Fundraising
- Troy Downing Ras of Oct 14, 2026Raised $2.7mSpent $2.1m · Cash $747k
- Michael D. Eisenhauer Ias of Oct 14, 2026Raised $354kSpent $331k · Cash $23k
- Brian James Miller Das of Oct 14, 2026Raised $31kSpent $29k · Cash $669
1 other 2026 candidate filed reports (primary candidate). 2 other candidates have not filed.
Federal Election Commission, candidate totals, public domain.
President in this district
PollCheck calculation from precinct returns on the 2026 lines (method).
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Other | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris 33.6% | Trump 63.2% | 3.2% | R+29.5 |
| 2020 | Biden 35.3% | Trump 62.2% | 2.5% | R+26.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton 31.5% | Trump 61.1% | 7.3% | R+29.6 |
Who lives here
| Measure | This district | US |
|---|---|---|
| People | ||
| Population | 552,014 | |
| Adults (18+) | 427,254 | |
| Citizens, % of adults | 99.0% | 92.1% |
| Age, % of adults | ||
| 18 to 29 | 17.8% | 20.3% |
| 30 to 44 | 24.9% | 25.9% |
| 45 to 64 | 31.2% | 31.8% |
| 65 and over | 26.1% | 22.0% |
| Race and Hispanic origin, % of residents | ||
| White | 82.0% | 57.4% |
| Black | 0.5% | 11.9% |
| Hispanic | 4.7% | 19.3% |
| Asian | 0.6% | 5.9% |
| Other or more than one | 12.2% | 5.5% |
| Education and income | ||
| Bachelor's degree or higher, % of 25+ | 31.4% | 35.7% |
| Median household income | $71,501 | $80,734 |
American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates for this district. The tick marks the US figure.
Winning margin
Results since 1976
| Year | Winner | Share | Runner-up | Share | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current lines (2022 on) seat count changed from 1 to 2 after the census | |||||
| 2024 | Troy Downing Republican | 66.0% | John B. Driscoll Democrat | 34.0% | R+32.0 |
| 2022 | Matthew M. Rosendale, Sr. Republican | 56.6% | Gary Buchanan Independent others 21.6% | 21.9% | R+34.7 |
| At-large, whole state, elections 1992-2020 seat count changed from 2 to 1 after the census | |||||
| 2020 At-large | Matt Rosendale Republican | 56.4% | Kathleen Williams Democrat | 43.6% | R+12.8 |
| 2018 At-large | Greg Gianforte Republican | 50.9% | Kathleen Williams Democrat others 2.9% | 46.2% | R+4.6 |
| 2016 At-large | Ryan K. Zinke Republican | 56.2% | Denise Juneau Democrat others 3.3% | 40.5% | R+15.6 |
| 2014 At-large | Ryan Zinke Republican | 55.4% | John Lewis Democrat others 4.2% | 40.4% | R+15.0 |
| 2012 At-large | Steve Daines Republican | 53.2% | Kim Gillan Democrat others 4.0% | 42.7% | R+10.5 |
| 2010 At-large | Denny Rehberg Republican | 60.4% | Dennis McDonald Democrat others 5.7% | 33.8% | R+26.6 |
| 2008 At-large | Dennis R. Rehberg Republican | 64.1% | John Driscoll Democrat others 3.4% | 32.4% | R+31.7 |
| 2006 At-large | Dennis R. Rehberg Republican | 58.9% | Monica J. Lindeen Democrat others 2.0% | 39.1% | R+19.8 |
| 2004 At-large | Dennis R. Rehberg Republican | 64.4% | Tracy Velazquez Democrat others 2.8% | 32.8% | R+31.6 |
| 2002 At-large | Dennis R. Rehberg Republican | 64.6% | Steve Kelly Democrat others 2.7% | 32.7% | R+31.9 |
| 2000 At-large | Dennis Rehberg Republican | 51.5% | Nancy Keenan Democrat others 2.2% | 46.3% | R+5.2 |
| 1998 At-large | Rick Hill Republican | 53.0% | Dusty Deschamps Democrat others 2.6% | 44.4% | R+8.7 |
| 1996 At-large | Rick Hill Republican | 52.4% | Bill Yellowtail Democrat others 4.4% | 43.1% | R+9.3 |
| 1994 At-large | Pat Williams Democrat | 48.7% | Cy Jamison Republican others 9.1% | 42.2% | D+6.4 |
| 1992 At-large | Pat Williams Democrat | 50.5% | Ron Marlenee Republican others 2.6% | 47.0% | D+3.5 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1982-1990 post-census redistricting | |||||
| 1990 | Ron Marlenee Republican | 63.0% | Don Burris Democrat | 37.0% | R+25.9 |
| 1988 | Ron Marlenee Republican | 55.5% | Buck O'Brien Democrat | 44.5% | R+11.0 |
| 1986 | Ron Marlenee Republican | 53.5% | Buck O'Brien Democrat | 46.5% | R+6.9 |
| 1984 | Ron Marlenee Republican | 65.9% | Chet Blaylock Democrat | 34.1% | R+31.8 |
| 1982 | Ron Marienee Republican | 53.7% | Howard F. Lyman Democrat others 2.1% | 44.2% | R+9.5 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1976-1980 | |||||
| 1980 | Ron Marlenee Republican | 59.1% | Tom (Thomas) Monahan Democrat | 40.9% | R+18.1 |
| 1978 | Ron Marlenee Republican | 56.9% | Thomas G. Monahan Democrat | 43.1% | R+13.7 |
| 1976 | Ron Marlence Republican | 55.0% | Thomas E. "Tom" Towe Democrat | 45.0% | R+9.9 |
More on Montana
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About these results
Shares count all candidate votes, including write-ins, with a candidate's votes on several party lines added together. Each result is on the lines in force at the time. Mid-decade redraws before 2016 may be unmarked.
President in this district: 2016 and 2020 are estimates: precinct votes are split between districts by census block.
Counties only partly inside the district show the 2024 result for that part; estimates are labelled.
Margin chart: winner minus runner-up. Gaps are unopposed races; dashed lines are new district lines.
Sources
Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2016 (doi:10.7910/DVN/IG0UN2, CC0; via MEDSL/constituency-returns), and Clerk of the US House, Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election 2018-2024 (public domain).
Presidential results: PollCheck calculation from MIT Election Data and Science Lab 2024 precinct returns (doi:10.7910/DVN/XDJYKC, doi:10.7910/DVN/USBYR4, CC0; state totals doi:10.7910/DVN/42MVDX, CC0) and Voting and Election Science Team 2016 and 2020 precinct results and shapes (doi:10.7910/DVN/NH5S2I, doi:10.7910/DVN/K7760H, CC BY 4.0), with US Census Bureau 2020 block populations and block equivalency files (public domain). Official figures: Texas Legislative Council (2024 on the 2026 lines); Louisiana, New Jersey, California and Washington election offices (county totals). Certified results transcribed by Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): Maine 2024 by district: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine (revision 1382530995); Indiana county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana (revision 1382505975); Oregon county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon (revision 1382605746).
District lines: US Census Bureau TIGER/Line 2026 (120th Congress) and 2025 cartographic boundary files (119th Congress), public domain.
Members: unitedstates/congress-legislators (CC0).
Counties: US Census Bureau 2024 cartographic boundary file (public domain); 2024 county results summed from the same MEDSL precinct returns, with the official county totals above.
Demographics: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 (public domain).
2028 candidates: Federal Election Commission (public domain).
Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits