US / US midterms 2026 / Maine Senate
Maine senate
Maine Senate 2026 results: Susan Collins (R) vs Troy Jackson (D)
Election day 3 November 2026
Result
Result so far: 91% reporting, first choices; ranked-choice count if no one passes 50%
DDHQ projects Troy Jackson (D), 1:10 am Wed ET
Democratic gain from Republicans
Troy Jackson D53.5%
361,071 votes
Susan Collins R46.4%
313,533 votes
Others O0.1%
862 votes
civicAPI, 10:46 am Wed ET (3:46 pm Wed UK).
Final pre-election PollCheck polling average
Susan Collins (R)
47.1%
+0.2 in 30 days
Troy Jackson (D)
49.6%
+1.1 in 30 days
Win probability
64%
Jackson - Toss-up
- Incumbent
- Susan Collins (R)
- Status
- Incumbent renominated
- Last result
- 2020: Susan Collins (R) 51%, Sara Gideon (D) 42.4%
- Election day
- 3 November 2026, polls close 8 pm Eastern (1 am Wed UK)
Polling trend
Maine senate polling average
Every poll
45 general election polls
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Collins | Jackson | Spread | vs avg | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports R Leans R+0.9 | 27 Oct 2026 - 2 Nov 2026 | 896 LV | 46% | 49% | Jackson +3 | Collins -0.5 | Pollster |
| Emerson College Leans R+0.2↑ Poll sponsored by Poll Vault , a Substack newsletter authored by Sean Trende . | 31 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 600 LV | 51% | 49% | Collins +2 | Collins +4.5 | Pollster |
| AtlasIntel Leans D+3.5 | 28 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 967 LV | 44% | 53% | Jackson +9 | Collins -6.5 | Pollster |
| Survey 160 Leans D+1.7 | 27 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 1,323 LV | 47% | 50% | Jackson +3 | Collins -0.5 | Pollster |
| Survey 160 Leans D+1.7Not in average: same survey, another version used | 27 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 1,323 LV | 46% | 50% | Jackson +4 | Collins -1.5 | Pollster |
| Survey 160 Leans D+1.7Not in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 27 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 1,335 RV | 47% | 49% | Jackson +2 | Collins +0.5 | Pollster |
| Survey 160 Leans D+1.7Not in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 27 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 1,335 RV | 46% | 49% | Jackson +3 | Collins -0.5 | Pollster |
| New York Times / Siena University Leans D+1.0 | 27 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 714 LV | 45% | 51% | Jackson +6 | Collins -3.5 | Pollster |
| University of New Hampshire Leans D+2.2 | 27 Oct 2026 - 31 Oct 2026 | 1,654 LV | 45% | 54% | Jackson +9 | Collins -6.6 | Pollster |
| YouGov Leans D+0.4 | 26 Oct 2026 - 29 Oct 2026 | 1,503 LV | 47% | 52% | Jackson +5 | Collins -2.8 | Pollster |
| Data for Progress D Leans D+0.2 | 23 Oct 2026 - 27 Oct 2026 | 652 LV | 45% | 50% | Jackson +5 | Collins -3.1 | Pollster |
| SSRS Leans D+0.8↑ "CNN poll conducted by SSRS Maine October" . CNN . October 29, 2026 . Retrieved October 29, 2026 – via DocumentCloud .; ↑ Poll conducted for CNN | 20 Oct 2026 - 26 Oct 2026 | 783 LV | 45% | 49% | Jackson +4 | Collins -2.3 | Pollster |
| Marist University Leans D+1.6 | 22 Oct 2026 - 25 Oct 2026 | - LV | 47% | 49% | Jackson +2 | Collins -0.4 | Pollster |
| Marist University Leans D+1.6Not in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 22 Oct 2026 - 25 Oct 2026 | 1,449 RV | 44% | 53% | Jackson +9 | Collins -7.4 | Pollster |
| Trafalgar Group R Leans R+1.5 | 21 Oct 2026 - 23 Oct 2026 | 1,077 LV | 47% | 47% | Tie | Collins +1.7 | Pollster |
| Echelon Insights R Leans R+0.8 | 16 Oct 2026 - 23 Oct 2026 | 413 LV | 44% | 51% | Jackson +7 | Collins -5.3 | Pollster |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) Leans D+0.3↑ Poll conducted for Fox News | 16 Oct 2026 - 20 Oct 2026 | 1,514 LV | 49% | 49% | Tie | Collins +1.4 | Pollster |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) Leans D+0.3↑ Poll conducted for Fox NewsNot in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 16 Oct 2026 - 20 Oct 2026 | 1,689 RV | 48% | 50% | Jackson +2 | Collins -0.6 | Pollster |
| InsiderAdvantage R Leans R+1.1 | 13 Oct 2026 - 14 Oct 2026 | 1,200 LV | 47% | 49% | Jackson +2 | Collins -0.4 | Pollster |
| Suffolk University Leans D+1.0 | 8 Oct 2026 - 11 Oct 2026 | 500 LV | 47% | 49% | Jackson +2 | Collins -0.4 | Pollster |
| Rasmussen Reports R Leans R+0.9 | 5 Oct 2026 - 8 Oct 2026 | 804 LV | 47% | 49% | Jackson +2 | Collins -0.4 | Pollster |
| The Washington Post / SSPG Leans D+2.7 | 30 Sep 2026 - 5 Oct 2026 | 800 LV | 46% | 50% | Jackson +4 | Collins -2.5 | Pollster |
| Marist University Leans D+1.6 | 1 Oct 2026 - 4 Oct 2026 | 1,505 RV | 47% | 51% | Jackson +4 | Collins -2.4 | Pollster |
| Trafalgar Group R Leans R+1.5 | 29 Sep 2026 - 1 Oct 2026 | 1,091 LV | 46% | 46% | Tie | Collins +1.4 | Pollster |
| CBS News / YouGov Leans D+0.4 | 23 Sep 2026 - 1 Oct 2026 | 1,136 LV | 50% | 50% | Tie | Collins +1.4 | Pollster |
| co/efficient R Leans R+3.3 | 28 Sep 2026 - 30 Sep 2026 | 1,240 LV | 48% | 46% | Collins +2 | Collins +3.7 | Pollster |
| Maine People's Resource Center | 25 Sep 2026 - 29 Sep 2026 | 684 LV | 47% | 49% | Jackson +2 | Collins -0.2 | Pollster |
| InsiderAdvantage R Leans R+1.1 | 22 Sep 2026 - 23 Sep 2026 | 1,200 LV | 46% | 46% | Tie | Collins +1.7 | Pollster |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D) Leans D+0.8↑ Poll commissioned by AARP | 20 Sep 2026 - 22 Sep 2026 | 982 LV | 47% | 50% | Jackson +3 | Collins -1.1 | Pollster |
| New York Times / Siena University Leans D+1.0 | 15 Sep 2026 - 22 Sep 2026 | 619 LV | 49% | 46% | Collins +3 | Collins +4.9 | Pollster |
| University of New Hampshire Leans D+2.2 | 17 Sep 2026 - 21 Sep 2026 | 1,312 LV | 47% | 51% | Jackson +4 | Collins -1.1 | Pollster |
| Quantus Insights R Leans R+1.4 | 14 Sep 2026 - 15 Sep 2026 | 621 LV | 48% | 47% | Collins +1 | Collins +4.1 | Pollster |
| Quantus Insights R Leans R+1.4Not in average: same survey, another version used | 14 Sep 2026 - 15 Sep 2026 | 621 LV | 47% | 46% | Collins +1 | Collins +4.1 | Pollster |
| University of Massachusetts / YouGov Leans D+0.4 | 28 Aug 2026 - 14 Sep 2026 | 650 LV | 43% | 48% | Jackson +5 | Collins -1.7 | Pollster |
| Rasmussen Reports R Leans R+0.9 | 8 Sep 2026 - 10 Sep 2026 | 1,033 LV | 45% | 46% | Jackson +1 | Collins +1.9 | Pollster |
| YouGov Leans D+0.4 | 2 Sep 2026 - 8 Sep 2026 | 1,335 LV | 44% | 48% | Jackson +4 | Collins -0.8 | Pollster |
| YouGov Leans D+0.4Not in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 2 Sep 2026 - 8 Sep 2026 | 1,378 RV | 44% | 46% | Jackson +2 | Collins +1.2 | Pollster |
| SSRS Leans D+0.8↑ "CNN Poll Conducted by SSRS - Maine" . SSRS . September 9, 2026 . Retrieved September 9, 2026 – via DocumentCloud .; ↑ Poll conducted for CNN | 31 Aug 2026 - 6 Sep 2026 | 880 LV | 45% | 48% | Jackson +3 | Collins -0.1 | Pollster |
| Abacus Data Leans D+2.5 | 26 Aug 2026 - 28 Aug 2026 | 327 LV | 43% | 52% | Jackson +9 | Collins -5.5 | Pollster |
| Abacus Data Leans D+2.5Not in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 26 Aug 2026 - 28 Aug 2026 | 500 RV | 46% | 45% | Collins +1 | Collins +4.5 | Pollster |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) Leans D+0.3Poll conducted for Fox News | 6 Aug 2026 - 10 Aug 2026 | 1,000 RV | 46% | 48% | Jackson +2 | 0.0 | Pollster |
| Hart Research D Leans R+1.6↑ Poll sponsored by Senate Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.S. Senate | 27 Jul 2026 - 1 Aug 2026 | 802 LV | 45% | 49% | Jackson +4 | Collins -1.8 | Pollster |
| University of New Hampshire Leans D+2.2 | 15 Jul 2026 - 20 Jul 2026 | 1,178 LV | 46% | 49% | Jackson +3 | Collins -2.1 | Pollster |
| Z to A Research D Leans D+0.6Poll commissioned by a pro-Shah group | 7 Jul 2026 - 8 Jul 2026 | 988 LV | 48% | 47% | Collins +1 | Pollster | |
| Public Policy Polling D Leans D+0.9Poll sponsored by Platner's campaign. | 7 Jul 2026 | 785 LV | 44% | 49% | Jackson +5 | Pollster |
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Poll list adapted from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0).