US / US midterms 2026 / New Hampshire governor
New Hampshire governor
New Hampshire Governor 2026 results: Kelly Ayotte (R) vs Cinde Warmington (D)
Election day 3 November 2026
Result
Result so far: 90% reporting
DDHQ projects Kelly Ayotte (R), 1:09 am Wed ET
Kelly Ayotte R51.5%
320,828 votes
Cinde Warmington D46.8%
291,444 votes
Others O1.6%
10,147 votes
civicAPI, 3:16 pm Wed ET (8:16 pm Wed UK).
Final pre-election PollCheck polling average
Kelly Ayotte (R)
50.4%
-0.7 in 30 days
Cinde Warmington (D)
42.5%
+0.5 in 30 days
Win probability
96%
Ayotte - Safe R
- Incumbent
- Kelly Ayotte (R)
- Status
- Incumbent renominated
- Last result
- 2024: Kelly Ayotte (R) 53.6%, Joyce Craig (D) 44.3%
- 2024 president
- D+2.8
- Election day
- 3 November 2026, polls close 8 pm Eastern (1 am Wed UK)
Polling trend
New Hampshire governor polling average
Every poll
18 general election polls
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Ayotte | Warmington | Spread | vs avg | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel Leans D+3.5 | 28 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 1,057 LV | 50% | 44% | Ayotte +6 | Ayotte -1.9 | Pollster |
| University of New Hampshire Leans D+2.2 | 27 Oct 2026 - 31 Oct 2026 | 2,040 LV | 48% | 48% | Tie | Ayotte -7.4 | Pollster |
| National Public Affairs R Leans R+2.2 | 25 Oct 2026 - 29 Oct 2026 | 800 LV | 52% | 43% | Ayotte +9 | Ayotte +0.4 | Pollster |
| Rasmussen Reports R Leans R+0.9 | 20 Oct 2026 - 23 Oct 2026 | 970 LV | 52% | 42% | Ayotte +10 | Ayotte +1.0 | Pollster |
| Saint Anselm College Leans D+0.5 | 19 Oct 2026 - 20 Oct 2026 | 1,672 LV | 50% | 42% | Ayotte +8 | Ayotte -1.0 | Pollster |
| UMass Lowell / YouGov Leans D+0.4 | 2 Oct 2026 - 19 Oct 2026 | 600 LV | 48% | 42% | Ayotte +6 | Ayotte -2.9 | Pollster |
| National Public Affairs R Leans R+2.2 | 8 Oct 2026 - 12 Oct 2026 | 600 LV | 54% | 38% | Ayotte +16 | Ayotte +6.3 | Pollster |
| YouGov Leans D+0.4 | 28 Sep 2026 - 5 Oct 2026 | 1,520 LV | 49% | 40% | Ayotte +9 | Ayotte -0.1 | Pollster |
| Saint Anselm College Leans D+0.5↑ Poll sponsored by AARP | 28 Sep 2026 - 29 Sep 2026 | 1,042 LV | 52% | 45% | Ayotte +7 | Ayotte -2.1 | Pollster |
| The New York Times / Siena University Leans D+1.0 | 15 Sep 2026 - 22 Sep 2026 | 613 LV | 52% | 41% | Ayotte +11 | Ayotte +1.1 | Pollster |
| University of New Hampshire Leans D+2.2 | 17 Sep 2026 - 21 Sep 2026 | 1,418 LV | 47% | 43% | Ayotte +4 | Pollster | |
| co/efficient R Leans R+3.3 | 9 Sep 2026 - 11 Sep 2026 | 958 LV | 55% | 34% | Ayotte +21 | Pollster | |
| University of New Hampshire Leans D+2.2Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September) | 20 Aug 2026 - 24 Aug 2026 | 1,878 LV | 49% | 39% | Ayotte +10 | Pollster | |
| Saint Anselm College Leans D+0.5Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September) | 17 Aug 2026 - 18 Aug 2026 | 1,411 LV | 49% | 38% | Ayotte +11 | Pollster | |
| Saint Anselm College Leans D+0.5Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September) | 24 Jun 2026 - 25 Jun 2026 | 1,614 RV | 45% | 37% | Ayotte +8 | Pollster | |
| University of New Hampshire Leans D+2.2Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September) | 18 Jun 2026 - 23 Jun 2026 | 2,232 LV | 44% | 39% | Ayotte +5 | Pollster | |
| University of New Hampshire Leans D+2.2Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September) | 17 Apr 2026 - 21 Apr 2026 | 1,117 LV | 47% | 39% | Ayotte +8 | Pollster | |
| Saint Anselm College Leans D+0.5Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September) | 16 Mar 2026 - 18 Mar 2026 | 1,491 RV | 46% | 39% | Ayotte +7 | Pollster |
More on New Hampshire
New Hampshire House districts
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Poll list adapted from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0).