2028 primaries / Democratic
Harris first in the Democratic field at 24%
PollCheck average of national Democratic primary polls. Updated November 5, 2026.
Polling average
All candidates
Average share in 13 polls from the last 60 days, with the change over 30 days.
Kamala Harris23.6%▼5.1
Gavin Newsom14.1%▼1.4
Pete Buttigieg12.4%▲0.9
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12.1%▲2.6
Jon Ossoff10.1%▲2.2
Mark Kelly7.1%▲0.4
Josh Shapiro4.7%▼0.7- JB Pritzker3.6%▲0.1
- Andy Beshear2.9%▼0.3
Cory Booker2.1%▼1.5
Polling trend
National Democratic primary polling average
Every poll
137 national Democratic primary polls
Newest first. A dash means the candidate was not asked.
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Harris | Newsom | Buttigieg | Ocasio-Cortez | Ossoff | Kelly | Shapiro | Pritzker | Undec. | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | Oct 28 - Nov 1, 2026 | 3,566 A | 12.6% | 9% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 18.2% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | Poll |
| Harvard CAPS/Harris | Oct 24-26, 2026 | - RV | 34% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 6% | - | 7% | 5% | - | Wiki |
| Leger | Oct 23-25, 2026 | 375 A | 22% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 6% | - | 7% | 5% | - | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | Oct 15-19, 2026 | 522 LV | 19% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 7% | Wiki |
| New York Times/Siena | Oct 12-19, 2026 | 1,170 RV | 12% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 45% | Wiki |
| Noble Predictive Insights | Oct 5-7, 2026 | 1,171 RV | 29% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 12% | Wiki |
| Focaldata | Sep 26-28, 2026 | 778 LV | 30% | 15% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 5% | - | 14% | Wiki |
| Harvard CAPS/Harris | Sep 26-28, 2026 | - RV | 38% | 17% | 11% | 12% | 6% | - | 7% | 5% | - | Wiki |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Sep 16-22, 2026 | 463 LV | 29% | 12% | 9% | 8% | - | 8% | 5% | 2% | 15% | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | Sep 17-21, 2026 | 491 LV | 24% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 3% | - | 14% | Wiki |
| Big Data Poll | Sep 13-15, 2026 | 1,329 LV | 27% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 5% | - | 11% | Wiki |
| Veteran Action/The Honest Poll | Sep 7-13, 2026 | 626 LV | 32% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | - | 5% | - | 10% | Wiki |
| Liberal Currents/Center for Strategic Politics | Sep 3-10, 2026 | 683 V | 25% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 4% | - | Wiki |
| Focaldata | Aug 28 - Sep 2, 2026 | 614 LV | 29% | 14% | 9% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 8% | - | 12% | Wiki |
| YouGov Not in average | Aug 25 - Sep 1, 2026 | 566 LV | 17% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | - | Wiki |
| Harvard CAPS/Harris | Aug 28-30, 2026 | 2,100 RV | 42% | 18% | 9% | 9% | 7% | - | 7% | 4% | - | Wiki |
| Morning Consult Not in average | Aug 28-30, 2026 | - RV | 24% | 12% | 9% | - | 7% | - | - | - | - | Wiki |
| Quantus Insights | Aug 26-28, 2026 | 551 LV | 8.1% | 7.1% | 25.7% | 15.3% | 21.3% | - | - | - | 19.4% | Wiki |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Aug 18-24, 2026 | 474 LV | 29% | 16% | 10% | 9% | - | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | Aug 13-17, 2026 | 483 LV | 18% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 13% | Wiki |
| Noble Predictive Insights | Aug 12-16, 2026 | 930 RV | 28% | 14% | 12% | 7% | - | 3% | 5% | 3% | 15% | Wiki |
| Focaldata | Aug 7-11, 2026 | 616 LV | 26% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | - | 15% | Wiki |
| Rasmussen Reports | Aug 2-4, 2026 | 1,222 LV | 37% | 14% | 10% | 9% | - | 9% | 6% | - | 15% | Wiki |
| Big Data Poll | Jul 24-27, 2026 | 1,338 LV | 29.7% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5% | 6.5% | - | 12.3% | Wiki |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Jul 15-21, 2026 | 472 LV | 28% | 18% | 8% | 10% | - | 3% | 5% | 5% | 18% | Wiki |
| J.L. Partners | Jul 20, 2026 | 517 RV | 31% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 13% | Wiki |
| Emerson College | Jul 19-20, 2026 | 574 LV | 8% | 17% | 19% | 13% | 13% | - | 5% | 3% | 13% | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | Jul 9-13, 2026 | 496 LV | 21% | 14% | 13% | 9% | - | 4% | 7% | 3% | 13% | Wiki |
| Harvard CAPS/Harris | Jul 11-12, 2026 | 1,776 RV | 37% | 24% | 10% | 9% | - | - | 9% | 5% | - | Wiki |
| YouGov | Jul 8-10, 2026 | 485 A | 17% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 21% | Wiki |
| Quantus Insights | Jul 3-7, 2026 | 1,140 LV | 35.3% | 17.7% | 12.9% | 11.1% | - | - | 7.1% | - | - | Wiki |
| Manhattan Institute | Jul 1-6, 2026 | 1,121 LV | 19% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 3% | 6% | 4% | - | 16% | Wiki |
| Zogby Analytics | Jul 1-4, 2026 | 391 LV | 38% | 19% | 9% | 12% | - | 6% | 7% | 5% | - | Wiki |
| Focaldata | Jun 26-30, 2026 | 755 LV | 33% | 15% | 8% | 9% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 15% | Wiki |
| J.L. Partners | Jun 24-26, 2026 | 1,040 RV | 29% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 11% | Wiki |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Jun 17-23, 2026 | 464 LV | 26% | 16% | 8% | 9% | - | 3% | 5% | 5% | 18% | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | Jun 11-14, 2026 | 515 LV | 20% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 14% | Wiki |
| Noble Predictive Insights | Jun 1-4, 2026 | 1,013 RV | 27% | 14% | 11% | 8% | - | - | - | 2% | 17% | Wiki |
| Focaldata | May 29 - Jun 1, 2026 | 685 RV | 37% | 17% | 8% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 15% | Wiki |
| Harvard CAPS/Harris | May 29-31, 2026 | 1,725 RV | 44% | 26% | - | 8% | - | - | 10% | 7% | - | Wiki |
| TIPP Insights | May 26-28, 2026 | 593 RV | 31% | 14% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 17% | Wiki |
| Emerson College | May 24-25, 2026 | 432 LV | 17.9% | 15.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | - | - | 10% | 4.4% | 12% | Wiki |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 18-20, 2026 | 433 LV | 34% | 12% | 10% | 11% | - | 9% | 9% | 2% | - | Wiki |
| Overton Insights | May 16-20, 2026 | 661 LV | 9% | 13% | 16% | 12% | - | 4% | 8% | 1% | 14% | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | May 14-18, 2026 | 501 LV | 23% | 17% | 10% | 11% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 4% | - | Wiki |
| McLaughlin & Associates | May 12-18, 2026 | 459 LV | 28% | 16% | 9% | 7% | - | - | 6% | 2% | 18% | Wiki |
| Lake Research Partners | May 6-11, 2026 | 800 LV | 26% | 17% | 16% | 10% | - | 8% | 7% | 4% | - | Wiki |
| AtlasIntel | May 4-7, 2026 | 2,069 A | 12.9% | 21.2% | 22.4% | 26% | - | - | 2.4% | - | - | Wiki |
| Focaldata | May 1-5, 2026 | 1,339 LV | 38% | 16% | 9% | 9% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | Wiki |
| Harvard CAPS/Harris | Apr 23-26, 2026 | 2,745 RV | 50% | 22% | - | 8% | - | - | 9% | 6% | - | Wiki |
| Verasight | Apr 21-23, 2026 | 864 A | 22% | 15% | 12% | 13% | - | 6% | 4% | 2% | 5% | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | Apr 17-20, 2026 | 525 RV | 22% | 21% | 12% | 10% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 10% | Wiki |
| McLaughlin & Associates Not in average | Apr 8-15, 2026 | 457 RV | 29% | 15% | 10% | 4% | - | - | 4% | 3% | 16% | Wiki |
| YouGov | Apr 8-13, 2026 | 968 RV | 24% | 12% | 9% | 9% | - | - | 5% | 3% | 17% | Wiki |
| Harvard CAPS/Harris | Mar 25-26, 2026 | 2,009 RV | 41% | 26% | - | 8% | - | - | 10% | 7% | - | Wiki |
| Public Sentiment Institute | Mar 20, 2026 | 234 LV | 14.8% | 13.4% | 20.8% | 3.5% | - | - | 10.4% | 5.1% | 19% | Wiki |
| JL Partners/Daily Mail | Mar 18-20, 2026 | 541 LV | 22% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 10% | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | Mar 12-16, 2026 | 1,033 LV | 21% | 19% | 9% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 12% | Wiki |
| Focaldata | Mar 6-10, 2026 | 1,782 V | 39% | 22% | 8% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 4% | - | Wiki |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Mar 4-9, 2026 | 456 LV | 20% | 19% | 9% | 11% | - | - | 5% | 2% | 18% | Wiki |
| Yale Youth Poll | Mar 3-9, 2026 | 1,557 RV | 19.7% | 19.2% | 13.9% | 12.7% | - | 6.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | - | Wiki |
| Noble Predictive Insights | Mar 2-5, 2026 | 1,152 RV | 31% | 16% | 7% | 6% | - | - | 5% | 2% | 18% | Wiki |
| Public Sentiment Institute | Feb 28, 2026 | 124 LV | 15.2% | 29.3% | 9.3% | 5.8% | - | - | 7% | 3.8% | 12.9% | Wiki |
| J.L. Partners | Feb 25-27, 2026 | 1,095 RV | 23% | 19% | 10% | 9% | - | - | 5% | 4% | - | Wiki |
| Harvard CAPS/Harris Not in average | Feb 25-26, 2026 | 1,999 RV | 39% | 24% | - | 14% | 7% | - | 10% | 6% | - | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | Feb 19-23, 2026 | 1,002 LV | 18% | 24% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 15% | Wiki |
| Emerson College | Feb 21-22, 2026 | 438 LV | 13% | 20% | 16% | 9% | - | - | 7% | 3% | 24% | Wiki |
| YouGov | Feb 13-18, 2026 | 556 RV | 18% | 21% | 11% | 11% | - | 7% | 3% | 6% | - | Wiki |
| Manhattan Institute | Feb 6-15, 2026 | 1,782 RV | 23% | 20% | 8% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 15% | Wiki |
| YouGov | Feb 9-12, 2026 | 1,704 RV | 18% | 19% | 13% | 12% | - | 9% | - | 6% | 19% | Wiki |
| Focaldata | Feb 10, 2026 | 1,148 RV | 39% | 21% | 7% | 10% | - | - | 7% | 3% | - | Wiki |
| Harvard CAPS/Harris | Jan 28-29, 2026 | 2,000 RV | 39% | 30% | - | 12% | - | - | 9% | 7% | - | Wiki |
| TIPP Insights | Jan 27-29, 2026 | 527 RV | 38% | 13% | 5% | 2% | - | - | 4% | 3% | - | Wiki |
| Rasmussen Reports | Jan 25-27, 2026 | 1,115 LV | 34% | 20% | 10% | 7% | - | - | 10% | - | 8% | Wiki |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Jan 21-27, 2026 | 455 LV | 27% | 14% | 8% | 7% | - | - | 4% | 2% | 18% | Wiki |
| Big Data Poll | Jan 22-24, 2026 | 1,346 LV | 31.4% | 22.2% | 11.7% | 6.4% | - | - | 6.1% | - | 12.4% | Wiki |
| YouGov | Jan 9-14, 2026 | 2,250 LV | 20% | 17% | 8% | 9% | - | 7% | 2% | 3% | 17% | Wiki |
| Zogby Analytics | Jan 1-7, 2026 | 374 LV | 30% | 21% | 8% | 11% | - | 7% | 6% | 5% | 11% | Wiki |
| J.L. Partners | Dec 17-19, 2025 | 383 LV | 30% | 21% | 7% | 3% | - | - | 4% | 3% | 13% | Wiki |
| AtlasIntel | Dec 15-19, 2025 | 685 A | 7.8% | 35.4% | 14.5% | 16% | - | - | 6.1% | - | - | Wiki |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Dec 12-19, 2025 | 460 LV | 27% | 17% | 8% | 6% | - | - | 5% | 2% | 21% | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | Dec 11-15, 2025 | 498 LV | 22% | 23% | 11% | 6% | - | - | 4% | 5% | 12% | Wiki |
| Big Data Poll | Dec 10-12, 2025 | 1,331 RV | 31% | 20% | 10% | 6% | - | - | 6% | - | 14% | Wiki |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Nov 17-24, 2025 | 460 LV | 29% | 20% | 8% | 6% | - | - | 4% | 3% | 16% | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | Nov 13-17, 2025 | 484 LV | 17% | 29% | 12% | 6% | - | - | 3% | 2% | 11% | Wiki |
| Yale Youth Poll | Oct 29 - Nov 11, 2025 | 3,426 RV | 18% | 25% | 14% | 16% | - | - | 4% | - | 17% | Wiki |
| Morning Consult | Nov 7-9, 2025 | 984 RV | 29% | 20% | 8% | 7% | - | - | - | - | 36% | Wiki |
| YouGov | Nov 6-9, 2025 | 2,172 A | 21% | 19% | 10% | 6% | - | - | 3% | 2% | 17% | Wiki |
| Emerson College | Nov 3-4, 2025 | 417 RV | 10.3% | 24.5% | 8.6% | 2.8% | - | - | 2.6% | 2.3% | 34.9% | Wiki |
| Overton Insights | Oct 27-29, 2025 | 1,200 RV | 35% | 23% | 7% | 7% | - | - | 3% | 5% | 6% | Wiki |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Oct 21-27, 2025 | 437 LV | 25% | 22% | 6% | 4% | - | - | 6% | 4% | 17% | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | Oct 16-20, 2025 | 512 LV | 24% | 15% | 10% | 4% | - | - | 5% | 4% | 12% | Wiki |
| Noble Predictive Insights | Oct 2-6, 2025 | 2,565 RV | 33% | 21% | 7% | 8% | - | - | 4% | 4% | 17% | Wiki |
| Leger360 | Sep 26-29, 2025 | 341 LV | 24% | 19% | 9% | 9% | - | - | 8% | 6% | 17% | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | Sep 18-22, 2025 | 500 LV | 23% | 17% | 7% | 7% | - | - | 6% | 2% | 12% | Wiki |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Sep 17-22, 2025 | 429 LV | 21% | 22% | 7% | 5% | - | - | 4% | 2% | 20% | Wiki |
| AtlasIntel | Sep 12-16, 2025 | 323 A | 20.5% | 37.4% | 12.1% | 10.8% | - | - | 2.1% | - | - | Wiki |
| YouGov | Sep 5-8, 2025 | 1,114 A | 19% | 23% | 6% | 8% | - | - | - | 4% | 16% | Wiki |
| YouGov | Aug 29 - Sep 2, 2025 | 1,690 A | 19% | 21% | 10% | 12% | - | - | 4% | 7% | - | Wiki |
| Leger360 | Aug 29-31, 2025 | 328 LV | 30% | 24% | 8% | 10% | - | - | 2% | 4% | 18% | Wiki |
| Emerson College | Aug 25-26, 2025 | 387 RV | 11.4% | 25.1% | 16% | 4.1% | - | - | 5.3% | 4.1% | 15.9% | Wiki |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Aug 21-26, 2025 | 434 RV | 27% | 18% | 9% | 4% | - | - | 3% | 2% | 20% | Wiki |
| Morning Consult | Aug 22-24, 2025 | 1,000 LV | 29% | 19% | 9% | 6% | - | - | 4% | 3% | 22% | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | Aug 14-18, 2025 | 552 LV | 26% | 13% | 11% | 6% | - | - | 3% | 3% | 16% | Wiki |
| AtlasIntel | Jul 13-18, 2025 | 1,435 A | 14.5% | 15.8% | 26.7% | 18.5% | - | - | 3.2% | - | - | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | Jul 10-14, 2025 | 505 LV | 26% | 10% | 11% | 6% | - | - | 4% | 2% | 13% | Wiki |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Jul 9-14, 2025 | 444 LV | 25% | 9% | 8% | 9% | - | - | 4% | 2% | 22% | Wiki |
| Rasmussen Reports | Jun 25-29, 2025 | 1,229 LV | 22% | 12% | 8% | 6% | - | - | 12% | - | 15% | Wiki |
| Overton Insights | Jun 23-26, 2025 | 396 RV | 38% | 10% | 11% | 7% | - | - | 7% | - | 6% | Wiki |
| Emerson College | Jun 24-25, 2025 | 404 RV | 13% | 12% | 16% | 7% | - | - | 7% | 2% | 23% | Wiki |
| co/efficient Not in average | Jun 12-16, 2025 | 1,035 LV | 26% | 21% | 11% | 14% | - | - | 3% | - | 11% | Wiki |
| Morning Consult Not in average | Jun 13-15, 2025 | 1,000 RV | 34% | 11% | 7% | 7% | - | - | 2% | 2% | 16% | Wiki |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Jun 10-15, 2025 | 434 LV | 30% | 8% | 10% | 7% | - | - | 3% | 1% | 21% | Wiki |
