2028 primaries / Republican / Florida

Vance first in the Florida Republican field at 35%

PollCheck average of Florida Republican primary polls. Updated November 5, 2026.

Florida DemocraticAll primaries
Polling average

All candidates

Average share in 3 polls from the last 180 days, with the change over 30 days.

  1. JD VanceJD Vance35.2%-
  2. Marco RubioMarco Rubio33.2%-
  3. Ron DeSantisRon DeSantis13.3%-
  4. Ted CruzTed Cruz4.1%-
Every poll

4 Florida Republican primary polls

Newest first. A dash means the candidate was not asked.

PollsterDatesSampleVanceRubioDeSantisCruzUndec.Source
Big Data PollOct 26-30, 2026 · 376 LV · PollOct 26-30, 2026376 LV40.6%16%4.8%6.5%9.5%Poll
Quantus InsightsJul 27-29, 2026 · 635 LV · PollJul 27-29, 2026635 LV24.2%42%12.9%0.9%10.7%Poll
Change ResearchMay 13-16, 2026 · 951 RV · PollMay 13-16, 2026951 RV32%33%19%-9%Poll
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesFeb 26-27, 2025 · 600 LV · PollFeb 26-27, 2025600 LV47%-33%--Poll
How the average works

Decided voters only, rescaled to 100. The average uses polls from the last 180 days, weighting recent and larger polls more; partisan polls (R or D) count half. A poll that leaves out a candidate averaging 15% or more is not used.

Poll lists adapted from Wikipedia: Statewide opinion polling for the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries (revision 1383421160). Licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0; PollCheck averages are derived from them.

Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.

PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits