House districts / Kentucky
Kentucky's 4th congressional district
KY-4. Same lines in 2026 as in 2022.
Fundraising
- Ed Gallrein Ras of Oct 14, 2026Raised $4.1mSpent $3.7m · Cash $434k
- Melissa Claire Strange Das of Oct 14, 2026Raised $157kSpent $123k · Cash $41k
- Jeremy Ryan Todd LIBas of Oct 14, 2026Raised $31kSpent $27k · Cash $3k
6 other 2026 candidates filed reports (primary candidates). 3 other candidates have not filed.
Federal Election Commission, candidate totals, public domain.
President in this district
PollCheck calculation from precinct returns on the 2026 lines (method).
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Other | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris 31.4% | Trump 66.9% | 1.7% | R+35.5 |
| 2020 | Biden 32.8% | Trump 65.4% | 1.8% | R+32.5 |
| 2016 | Clinton 28.9% | Trump 65.6% | 5.6% | R+36.7 |
Who lives here
| Measure | This district | US |
|---|---|---|
| People | ||
| Population | 762,319 | |
| Adults (18+) | 583,736 | |
| Citizens, % of adults | 97.5% | 92.1% |
| Age, % of adults | ||
| 18 to 29 | 18.7% | 20.3% |
| 30 to 44 | 25.6% | 25.9% |
| 45 to 64 | 34.1% | 31.8% |
| 65 and over | 21.6% | 22.0% |
| Race and Hispanic origin, % of residents | ||
| White | 86.9% | 57.4% |
| Black | 3.1% | 11.9% |
| Hispanic | 4.5% | 19.3% |
| Asian | 1.2% | 5.9% |
| Other or more than one | 4.4% | 5.5% |
| Education and income | ||
| Bachelor's degree or higher, % of 25+ | 32.0% | 35.7% |
| Median household income | $80,457 | $80,734 |
American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates for this district. The tick marks the US figure.
Winning margin
Results since 1976
| Year | Winner | Share | Runner-up | Share | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current lines (2022 on) post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2024 | Thomas Massie Republican | 99.6% | Benjamin August Middendorf Write-in | 0.4% | R+99.2 |
| 2022 | Thomas Massie Republican | 65.0% | Matthew Lehman Democrat others 3.9% | 31.0% | R+34.0 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2012-2020 post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2020 | Thomas Massie Republican | 67.1% | Alexandra Owensby Democrat | 32.9% | R+34.2 |
| 2018 | Thomas Massie Republican | 62.2% | Seth Hall Democrat others 3.2% | 34.6% | R+27.7 |
| 2016 | Thomas Massie Republican | 71.3% | Calvin Sidle Democrat | 28.7% | R+42.6 |
| 2014 | Thomas Massie Republican | 67.7% | Peter Newberry Democrat | 32.3% | R+35.5 |
| 2012 | Thomas Massie Republican | 62.1% | William R. "Bill" Adkins Democrat others 2.9% | 35.0% | R+27.1 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2002-2010 post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2010 | Geoff Davis Republican | 69.5% | John Waltz Democrat | 30.5% | R+39.0 |
| 2008 | Geoff Davis Republican | 63.0% | Michael Kelley Democrat | 37.0% | R+26.1 |
| 2006 | Geoff Davis Republican | 51.7% | Ken Lucas Democrat others 4.9% | 43.4% | R+8.3 |
| 2004 | Geoff Davis Republican | 54.4% | Nick Clooney Democrat others 1.7% | 43.9% | R+10.5 |
| 2002 | Ken Lucas Democrat | 51.1% | Geoff Davis Republican others 1.3% | 47.5% | D+3.6 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1992-2000 seat count changed from 7 to 6 after the census | |||||
| 2000 | Ken Lucas Democrat | 54.3% | Don Bell Republican others 2.2% | 43.5% | D+10.7 |
| 1998 | Ken Lucas Democrat | 53.4% | Gex "Jay" Williams Republican | 46.6% | D+6.8 |
| 1996 | Jim Bunning Republican | 68.4% | Denny Bowman Democrat | 31.6% | R+36.8 |
| 1994 | Jim Bunning Republican | 74.2% | Sally Harris Skaggs Democrat | 25.9% | R+48.3 |
| 1992 | Jim Bunning Republican | 61.6% | Floyd G. Poore Democrat | 38.4% | R+23.3 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1982-1990 post-census redistricting | |||||
| 1990 | Jim Bunning Republican | 69.3% | Galen Martin Democrat | 30.7% | R+38.7 |
| 1988 | Jim Bunning Republican | 74.2% | Richard V. Beliles Democrat | 25.8% | R+48.4 |
| 1986 | Jim Bunning Republican | 55.1% | Terry L. Mann Democrat others 1.0% | 43.9% | R+11.2 |
| 1984 | Gene Snyder Republican | 53.6% | Wm. Patrick Mulloy II Democrat | 46.4% | R+7.3 |
| 1982 | Gene Snyder Republican | 54.2% | Terry L. Mann Democrat others 0.5% | 45.3% | R+8.9 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1976-1980 | |||||
| 1980 | Gene Snyder Republican | 67.0% | Phil M. McGary Democrat | 33.0% | R+34.0 |
| 1978 | M. Gene Snyder Republican | 65.8% | George Clarke Martin Democrat | 34.2% | R+31.7 |
| 1976 | Gene Snyder Republican | 55.9% | Edward J. Winterberg Democrat | 44.1% | R+11.7 |
More on Kentucky
Other Kentucky districts
About these results
Shares count all candidate votes, including write-ins, with a candidate's votes on several party lines added together. Each result is on the lines in force at the time. Mid-decade redraws before 2016 may be unmarked.
President in this district: 2016 and 2020 are estimates: precinct votes are split between districts by census block.
Counties only partly inside the district show the 2024 result for that part; estimates are labelled.
Margin chart: winner minus runner-up. Gaps are unopposed races; dashed lines are new district lines.
Sources
Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2016 (doi:10.7910/DVN/IG0UN2, CC0; via MEDSL/constituency-returns), and Clerk of the US House, Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election 2018-2024 (public domain).
Presidential results: PollCheck calculation from MIT Election Data and Science Lab 2024 precinct returns (doi:10.7910/DVN/XDJYKC, doi:10.7910/DVN/USBYR4, CC0; state totals doi:10.7910/DVN/42MVDX, CC0) and Voting and Election Science Team 2016 and 2020 precinct results and shapes (doi:10.7910/DVN/NH5S2I, doi:10.7910/DVN/K7760H, CC BY 4.0), with US Census Bureau 2020 block populations and block equivalency files (public domain). Official figures: Texas Legislative Council (2024 on the 2026 lines); Louisiana, New Jersey, California and Washington election offices (county totals). Certified results transcribed by Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): Maine 2024 by district: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine (revision 1382530995); Indiana county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana (revision 1382505975); Oregon county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon (revision 1382605746).
District lines: US Census Bureau TIGER/Line 2026 (120th Congress) and 2025 cartographic boundary files (119th Congress), public domain.
Members: unitedstates/congress-legislators (CC0).
Counties: US Census Bureau 2024 cartographic boundary file (public domain); 2024 county results summed from the same MEDSL precinct returns, with the official county totals above.
Demographics: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 (public domain).
2028 candidates: Federal Election Commission (public domain).
Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits