026734 LV38%38%-5%--11%Poll
Saint Anselm CollegeAug 17-18, 2026 · 678 LV · PollAug 17-18, 2026678 LV38%36%-5%--13%Poll
University of New HampshireJul 15-20, 2026 · 573 LV · PollJul 15-20, 2026573 LV36%26%8%6%8%4%6%Poll
Saint Anselm CollegeJun 24-25, 2026 · 739 RV · PollJun 24-25, 2026739 RV37%30%-7%-3%14%Poll
Praecones Analytica / NH JournalApr 22 - May 13, 2026 · 350 RV · PollApr 22 - May 13, 2026350 RV42.7%10.2%8.5%5.1%0.3%--Poll
Emerson CollegeMar 21-23, 2026 · 529 LV · PollMar 21-23, 2026529 LV42.8%17.7%6.2%4.5%--20.3%Poll
Saint Anselm CollegeMar 16-18, 2026 · 665 RV · PollMar 16-18, 2026665 RV46%27%5%5%-2%8%Poll
University of New HampshireFeb 12-16, 2026 · 664 LV · PollFeb 12-16, 2026664 LV53%7%9%6%5%2%9%Poll
Saint Anselm CollegeNov 18-19, 2025 · 1,000 LV · PollNov 18-19, 20251,000 LV57%9%4%7%-4%10%Poll
University of New HampshireOct 16-21, 2025 · 679 LV · PollOct 16-21, 2025679 LV51%5%9%3%4%8%8%Poll
Saint Anselm CollegeAug 26-27, 2025 · 791 RV · PollAug 26-27, 2025791 RV56%7%3%8%-5%7%Poll
How the average works

Decided voters only, rescaled to 100. The average uses polls from the last 180 days, weighting recent and larger polls more; partisan polls (R or D) count half. A poll that leaves out a candidate averaging 15% or more is not used.

Poll lists adapted from Wikipedia: Statewide opinion polling for the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries (revision 1383421160). Licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0; PollCheck averages are derived from them.

Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.

PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits