US / US midterms 2026 / Governors

Governor races 2026

2026 governor races: polls and ratings in all 36 states

Final pre-election PollCheck polling averages

Alaska: Likely D Alabama: Safe R Arkansas: Safe R Arizona: Likely D California: Safe D Colorado: Safe D Connecticut: Safe D District of Columbia: no race Delaware: no race Florida: Likely R Georgia: Toss-up Hawaii: Safe D Iowa: Likely D Idaho: Safe R Illinois: Safe D Indiana: no race Kansas: Lean R Kentucky: no race Louisiana: no race Massachusetts: Safe D Maryland: Safe D Maine: Safe D Michigan: Safe D Minnesota: Safe D Missouri: no race Mississippi: no race Montana: no race North Carolina: no race North Dakota: no race Nebraska: Likely R New Hampshire: Safe R New Jersey: no race New Mexico: Likely D Nevada: Toss-up New York: Safe D Ohio: Lean D Oklahoma: Lean R Oregon: Toss-up Pennsylvania: Safe D Rhode Island: Safe D South Carolina: Safe R South Dakota: Safe R Tennessee: Safe R Texas: Likely R Utah: no race Virginia: no race Vermont: Toss-up Washington: no race Wisconsin: Lean D West Virginia: no race Wyoming: Safe R AK AL AR AZ CA CO FL GA IA ID IL IN KS KY LA ME MI MN MO MS MT NC ND NE NM NV NY OH OK OR PA SC SD TN TX UT VA WA WI WV WY
Safe DLikely DLean DToss-upLean RLikely RSafe RNo race
CT Safe DHI Safe DMD Safe DMA Safe DNH Safe RRI Safe DVT Toss-up
Every governor race

Governor polling averages by state

StatePollCheck leanAverageCandidatesLast result
Oregon Toss-upKotek 50% - 4 polls, 2 pollsters, 1 pt to R Kotek +1.0 Tina Kotek (D) 45.3%
Christine Drazan (R) 44.3%		 2022: Tina Kotek (D) 47%, Christine Drazan (R) 43.6%
Nevada Toss-upFord 52% - 9 polls, 8 pollsters, 1 pt to R Ford +1.3 Joe Lombardo (R) 44.7%
Aaron Ford (D) 46.0%		 2022: Joe Lombardo (R) 48.8%, Steve Sisolak (D) 47.3%
Georgia Toss-upJackson 60% - 16 polls, 11 pollsters, 1 pt to RRunoff likely: leader under 50% Jackson +0.2 Rick Jackson (R) 47.2%
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) 47.0%		 2022: Brian Kemp (R) 53.4%, Stacey Abrams (D) 45.9%
Vermont Toss-upScott 61% - 5 polls, 3 pollsters, 1 pt to R Scott +0.8 Phil Scott (R) 46.1%
Amanda Janoo (D) 45.3%		 2024: Phil Scott (R) 73.4%, Esther Charlestin (D) 21.8%
Kansas Lean RMasterson 69% - 14 polls, 9 pollsters, 1 pt to R Masterson +1.2 Cindy Holscher (D) 47.5%
Ty Masterson (R) 48.7%		 2022: Laura Kelly (D) 49.5%, Derek Schmidt (R) 47.3%
Ohio Lean DActon 73% - 31 polls, 23 pollsters, 1 pt to R Acton +3.4 Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 45.3%
Amy Acton (D) 48.7%		 2022: Mike DeWine (R) 62.4%, Nan Whaley (D) 37.4%
Texas Likely RAbbott 81% - 54 polls, 36 pollsters, 1 pt to R Abbott +2.4 Greg Abbott (R) 49.0%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 46.6%		 2022: Greg Abbott (R) 54.8%, Beto O'Rourke (D) 43.9%
Wisconsin Lean DCrowley 72% - 9 polls, 7 pollsters, 1 pt to R Crowley +4.5 David Crowley (D) 48.8%
Tom Tiffany (R) 44.3%		 2022: Tony Evers (D) 51.2%, Tim Michels (R) 47.8%
Florida Likely RDonalds 89% - 29 polls, 20 pollsters, 1 pt to R Donalds +3.8 Byron Donalds (R) 47.9%
David Jolly (D) 44.1%		 2022: Ron DeSantis (R) 59.4%, Charlie Crist (D) 40%
Oklahoma Lean RMazzei 79% - 4 polls, 2 pollsters, 1 pt to R Mazzei +4.4 Mike Mazzei (R) 46.5%
Cyndi Munson (D) 42.1%		 2022: Kevin Stitt (R) 55.4%, Joy Hofmeister (D) 41.8%
New Mexico Likely DHaaland 80% - 6 polls, 5 pollsters, 1 pt to R Haaland +6.9 Deb Haaland (D) 49.5%
Gregg Hull (R) 42.6%		 2022: Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) 52%, Mark Ronchetti (R) 45.6%
Iowa Likely DSand 91% - 23 polls, 14 pollsters, 1 pt to R Sand +7.1 Zach Lahn (R) 44.4%
Rob Sand (D) 51.5%		 2022: Kim Reynolds (R) 58%, Deidre DeJear (D) 39.5%
Michigan Safe DBenson 96% - 35 polls, 26 pollsters, 1 pt to R Benson +7.8 Jocelyn Benson (D) 50.7%
John James (R) 42.9%		 2022: Gretchen Whitmer (D) 54.5%, Tudor Dixon (R) 43.9%
Nebraska Likely RPillen 92% - 13 polls, 10 pollsters, 1 pt to R Pillen +5.8 Jim Pillen (R) 47.2%
Lynne Walz (D) 41.4%		 2022: Jim Pillen (R) 59.7%, Carol Blood (D) 36.3%
Arizona Likely DHobbs 91% - 20 polls, 15 pollsters, 1 pt to R Hobbs +8.0 Katie Hobbs (D) 49.1%
Andy Biggs (R) 41.1%		 2022: Katie Hobbs (D) 50.3%, Kari Lake (R) 49.7%
Alaska Likely DKreiss-Tomkins 92% - 8 polls, 6 pollsters, 1 pt to R Kreiss-Tomkins +8.6 Bernadette Wilson (R) 43.8%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D) 52.4%		 2022: Mike Dunleavy (R) 50.3%, Les Gara (D) 24.2%
Maine Safe DPingree 98% - 25 polls, 19 pollsters, 1 pt to R Pingree +9.6 Hannah Pingree (D) 50.0%
Bobby Charles (R) 40.4%		 2022: Janet Mills (D) 55.7%, Paul LePage (R) 42.4%
New Hampshire Safe RAyotte 96% - 12 polls, 9 pollsters, 1 pt to R Ayotte +7.9 Kelly Ayotte (R) 50.4%
Cinde Warmington (D) 42.5%		 2024: Kelly Ayotte (R) 53.6%, Joyce Craig (D) 44.3%
Minnesota Safe DKlobuchar 97% - 13 polls, 11 pollsters, 1 pt to R Klobuchar +10.7 Amy Klobuchar (D) 51.9%
Lisa Demuth (R) 41.2%		 2022: Tim Walz (D) 52.3%, Scott Jensen (R) 44.6%
Alabama Safe RTuberville 95% - 5 polls, 5 pollsters, 1 pt to R Tuberville +9.1 Tommy Tuberville (R) 49.9%
Doug Jones (D) 40.8%		 2022: Kay Ivey (R) 66.9%, Yolanda Flowers (D) 29.2%
South Carolina Safe RWilson 99% - 11 polls, 10 pollsters, 1 pt to R Wilson +9.2 Alan Wilson (R) 48.9%
Jermaine Johnson (D) 39.7%		 2022: Henry McMaster (R) 58.1%, Joe Cunningham (D) 40.7%
New York Safe DHochul 98% - 17 polls, 14 pollsters, 1 pt to R Hochul +12.0 Kathy Hochul (D) 53.1%
Bruce Blakeman (R) 41.1%		 2022: Kathy Hochul (D) 53.2%, Lee Zeldin (R) 46.8%
Tennessee Safe RBlackburn 98% - 5 polls, 4 pollsters, 1 pt to R Blackburn +11.0 Marsha Blackburn (R) 44.3%
Jerri Green (D) 33.3%		 2022: Bill Lee (R) 64.9%, Jason Martin (D) 32.9%
Rhode Island Safe DFoulkes 98% - 5 polls, 4 pollsters Foulkes +14.5 Helena Foulkes (D) 45.9%
Aaron Guckian (R) 14.0%		 2022: Dan McKee (D) 57.9%, Ashley Kalus (R) 38.9%
Connecticut Safe DLamont 99% - 10 polls, 6 pollsters, 1 pt to R Lamont +16.3 Ned Lamont (D) 53.5%
Ryan Fazio (R) 37.2%		 2022: Ned Lamont (D) 56%, Bob Stefanowski (R) 43.1%
Colorado Safe DWeiser >99% - 4 polls, 4 pollsters, 1 pt to R Weiser +18.3 Phil Weiser (D) 55.1%
Victor Marx (R) 36.8%		 2022: Jared Polis (D) 58.5%, Heidi Ganahl (R) 39.2%
South Dakota Safe RRhoden >99% - 3 polls, 2 pollsters, 1 pt to R Rhoden +16.5 Larry Rhoden (R) 53.3%
Dan Ahlers (D) 36.8%		 2022: Kristi Noem (R) 62%, Jamie Smith (D) 35.2%
Idaho Safe RLittle >99% - 3 polls, 3 pollsters, 1 pt to R Little +17.1 Brad Little (R) 46.3%
Terri Pickens (D) 29.2%		 2022: Brad Little (R) 60.5%, Stephen Heidt (D) 20.3%
Arkansas Safe RSanders >99% - swing estimate, 1 pt to R R+17.8 (swing estimate) Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R)
Fredrick Love (D)		 2022: Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 63%, Chris Jones (D) 35.2%
Illinois Safe DPritzker >99% - 4 polls, 3 pollsters, 1 pt to R Pritzker +19.8 JB Pritzker (D) 57.5%
Darren Bailey (R) 37.7%		 2022: J. B. Pritzker (D) 54.9%, Darren Bailey (R) 42.4%
California Safe DBecerra >99% - 17 polls, 10 pollsters, 1 pt to R Becerra +21.6 Xavier Becerra (D) 57.2%
Steve Hilton (R) 35.6%		 2022: Gavin Newsom (D) 59.2%, Brian Dahle (R) 40.8%
Massachusetts Safe DHealey >99% - 6 polls, 5 pollsters, 1 pt to R Healey +22.3 Maura Healey (D) 55.5%
Mike Minogue (R) 33.2%		 2022: Maura Healey (D) 63.7%, Geoff Diehl (R) 34.6%
Pennsylvania Safe DShapiro >99% - 14 polls, 9 pollsters, 1 pt to R Shapiro +22.6 Josh Shapiro (D) 56.8%
Stacy Garrity (R) 34.2%		 2022: Josh Shapiro (D) 56.5%, Doug Mastriano (R) 41.7%
Maryland Safe DMoore >99% - swing estimate, 1 pt to R D+29.8 (swing estimate) Wes Moore (D)
Dan Cox (R)		 2022: Wes Moore (D) 64.5%, Dan Cox (R) 32.1%
Hawaii Safe DGreen >99% - swing estimate, 1 pt to R D+33.0 (swing estimate) Incumbent renominated 2022: Josh Green (D) 63.2%, Duke Aiona (R) 36.8%
Wyoming Safe RBarlow >99% - swing estimate, 1 pt to R R+35.9 (swing estimate) Incumbent term-limited 2022: Mark Gordon (R) 74.1%, Theresa Livingston (D) 15.8%

Poll list adapted from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0).