Wokingham
South East · County constituency · Wokingham borough
About the Wokingham constituency
Wokingham is a county constituency in the South East. The sitting MP is Clive Jones (Liberal Democrat), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, the Liberal Democrats won with 47.7% to 32.2% for the Conservatives, a majority of 8,345 votes on a 71.9% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Liberal Democrats on 45.2% and the Conservatives on 28.6%, a margin of 16.6 points.
Who lives in Wokingham? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Wokingham vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Wokingham
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Wokingham within Wokingham
Wokingham sits entirely within Wokingham Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Wokingham | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barkham & Arborfield | Lib Dem 44.3%vs Conservative 28.9% | May 2026 Lib Dem 39.6%vs Conservative 25.8% | Lib Dem share -4.7pp | 40.3% |
| Emmbrook | Lib Dem 53.7%vs Conservative 27.9% | May 2026 Lib Dem 45.2%vs Conservative 24.5% | Lib Dem share -8.5pp | 50.6% |
| Evendons | Lib Dem 52.3%vs Conservative 28.3% | May 2026 Lib Dem 39.6%vs Conservative 26.2% | Lib Dem share -12.7pp | 49.0% |
| Finchampstead | Conservative 42.0%vs Lib Dem 39.1% | May 2026 Conservative 38.6%vs Lib Dem 31.1% | Conservative share -3.4pp | 52.1% |
| Norreys | Lib Dem 37.6%vs Conservative 32.1% | May 2026 Labour 28.3%vs Conservative 25.2% | Lib Dem→Labour +16.7pp | 45.6% |
| Spencers Wood & Swallowfield | Lib Dem 40.9%vs Conservative 38.6% | May 2026 Lib Dem 31.0%vs Conservative 30.4% | Lib Dem share -9.9pp | 43.7% |
| Twyford, Ruscombe & Hurst | Conservative 44.6%vs Lib Dem 37.6% | May 2026 Lib Dem 59.2%vs Reform 16.2% | Conservative→Lib Dem +25.6pp | 53.8% |
| Wescott | Lib Dem 49.2%vs Conservative 29.1% | May 2026 Lib Dem 40.1%vs Conservative 27.3% | Lib Dem share -9.1pp | 45.7% |
| Winnersh | Lib Dem 55.8%vs Conservative 25.4% | May 2026 Lib Dem 44.8%vs Conservative 22.3% | Lib Dem share -11.0pp | 40.7% |
| Wokingham Without | Lib Dem 44.8%vs Conservative 35.6% | May 2026 Lib Dem 36.4%vs Conservative 36.1% | Lib Dem share -8.3pp | 50.0% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Wokingham at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Wokingham at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con hold | John Redwood | 10.1% | 52.7% | 28.0% | 13,492 | 71.4% |
| 2015 | Con hold | John Redwood | 14.5% | 57.7% | 13.5% | 24,197 | 71.9%+0.5 |
| 2017 | Con hold | John Redwood | 25.1% | 56.6% | 15.9% | 18,798 | 75.5%+3.6 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | John Redwood 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 9.9% | 55.5% | 32.3% | 12,750 | 78.3%+2.8 |
| 2024 | LD gain from Con | Clive Jones | 6.7% | 32.2% | 47.7% | 8,345 | 71.9%-6.4 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Wokingham
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Wokingham. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Graduate47.8 / 51.5vs 33.7
- ↓Leave42.7 / 41.6vs 53.2
- ↑Owner-occupied75.5 / 72.3vs 61.9
- ↑Owner-occupied75.5 / 75.4vs 61.9
- ↑Graduate47.8 / 46.2vs 33.7
- ↓Leave42.7 / 41.5vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate47.8 / 48.7vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied75.5 / 74.3vs 61.9
- ↓Leave42.7 / 38.6vs 53.2
- ↑Owner-occupied75.5 / 73.0vs 61.9
- ↑Graduate47.8 / 44.6vs 33.7
- ↓Social rent8.3 / 9.7vs 16.8
- ↑Graduate47.8 / 47.3vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied75.5 / 74.7vs 61.9
- ↓Leave42.7 / 45.0vs 53.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.