Fundraising
- Mark Messmer Ras of Oct 14, 2026Raised $1.4mSpent $1.1m · Cash $551k
- Mary Theresa Allen Das of Oct 14, 2026Raised $493kSpent $386k · Cash $108k
4 other candidates have not filed.
Federal Election Commission, candidate totals, public domain.
President in this district
PollCheck calculation from precinct returns on the 2026 lines (method).
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Other | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris 31.2% | Trump 67.0% | 1.8% | R+35.8 |
| 2020 | Biden 32.7% | Trump 65.5% | 1.8% | R+32.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton 30.2% | Trump 64.3% | 5.5% | R+34.0 |
Who lives here
| Measure | This district | US |
|---|---|---|
| People | ||
| Population | 755,776 | |
| Adults (18+) | 588,433 | |
| Citizens, % of adults | 98.3% | 92.1% |
| Age, % of adults | ||
| 18 to 29 | 19.7% | 20.3% |
| 30 to 44 | 23.8% | 25.9% |
| 45 to 64 | 32.2% | 31.8% |
| 65 and over | 24.2% | 22.0% |
| Race and Hispanic origin, % of residents | ||
| White | 87.8% | 57.4% |
| Black | 3.6% | 11.9% |
| Hispanic | 3.3% | 19.3% |
| Asian | 1.0% | 5.9% |
| Other or more than one | 4.4% | 5.5% |
| Education and income | ||
| Bachelor's degree or higher, % of 25+ | 23.2% | 35.7% |
| Median household income | $65,139 | $80,734 |
American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates for this district. The tick marks the US figure.
Winning margin
Results since 1976
| Year | Winner | Share | Runner-up | Share | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current lines (2022 on) post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2024 | Mark Messmer Republican | 68.0% | Erik Hurt Democrat others 2.6% | 29.4% | R+38.5 |
| 2022 | Larry Bucshon Republican | 65.7% | Ray McCormick Democrat others 2.8% | 31.5% | R+34.2 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2012-2020 post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2020 | Larry Bucshon Republican | 67.0% | E. Thomasina Marsili Democrat others 3.2% | 29.9% | R+37.1 |
| 2018 | Larry Bucshon Republican | 64.4% | William Tanoos Democrat | 35.6% | R+28.9 |
| 2016 | Larry Bucshon Republican | 63.7% | Ron Drake Democrat others 4.6% | 31.7% | R+32.0 |
| 2014 | Larry Bucshon Republican | 60.3% | Tom Spangler Democrat others 3.8% | 35.8% | R+24.5 |
| 2012 | Larry Bucshon Republican | 53.4% | Dave Crooks Democrat others 3.6% | 43.1% | R+10.3 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2002-2010 seat count changed from 10 to 9 after the census | |||||
| 2010 | Larry D. Buchson Republican | 57.5% | W. Trent VanHaaften Democrat others 5.0% | 37.4% | R+20.1 |
| 2008 | Brad Ellsworth Democrat | 64.7% | Greg Goode Republican | 35.3% | D+29.5 |
| 2006 | Brad Ellsworth Democrat | 61.0% | John N. Hostettler Republican | 39.0% | D+22.0 |
| 2004 | John N. Hostettler Republican | 53.4% | Jon P. Jennings Democrat others 2.1% | 44.5% | R+8.8 |
| 2002 | John N. Hostettler Republican | 51.3% | Bryan L. Hartke Democrat others 2.7% | 46.0% | R+5.3 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1992-2000 post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2000 | John N. Hostettler Republican | 52.6% | Paul E. Perry Democrat others 2.1% | 45.3% | R+7.4 |
| 1998 | John N. Hostettler Republican | 52.1% | Gail Riecken Democrat others 1.9% | 46.0% | R+6.1 |
| 1996 | John N. Hostettler Republican | 50.0% | Jonathan Weinzapfel Democrat others 1.7% | 48.3% | R+1.7 |
| 1994 | John N. Hostettler Republican | 52.4% | Frank McCloskey Democrat | 47.6% | R+4.9 |
| 1992 | Frank McCloskey Democrat | 52.5% | Richard E. Mourdock Republican others 2.1% | 45.3% | D+7.2 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1982-1990 seat count changed from 11 to 10 after the census | |||||
| 1990 | Frank McCloskey Democrat | 54.7% | Richard E. Mourdock Republican | 45.3% | D+9.4 |
| 1988 | Frank McCloskey Democrat | 61.8% | John L. Myers Republican | 38.2% | D+23.6 |
| 1986 | Frank McCloskey Democrat | 53.0% | Richard D. McIntyre Republican others 0.5% | 46.5% | D+6.5 |
| 1984 | Frank McCloskey Democrat | 49.8% | Richard D. McIntyre Republican others 0.3% | 49.8% | D+0.0 |
| 1982 | Francis X. McCloskey Democrat | 51.4% | Joel Deckard Republican others 0.5% | 48.1% | D+3.3 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1976-1980 | |||||
| 1980 | Joel Deckard Republican | 55.2% | Kenneth C. Snider Democrat | 44.8% | R+10.3 |
| 1978 | H. Joel Deckard Republican | 52.0% | David L. Cornwell Democrat | 48.0% | R+4.0 |
| 1976 | David L. Cornwell Democrat | 50.5% | Belden Bell Republican | 49.5% | D+0.9 |
More on Indiana
Other Indiana districts
About these results
Shares count all candidate votes, including write-ins, with a candidate's votes on several party lines added together. Each result is on the lines in force at the time. Mid-decade redraws before 2016 may be unmarked.
President in this district: 2016 and 2020 are estimates: precinct votes are split between districts by census block.
Counties only partly inside the district show the 2024 result for that part; estimates are labelled.
Margin chart: winner minus runner-up. Gaps are unopposed races; dashed lines are new district lines.
Sources
Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2016 (doi:10.7910/DVN/IG0UN2, CC0; via MEDSL/constituency-returns), and Clerk of the US House, Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election 2018-2024 (public domain).
Presidential results: PollCheck calculation from MIT Election Data and Science Lab 2024 precinct returns (doi:10.7910/DVN/XDJYKC, doi:10.7910/DVN/USBYR4, CC0; state totals doi:10.7910/DVN/42MVDX, CC0) and Voting and Election Science Team 2016 and 2020 precinct results and shapes (doi:10.7910/DVN/NH5S2I, doi:10.7910/DVN/K7760H, CC BY 4.0), with US Census Bureau 2020 block populations and block equivalency files (public domain). Official figures: Texas Legislative Council (2024 on the 2026 lines); Louisiana, New Jersey, California and Washington election offices (county totals). Certified results transcribed by Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): Maine 2024 by district: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine (revision 1382530995); Indiana county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana (revision 1382505975); Oregon county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon (revision 1382605746).
District lines: US Census Bureau TIGER/Line 2026 (120th Congress) and 2025 cartographic boundary files (119th Congress), public domain.
Members: unitedstates/congress-legislators (CC0).
Counties: US Census Bureau 2024 cartographic boundary file (public domain); 2024 county results summed from the same MEDSL precinct returns, with the official county totals above.
Demographics: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 (public domain).
2028 candidates: Federal Election Commission (public domain).
Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits