House districts / Missouri
Missouri's 4th congressional district
MO-4. Same lines in 2026 as in 2022.
Fundraising
- Mark Alford Ras of Oct 14, 2026Raised $1.6mSpent $1.1m · Cash $757k
- Jordan Herrera Das of Jul 15, 2026Raised $42kSpent $23k · Cash $19k
4 other 2026 candidates filed reports (primary candidates). 3 other candidates have not filed.
Federal Election Commission, candidate totals, public domain.
President in this district
PollCheck calculation from precinct returns on the 2026 lines (method).
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Other | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris 28.4% | Trump 70.3% | 1.3% | R+41.9 |
| 2020 | Biden 29.2% | Trump 68.8% | 2.0% | R+39.6 |
| 2016 | Clinton 26.6% | Trump 68.3% | 5.2% | R+41.7 |
Who lives here
| Measure | This district | US |
|---|---|---|
| People | ||
| Population | 782,304 | |
| Adults (18+) | 602,289 | |
| Citizens, % of adults | 98.5% | 92.1% |
| Age, % of adults | ||
| 18 to 29 | 21.0% | 20.3% |
| 30 to 44 | 24.0% | 25.9% |
| 45 to 64 | 31.5% | 31.8% |
| 65 and over | 23.5% | 22.0% |
| Race and Hispanic origin, % of residents | ||
| White | 84.1% | 57.4% |
| Black | 4.3% | 11.9% |
| Hispanic | 5.2% | 19.3% |
| Asian | 1.0% | 5.9% |
| Other or more than one | 5.4% | 5.5% |
| Education and income | ||
| Bachelor's degree or higher, % of 25+ | 25.2% | 35.7% |
| Median household income | $67,043 | $80,734 |
American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates for this district. The tick marks the US figure.
Winning margin
Results since 1976
| Year | Winner | Share | Runner-up | Share | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current lines (2022 on) post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2024 | Mark Alford Republican | 71.1% | Jeanette Cass Democrat others 2.5% | 26.4% | R+44.7 |
| 2022 | Mark Alford Republican | 71.3% | Jack Truman Democrat others 2.4% | 26.3% | R+45.0 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2012-2020 seat count changed from 9 to 8 after the census | |||||
| 2020 | Vicky Hartzler Republican | 67.6% | Lindsey Simmons Democrat others 2.7% | 29.7% | R+37.9 |
| 2018 | Vicky Hartzler Republican | 64.8% | Renee Hoagenson Democrat others 2.5% | 32.7% | R+32.1 |
| 2016 | Vicky Hartzler Republican | 67.8% | Gordon Christensen Democrat others 4.3% | 27.8% | R+40.0 |
| 2014 | Vicky Hartzler Republican | 68.1% | Nate Irvin Democrat others 5.6% | 26.4% | R+41.7 |
| 2012 | Vicky Hartzler Republican | 60.3% | Teresa Hensley Democrat others 4.2% | 35.5% | R+24.8 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2002-2010 post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2010 | Vicky Hartzler Republican | 50.4% | Ike Skelton Democrat others 4.5% | 45.1% | R+5.3 |
| 2008 | Ike Skelton Democrat | 65.9% | Jeff Parnell Republican | 34.1% | D+31.8 |
| 2006 | Ike Skelton Democrat | 67.6% | James A. (Jim) Noland Republican others 2.9% | 29.4% | D+38.2 |
| 2004 | Ike Skelton Democrat | 66.2% | James A. (Jim) Noland Republican others 1.4% | 32.4% | D+33.8 |
| 2002 | Ike Skelton Democrat | 67.6% | James A. (Jim) Noland Republican others 1.7% | 30.7% | D+37.0 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1992-2000 post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2000 | Ike Skelton Democrat | 66.9% | Jim Noland Republican others 1.8% | 31.3% | D+35.7 |
| 1998 | Ike Skelton Democrat | 71.0% | Cecilia D. Noland Republican others 1.8% | 27.2% | D+43.8 |
| 1996 | Ike Skelton Democrat | 63.8% | Bill Phelps Republican others 2.3% | 33.9% | D+29.9 |
| 1994 | Ike Skelton Democrat | 67.8% | James A. Noland, Jr. Republican | 32.2% | D+35.5 |
| 1992 | Ike Skelton Democrat | 70.4% | John Carley Republican | 29.6% | D+40.8 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1982-1990 seat count changed from 10 to 9 after the census | |||||
| 1990 | Ike Skelton Democrat | 61.9% | David Eyerly Republican | 38.1% | D+23.7 |
| 1988 | Ike Skelton Democrat | 71.8% | David Eyerly Republican | 28.2% | D+43.6 |
| 1986 | Ike Skelton Democrat | 100.0% | D+100.0 | ||
| 1984 | Ike Skelton Democrat | 66.9% | Carl D. Russell Republican | 33.1% | D+33.9 |
| 1982 | Ike Skelton Democrat | 54.8% | Wendell Bailey Republican | 45.2% | D+9.6 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1976-1980 | |||||
| 1980 | Ike Skelton Democrat | 67.8% | Bill Baker Republican | 32.2% | D+35.6 |
| 1978 | Ike Skelton Democrat | 72.8% | Bill Baker Republican | 27.2% | D+45.6 |
| 1976 | Ike Skelton Democrat | 55.9% | Richard A. King Republican | 44.1% | D+11.7 |
More on Missouri
Other Missouri districts
About these results
Shares count all candidate votes, including write-ins, with a candidate's votes on several party lines added together. Each result is on the lines in force at the time. Mid-decade redraws before 2016 may be unmarked.
President in this district: 2016 and 2020 are estimates: precinct votes are split between districts by census block.
Counties only partly inside the district show the 2024 result for that part; estimates are labelled.
Margin chart: winner minus runner-up. Gaps are unopposed races; dashed lines are new district lines.
Sources
Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2016 (doi:10.7910/DVN/IG0UN2, CC0; via MEDSL/constituency-returns), and Clerk of the US House, Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election 2018-2024 (public domain).
Presidential results: PollCheck calculation from MIT Election Data and Science Lab 2024 precinct returns (doi:10.7910/DVN/XDJYKC, doi:10.7910/DVN/USBYR4, CC0; state totals doi:10.7910/DVN/42MVDX, CC0) and Voting and Election Science Team 2016 and 2020 precinct results and shapes (doi:10.7910/DVN/NH5S2I, doi:10.7910/DVN/K7760H, CC BY 4.0), with US Census Bureau 2020 block populations and block equivalency files (public domain). Official figures: Texas Legislative Council (2024 on the 2026 lines); Louisiana, New Jersey, California and Washington election offices (county totals). Certified results transcribed by Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): Maine 2024 by district: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine (revision 1382530995); Indiana county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana (revision 1382505975); Oregon county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon (revision 1382605746).
District lines: US Census Bureau TIGER/Line 2026 (120th Congress) and 2025 cartographic boundary files (119th Congress), public domain.
Members: unitedstates/congress-legislators (CC0).
Counties: US Census Bureau 2024 cartographic boundary file (public domain); 2024 county results summed from the same MEDSL precinct returns, with the official county totals above.
Demographics: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 (public domain).
2028 candidates: Federal Election Commission (public domain).
Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits