House districts / Kentucky
Kentucky's 2nd congressional district
KY-2. Same lines in 2026 as in 2022.
Fundraising
- S. Brett Brett Guthrie Ras of Oct 14, 2026Raised $6.0mSpent $4.9m · Cash $1.4m
- Megan Wingfield Das of Oct 14, 2026Raised $10kSpent $8k · Cash $1k
4 other 2026 candidates filed reports (primary candidates). 2 other candidates have not filed.
Federal Election Commission, candidate totals, public domain.
President in this district
PollCheck calculation from precinct returns on the 2026 lines (method).
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Other | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris 28.6% | Trump 69.9% | 1.5% | R+41.3 |
| 2020 | Biden 30.8% | Trump 67.5% | 1.7% | R+36.7 |
| 2016 | Clinton 27.7% | Trump 67.6% | 4.7% | R+39.8 |
Who lives here
| Measure | This district | US |
|---|---|---|
| People | ||
| Population | 765,661 | |
| Adults (18+) | 587,602 | |
| Citizens, % of adults | 97.3% | 92.1% |
| Age, % of adults | ||
| 18 to 29 | 19.9% | 20.3% |
| 30 to 44 | 24.8% | 25.9% |
| 45 to 64 | 33.3% | 31.8% |
| 65 and over | 22.0% | 22.0% |
| Race and Hispanic origin, % of residents | ||
| White | 83.9% | 57.4% |
| Black | 5.1% | 11.9% |
| Hispanic | 4.6% | 19.3% |
| Asian | 2.1% | 5.9% |
| Other or more than one | 4.3% | 5.5% |
| Education and income | ||
| Bachelor's degree or higher, % of 25+ | 23.8% | 35.7% |
| Median household income | $66,796 | $80,734 |
American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates for this district. The tick marks the US figure.
Winning margin
Results since 1976
| Year | Winner | Share | Runner-up | Share | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current lines (2022 on) post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2024 | Brett Guthrie Republican | 73.1% | Hank Linderman Democrat | 26.9% | R+46.2 |
| 2022 | Brett Guthrie Republican | 71.9% | Hank Linderman Democrat | 28.1% | R+43.7 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2012-2020 post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2020 | Brett Guthrie Republican | 71.0% | Hank Linderman Democrat others 2.8% | 26.3% | R+44.7 |
| 2018 | Brett Guthrie Republican | 66.7% | Hank Linderman Democrat others 2.2% | 31.1% | R+35.6 |
| 2016 | Brett Guthrie Republican | 100.0% | R+100.0 | ||
| 2014 | Brett Guthrie Republican | 69.2% | Ron Leach Democrat | 30.8% | R+38.4 |
| 2012 | Brett Guthrie Republican | 64.3% | David Lynn Williams Democrat others 4.0% | 31.7% | R+32.6 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2002-2010 post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2010 | Brett Guthrie Republican | 67.9% | Ed Marksberry Democrat | 32.1% | R+35.8 |
| 2008 | S. Brett Guthrie Republican | 52.6% | David E. Boswell Democrat | 47.4% | R+5.1 |
| 2006 | Ron Lewis Republican | 55.4% | Mike Weaver Democrat | 44.6% | R+10.8 |
| 2004 | Ron Lewis Republican | 67.9% | Adam Smith Democrat | 32.1% | R+35.8 |
| 2002 | Ron Lewis Republican | 69.6% | David L. Williams Democrat others 1.2% | 29.2% | R+40.5 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1992-2000 seat count changed from 7 to 6 after the census | |||||
| 2000 | Ron Lewis Republican | 67.7% | Brian Pedigo Democrat others 0.9% | 31.4% | R+36.3 |
| 1998 | Ron Lewis Republican | 63.7% | Bob Evans Democrat others 1.0% | 35.3% | R+28.4 |
| 1996 | Ron Lewis Republican | 58.1% | Joe Wright Democrat | 41.9% | R+16.2 |
| 1994 | Ron Lewis Republican | 59.8% | David Adkisson Democrat | 40.2% | R+19.6 |
| 1992 | William H. Natcher Democrat | 61.4% | Bruce R. Bartley Republican | 38.6% | D+22.9 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1982-1990 post-census redistricting | |||||
| 1990 | William H. Natcher Democrat | 66.0% | Martin Tori Republican | 34.0% | D+32.1 |
| 1988 | William H. Natcher Democrat | 60.6% | Martin A. Tori Republican | 39.4% | D+21.2 |
| 1986 | William H. Natcher Democrat | 100.0% | D+100.0 | ||
| 1984 | William H. Natcher Democrat | 62.1% | Timothy A. Morrison Republican | 37.9% | D+24.3 |
| 1982 | William H. Natcher Democrat | 73.8% | Mark Watson Republican | 26.2% | D+47.7 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1976-1980 | |||||
| 1980 | William H. Natcher Democrat | 65.7% | Mark T. Watson Republican | 34.3% | D+31.3 |
| 1978 | William Natcher Democrat | 100.0% | others 0.1% | D+99.9 | |
| 1976 | William H. Natcher Democrat | 60.4% | Walter A. Baker Republican | 39.6% | D+20.7 |
More on Kentucky
Other Kentucky districts
About these results
Shares count all candidate votes, including write-ins, with a candidate's votes on several party lines added together. Each result is on the lines in force at the time. Mid-decade redraws before 2016 may be unmarked.
President in this district: 2016 and 2020 are estimates: precinct votes are split between districts by census block.
Counties only partly inside the district show the 2024 result for that part; estimates are labelled.
Margin chart: winner minus runner-up. Gaps are unopposed races; dashed lines are new district lines.
Sources
Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2016 (doi:10.7910/DVN/IG0UN2, CC0; via MEDSL/constituency-returns), and Clerk of the US House, Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election 2018-2024 (public domain).
Presidential results: PollCheck calculation from MIT Election Data and Science Lab 2024 precinct returns (doi:10.7910/DVN/XDJYKC, doi:10.7910/DVN/USBYR4, CC0; state totals doi:10.7910/DVN/42MVDX, CC0) and Voting and Election Science Team 2016 and 2020 precinct results and shapes (doi:10.7910/DVN/NH5S2I, doi:10.7910/DVN/K7760H, CC BY 4.0), with US Census Bureau 2020 block populations and block equivalency files (public domain). Official figures: Texas Legislative Council (2024 on the 2026 lines); Louisiana, New Jersey, California and Washington election offices (county totals). Certified results transcribed by Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): Maine 2024 by district: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine (revision 1382530995); Indiana county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana (revision 1382505975); Oregon county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon (revision 1382605746).
District lines: US Census Bureau TIGER/Line 2026 (120th Congress) and 2025 cartographic boundary files (119th Congress), public domain.
Members: unitedstates/congress-legislators (CC0).
Counties: US Census Bureau 2024 cartographic boundary file (public domain); 2024 county results summed from the same MEDSL precinct returns, with the official county totals above.
Demographics: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 (public domain).
2028 candidates: Federal Election Commission (public domain).
Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits