Fundraising
- Jefferson Shreve Ras of Oct 14, 2026Raised $2.5mSpent $1.5m · Cash $1.2m
- Cynthia (Cinde) Wirth Das of Oct 14, 2026Raised $92kSpent $65k · Cash $27k
3 other 2026 candidates filed reports (primary candidates). 3 other candidates have not filed.
Federal Election Commission, candidate totals, public domain.
President in this district
PollCheck calculation from precinct returns on the 2026 lines (method).
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Other | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris 32.8% | Trump 65.2% | 2.1% | R+32.4 |
| 2020 | Biden 33.0% | Trump 64.9% | 2.1% | R+31.9 |
| 2016 | Clinton 28.2% | Trump 65.3% | 6.5% | R+37.2 |
Who lives here
| Measure | This district | US |
|---|---|---|
| People | ||
| Population | 763,862 | |
| Adults (18+) | 579,477 | |
| Citizens, % of adults | 94.9% | 92.1% |
| Age, % of adults | ||
| 18 to 29 | 19.5% | 20.3% |
| 30 to 44 | 26.5% | 25.9% |
| 45 to 64 | 32.6% | 31.8% |
| 65 and over | 21.4% | 22.0% |
| Race and Hispanic origin, % of residents | ||
| White | 79.7% | 57.4% |
| Black | 5.0% | 11.9% |
| Hispanic | 5.7% | 19.3% |
| Asian | 5.4% | 5.9% |
| Other or more than one | 4.1% | 5.5% |
| Education and income | ||
| Bachelor's degree or higher, % of 25+ | 28.7% | 35.7% |
| Median household income | $76,875 | $80,734 |
American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates for this district. The tick marks the US figure.
Winning margin
Results since 1976
| Year | Winner | Share | Runner-up | Share | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current lines (2022 on) post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2024 | Jefferson Shreve Republican | 63.9% | Cynthia “Cinde” Wirth Democrat others 4.3% | 31.7% | R+32.2 |
| 2022 | Greg Pence Republican | 67.5% | Cynthia “Cinde” Wirth Democrat | 32.5% | R+35.1 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2012-2020 post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2020 | Greg Pence Republican | 68.7% | Jeannine Lee Lake Democrat others 3.6% | 27.8% | R+40.9 |
| 2018 | Greg Pence Republican | 63.8% | Jeannine Lee Lake Democrat others 3.3% | 32.9% | R+31.0 |
| 2016 | Luke Messer Republican | 69.1% | Barry Welsh Democrat others 4.2% | 26.7% | R+42.4 |
| 2014 | Luke Messer Republican | 65.9% | Susan Hall Heitzman Democrat others 4.8% | 29.4% | R+36.5 |
| 2012 | Luke Messer Republican | 59.1% | Bradley T. Bookout Democrat others 5.8% | 35.1% | R+24.0 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2002-2010 seat count changed from 10 to 9 after the census | |||||
| 2010 | Mike Pence Republican | 66.6% | Barry Welsh Democrat others 3.5% | 29.9% | R+36.6 |
| 2008 | Mike Pence Republican | 64.0% | Barry A. Welsh Democrat others 2.7% | 33.4% | R+30.6 |
| 2006 | Mike Pence Republican | 60.0% | Barry A. Welsh Democrat | 40.0% | R+20.0 |
| 2004 | Mike Pence Republican | 67.1% | Mel Fox Democrat others 1.6% | 31.3% | R+35.8 |
| 2002 | Mike Pence Republican | 63.8% | Melina Ann Fox Democrat others 1.8% | 34.4% | R+29.4 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1992-2000 post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2000 | Dan Burton Republican | 70.3% | Darin Patrick Griesey Democrat others 3.2% | 26.4% | R+43.9 |
| 1998 | Dan Burton Republican | 72.0% | Bob Kern Democrat others 11.2% | 16.8% | R+55.2 |
| 1996 | Dan Burton Republican | 74.9% | Carrie Jean Dillard-Trammell Democrat others 1.9% | 23.1% | R+51.8 |
| 1994 | Dan Burton Republican | 77.0% | Natalie M. Bruner Democrat | 23.0% | R+54.1 |
| 1992 | Dan Burton Republican | 72.2% | Natalie M. Bruner Democrat | 27.8% | R+44.3 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1982-1990 seat count changed from 11 to 10 after the census | |||||
| 1990 | Dan Burton Republican | 63.5% | James Phlip Fadely Democrat | 36.5% | R+26.9 |
| 1988 | Dan Burton Republican | 72.9% | George Thomas Holland Democrat | 27.1% | R+45.8 |
| 1986 | Dan Burton Republican | 68.3% | Thomas F. McKenna Democrat others 0.8% | 30.9% | R+37.5 |
| 1984 | Dan Burton Republican | 72.7% | Howard O. Campbell Democrat others 0.5% | 26.8% | R+46.0 |
| 1982 | Dan Burton Republican | 64.9% | George G. Grabianowski Democrat | 35.1% | R+29.9 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1976-1980 | |||||
| 1980 | Dave Evans Democrat | 50.2% | David G. Crane Republican | 49.8% | D+0.4 |
| 1978 | David W. Evans Democrat | 52.2% | David G. Crane Republican others 0.2% | 47.6% | D+4.5 |
| 1976 | David W. Evans Democrat | 54.9% | David G. Crane Republican | 45.1% | D+9.8 |
More on Indiana
Other Indiana districts
About these results
Shares count all candidate votes, including write-ins, with a candidate's votes on several party lines added together. Each result is on the lines in force at the time. Mid-decade redraws before 2016 may be unmarked.
President in this district: 2016 and 2020 are estimates: precinct votes are split between districts by census block.
Counties only partly inside the district show the 2024 result for that part; estimates are labelled.
Margin chart: winner minus runner-up. Gaps are unopposed races; dashed lines are new district lines.
Sources
Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2016 (doi:10.7910/DVN/IG0UN2, CC0; via MEDSL/constituency-returns), and Clerk of the US House, Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election 2018-2024 (public domain).
Presidential results: PollCheck calculation from MIT Election Data and Science Lab 2024 precinct returns (doi:10.7910/DVN/XDJYKC, doi:10.7910/DVN/USBYR4, CC0; state totals doi:10.7910/DVN/42MVDX, CC0) and Voting and Election Science Team 2016 and 2020 precinct results and shapes (doi:10.7910/DVN/NH5S2I, doi:10.7910/DVN/K7760H, CC BY 4.0), with US Census Bureau 2020 block populations and block equivalency files (public domain). Official figures: Texas Legislative Council (2024 on the 2026 lines); Louisiana, New Jersey, California and Washington election offices (county totals). Certified results transcribed by Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): Maine 2024 by district: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine (revision 1382530995); Indiana county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana (revision 1382505975); Oregon county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon (revision 1382605746).
District lines: US Census Bureau TIGER/Line 2026 (120th Congress) and 2025 cartographic boundary files (119th Congress), public domain.
Members: unitedstates/congress-legislators (CC0).
Counties: US Census Bureau 2024 cartographic boundary file (public domain); 2024 county results summed from the same MEDSL precinct returns, with the official county totals above.
Demographics: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 (public domain).
2028 candidates: Federal Election Commission (public domain).
Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits