2028 primaries / Democratic / New Hampshire

Buttigieg first in the New Hampshire Democratic field at 30%

PollCheck average of New Hampshire Democratic primary polls. Updated November 5, 2026.

New Hampshire RepublicanAll primaries
Polling average

All candidates

Average share in 4 polls from the last 180 days, with the change over 30 days.

  1. Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg29.8%▲0.5
  2. Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez19.3%▼2.7
  3. Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom9.9%▼0.3
  4. Mark KellyMark Kelly9.5%▲1.0
  5. Jon OssoffJon Ossoff8.5%▲2.4
  6. Kamala HarrisKamala Harris4.9%▲0.2
  7. JB Pritzker2.6%▲0.3
Every poll

10 New Hampshire Democratic primary polls

Newest first. A dash means the candidate was not asked.

PollsterDatesSampleButtigiegOcasio-CortezNewsomKellyOssoffHarrisPritzkerUndec.Source
Saint Anselm CollegeOct 19-20, 2026 · 784 LV · PollOct 19-20, 2026784 LV28%10%8%11%14%5%3%9%Poll
Saint Anselm CollegeAug 17-18, 2026 · 733 LV · PollAug 17-18, 2026733 LV25%17%7%12%12%3%2%12%Poll
University of New HampshireJul 15-20, 2026 · 648 LV · PollJul 15-20, 2026648 LV21%22%8%9%2%5%1%12%Poll
Saint Anselm CollegeJun 24-25, 2026 · 810 RV · PollJun 24-25, 2026810 RV29%17%11%1%2%4%3%15%Poll
Emerson CollegeMar 21-23, 2026 · 523 LV · PollMar 21-23, 2026523 LV19.7%11.8%11.6%10.1%-8.4%5.1%23.6%Poll
Saint Anselm CollegeMar 16-18, 2026 · 690 RV · PollMar 16-18, 2026690 RV29%10%15%--6%5%11%Poll
University of New HampshireFeb 12-16, 2026 · 635 LV · PollFeb 12-16, 2026635 LV20%15%15%10%-10%5%8%Poll
Saint Anselm CollegeNov 18-19, 2025 · 1,015 LV · PollNov 18-19, 20251,015 LV28%-24%--6%4%18%Poll
University of New HampshireOct 16-21, 2025 · 602 LV · PollOct 16-21, 2025602 LV19%14%15%3%-11%6%10%Poll
Saint Anselm CollegeAug 26-27, 2025 · 867 RV · PollAug 26-27, 2025867 RV23%7%23%--6%9%12%Poll
How the average works

Decided voters only, rescaled to 100. The average uses polls from the last 180 days, weighting recent and larger polls more; partisan polls (R or D) count half. A poll that leaves out a candidate averaging 15% or more is not used.

Poll lists adapted from Wikipedia: Statewide opinion polling for the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries (revision 1383419384). Licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0; PollCheck averages are derived from them.

Photos: Gavin Newsom by Charles Ommanney - Office of the Governor of California, CC BY-SA 4.0 (source, cropped); others official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.

PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits