US / US midterms 2026 / Montana Senate
Montana senate
Montana Senate 2026 results: Kurt Alme (R) vs Alani Bankhead (D)
Election day 3 November 2026
Result
Result so far: 80% reporting
DDHQ projects Kurt Alme (R), 1:16 am Wed ET
Kurt Alme R49.0%
222,058 votes
Seth Bodnar I37.3%
168,943 votes
Alani Bankhead D11.9%
54,147 votes
Kyle Austin L1.8%
8,313 votes
civicAPI, 10:49 am Wed ET (3:49 pm Wed UK).
Final pre-election PollCheck polling average
Kurt Alme (R)
38.0%
-4.8 in 30 days
Alani Bankhead (D)
17.9%
-0.1 in 30 days
Seth Bodnar (I)
28.7%
+0.9 in 30 days
Kyle Austin (L)
3.0%
-0.5 in 30 days
Win probability
93%
Alme - Likely R
- Incumbent
- Steve Daines (R)
- Status
- Incumbent retiring
- Last result
- 2020: Steve Daines (R) 55%, Steve Bullock (D) 45%
- 2024 president
- R+19.9
- Election day
- 3 November 2026, polls close 10 pm Eastern (3 am Wed UK)
Polling trend
Montana senate polling average
Every poll
23 general election polls
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Alme | Bankhead | Bodnar | Austin | Spread | vs avg | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concord Public Opinion Partners D Leans D+2.4Poll sponsored by Education Reform Now Advocacy, a nonprofit associated with Democrats for Education Reform . | 22 Oct 2026 - 23 Oct 2026 | 410 LV | 38% | 10% | 39% | 2% | Bodnar +1 | Alme +7.9 | Pollster |
| Montana State University Billings | 5 Oct 2026 - 21 Oct 2026 | 720 A | 30% | 21% | 26% | 3% | Alme +4 | Alme -10.4 | Pollster |
| Quantus Insights R Leans R+1.4 | 15 Oct 2026 - 18 Oct 2026 | 667 LV | 46% | 21% | 29% | 2% | Alme +17 | Alme -0.3 | Pollster |
| Quantus Insights R Leans R+1.4Not in average: same survey, another version used | 15 Oct 2026 - 18 Oct 2026 | 667 LV | 44% | 21% | 28% | 2% | Alme +16 | Alme -2.3 | Pollster |
| Quantus Insights R Leans R+1.4Not in average: same survey, another version used | 15 Oct 2026 - 18 Oct 2026 | 667 LV | 47% | 22% | 31% | - | Alme +16 | Alme -0.3 | Pollster |
| Peak Insights R Leans R+1.9Poll sponsored by Alme's campaign | 7 Oct 2026 - 12 Oct 2026 | 500 LV | 44% | 12% | 29% | 3% | Alme +15 | Alme +6.7 | Pollster |
| Concord Public Opinion Partners D Leans D+2.4Poll sponsored by Education Reform Now Advocacy, a nonprofit associated with Democrats for Education Reform . | 6 Oct 2026 - 8 Oct 2026 | 405 LV | 35% | 13% | 37% | 1% | Bodnar +2 | Alme -2.7 | Pollster |
| American Pulse Research↑ Poll sponsored by KULR-TV | 19 Sep 2026 - 24 Sep 2026 | 604 LV | 45% | 19% | 26% | 3% | Alme +19 | Alme +1.2 | Pollster |
| Quantus Insights R Leans R+1.4 | 14 Sep 2026 - 15 Sep 2026 | 625 LV | 44% | 23% | 24% | - | Alme +20 | Alme -3.4 | Pollster |
| Aspect Strategic↑ Everett, Burgess [@burgessev] (September 22, 2026). "New Montana Senate poll from Aspect Strategic, commissioned by Montana Freedom PAC, shows Democrat Bankhead cratering" ( Tweet ) . Retrieved September 23, 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter) .; ↑ Poll sponsored by Montana Freedom PAC, which supports Bodnar | 7 Sep 2026 - 15 Sep 2026 | 715 LV | 44% | 14% | 32% | 3% | Alme +12 | Alme +5.6 | Pollster |
| Rutgers-Eagleton↑ Poll sponsored by the Montana Free Press | 27 Aug 2026 - 7 Sep 2026 | 845 RV | 38% | 16% | 30% | 5% | Alme +8 | Alme +0.2 | Pollster |
| Peak Insights R Leans R+1.9Poll sponsored by Alme's campaign | 23 Aug 2026 - 25 Aug 2026 | 600 LV | 44% | 19% | 22% | 2% | Alme +22 | Alme +3.4 | Pollster |
| Hart Research D Leans R+1.6↑ Poll sponsored by Forward Montana, which supports Bodnar | 1 Aug 2026 - 4 Aug 2026 | 800 LV | 45% | 15% | 30% | 6% | Alme +15 | Alme +9.4 | Pollster |
| Hart Research D Leans R+1.6↑ Poll sponsored by Forward Montana, which supports BodnarNot in average: same survey, another version used | 1 Aug 2026 - 4 Aug 2026 | 800 LV | 46% | - | 46% | - | Tie | Pollster | |
| Hart Research D Leans R+1.6↑ Poll sponsored by Forward Montana, which supports BodnarNot in average: same survey, another version used | 1 Aug 2026 - 4 Aug 2026 | 800 LV | 52% | 38% | - | - | Alme +14 | Alme -6.6 | Pollster |
| Tavern Research D Leans R+1.8 | 23 Jul 2026 - 27 Jul 2026 | 517 LV | 49% | 24% | 25% | 2% | Alme +24 | Alme +6.2 | Pollster |
| Tavern Research D Leans R+1.8Not in average: same survey, another version used | 23 Jul 2026 - 27 Jul 2026 | 517 LV | 49% | 24% | 27% | - | Alme +22 | Alme +6.2 | Pollster |
| GQR DPoll commissioned by Contours Inc. | 23 Jul 2026 - 26 Jul 2026 | 500 LV | 41% | 22% | 27% | 6% | Alme +14 | Alme +0.8 | Pollster |
| Bullfinch Group R Leans D+1.4 | 13 Jul 2026 - 16 Jul 2026 | 793 LV | 36% | 22% | 24% | - | Alme +12 | Alme -3.9 | Pollster |
| GrayHouse R Leans R+1.6 | 23 Jun 2026 - 24 Jun 2026 | 500 RV | 41% | 25% | 17% | 3% | Alme +16 | Alme -3.6 | Pollster |
| Hart Research D Leans R+1.6Poll commissioned by The Majority Institute, a research firm that supports Democrats | 18 Jun 2026 - 24 Jun 2026 | 800 LV | 47% | 22% | 25% | - | Alme +22 | Alme +5.4 | Pollster |
| Tavern Research D Leans R+1.8 | 16 Jun 2026 - 19 Jun 2026 | 400 LV | 49% | 26% | 24% | 2% | Alme +23 | Pollster | |
| Public Opinion Strategies R Leans R+0.6↑ Poll commissioned by The Political Company, a consulting firm that supports Republicans | 8 Jun 2026 - 11 Jun 2026 | 500 LV | 44% | 25% | 20% | 4% | Alme +19 | Pollster |
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Poll list adapted from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0).