Oregon Governor Election Results 2026: Kotek vs Drazan

Result

Result so far: 78% reporting

Tina Kotek D51.9%

843,363 votes

Christine Drazan R45.3%

735,675 votes

Brett Smith O2.7%

43,680 votes

Others O0.1%

2,109 votes

civicAPI, 9:18 pm Wed ET (2:18 am Thu UK).

Final pre-election PollCheck polling average

Tina Kotek (D)

45.3%

0.0 in 30 days

Christine Drazan (R)

44.3%

-0.1 in 30 days

Brett Smith (G)

4.4%

0.0 in 30 days

Win probability

50%

Kotek - Toss-up

Incumbent: Tina Kotek (D)
Status: Incumbent renominated
Last result: 2022: Tina Kotek (D) 47%, Christine Drazan (R) 43.6%
2024 president: D+14.3
Election day: 3 November 2026, polls close 10 pm and 11 pm Eastern (3 am and 4 am Wed UK)

Polling trend

Every poll

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Kotek	Drazan	Smith	Spread	vs avg	Source
GBAO D Leans D+1.7↑ Poll sponsored by Kotek's campaign	1 Oct 2026 - 4 Oct 2026	800 LV	46%	42%	6%	Kotek +4	Kotek +3.1	Pollster
DHM Research↑ Poll conducted on behalf of The Oregonian	24 Sep 2026 - 1 Oct 2026	549 LV	46%	44%	3%	Kotek +2	Kotek +2.1	Pollster
DHM Research↑ Poll conducted on behalf of Oregon Public Broadcasting	17 Sep 2026 - 27 Sep 2026	915 LV	46%	47%	3%	Drazan +1	Kotek +0.3	Pollster
DHM Research↑ Poll conducted on behalf of Oregon Public BroadcastingNot in average: same survey, another version used	17 Sep 2026 - 27 Sep 2026	915 LV	44%	46%	3%	Drazan +2	Kotek -0.7	Pollster
DHM Research↑ Poll conducted on behalf of Grow Oregon	3 Sep 2026 - 9 Sep 2026	600 LV	43%	45%	4%	Drazan +2		Pollster
Public Opinion Strategies R Leans R+0.6↑ Poll sponsored by Drazan's campaign	22 Jun 2026 - 24 Jun 2026	600 RV	44%	48%	-	Drazan +4		Pollster
Hoffman Research Group RPoll sponsored by Dudley's campaignNot in average: taken before the primary (19 May)	11 May 2026 - 12 May 2026	603 LV	45%	45%	-	Tie		Pollster
FM3 Research DPoll commissioned by Charlie Health, an online behavioral health providerNot in average: taken before the primary (19 May)	28 Jan 2026 - 4 Feb 2026	1,065 LV	45%	40%	-	Kotek +5		Pollster