| AtlasIntel | May 21-27, 2025 | 895 A | 16.6% | 7.1% | 31.5% | 19.4% | - | - | 4.8% | 0.1% | - | Wiki |
| McLaughlin & Associates | May 21-26, 2025 | 439 LV | 29% | 4% | 10% | 9% | - | - | 6% | 2% | 19% | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | May 8-12, 2025 | 471 LV | 32% | 5% | 10% | 8% | - | - | 2% | 5% | 13% | Wiki |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Apr 22-29, 2025 | 442 LV | 30% | 8% | 6% | 8% | - | - | 4% | 3% | 21% | Wiki |
| YouGov | Apr 21-23, 2025 | 1,296 A | 28% | 7% | 9% | 7% | - | - | 4% | 3% | 22% | Wiki |
| Quantus Insights | Apr 21-23, 2025 | 1,000 RV | 30% | 7% | 13% | 14% | - | - | 5% | - | 5% | Wiki |
| AtlasIntel | Apr 10-14, 2025 | 2,347 A | 24% | 7% | 28% | 16% | - | - | - | - | 2% | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | Apr 10-14, 2025 | 1,014 V | 28% | 4% | 7% | 7% | - | - | 3% | 3% | 12% | Wiki |
| Data for Progress | Apr 9-14, 2025 | 745 LV | 18% | 8% | 14% | 12% | - | - | 5% | 4% | 7% | Wiki |
| Yale Youth Poll | Apr 1-3, 2025 | 4,100 RV | 28% | 6% | 14% | 21% | - | - | 5% | 3% | - | Wiki |
| YouGov | Mar 30 - Apr 1, 2025 | 650 RV | 25% | 7% | 10% | 8% | - | - | - | - | 25% | Wiki |
| Morning Consult | Mar 14-16, 2025 | - | 36% | 5% | 10% | 5% | - | - | 4% | 2% | 13% | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | Mar 10-13, 2025 | 457 LV | 33% | 7% | 10% | 7% | - | - | 2% | 2% | 15% | Wiki |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Feb 11-18, 2025 | 418 LV | 36% | 4% | 8% | 3% | - | - | 3% | 2% | 23% | Wiki |
| SurveyUSA | Feb 13-16, 2025 | 835 RV | 37% | 9% | 11% | 7% | - | - | 6% | - | - | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | Feb 10-13, 2025 | 447 LV | 36% | 6% | 10% | 5% | - | - | 3% | 2% | 10% | Wiki |
| McLaughlin & Associates Not in average | Jan 22-27, 2025 | 414 LV | 33% | 7% | 9% | 6% | - | - | 3% | 1% | 22% | Wiki |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Dec 11-16, 2024 | 428 LV | 35% | 7% | 12% | 3% | - | - | 5% | 3% | 19% | Wiki |
| Emerson College | Nov 20-22, 2024 | 400 RV | 37% | 7% | 4% | 1% | - | - | 3% | 1% | 35% | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | Nov 14-18, 2024 | 457 LV | 41% | 8% | 6% | 4% | - | - | 7% | 2% | 16% | Wiki |
| Morning Consult | Nov 15-17, 2024 | 1,012 V | 43% | 8% | 9% | 4% | - | - | 5% | 1% | - | Wiki |
| Morning Consult | May 28-29, 2024 | 3,997 RV | 21% | 10% | 10% | - | - | - | 3% | - | 41% | Wiki |
| Echelon Insights | Jan 16-18, 2024 | 499 RV | 33% | 11% | 13% | - | - | - | 2% | 3% | 29% | Wiki |
| Public Sentiment Institute Not in average | June 2026 | 366 RV | 29.2% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | - | - | 11% | Wiki |
How the average works
Decided voters only, rescaled to 100. The average uses polls from the last 60 days, weighting recent and larger polls more; partisan polls (R or D) count half. A poll that leaves out a candidate averaging 15% or more is not used.
Poll lists adapted from Wikipedia: Nationwide opinion polling for the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries (revision 1382682450). Licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0; PollCheck averages are derived from them.
Photos: Gavin Newsom by Charles Ommanney - Office of the Governor of California, CC BY-SA 4.0 (source, cropped); Josh Shapiro by Maryland GovPics, CC BY 2.0 (source, cropped); others official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits