Nevada Governor Election Results 2026: Lombardo vs Ford

Result

Result so far: 80% reporting

DDHQ projects Aaron Ford (D), 10:32 am Wed ET

Democratic gain from Republicans

Aaron Ford D51.5%

509,382 votes

Joe Lombardo R44.3%

438,579 votes

Danielle Ford I2.7%

27,106 votes

Others O1.4%

13,997 votes

civicAPI, 9:19 pm Wed ET (2:19 am Thu UK).

Final pre-election PollCheck polling average

Joe Lombardo (R)

44.7%

+1.9 in 30 days

Aaron Ford (D)

46.0%

+4.6 in 30 days

Win probability

52%

Ford - Toss-up

Incumbent: Joe Lombardo (R)
Status: Incumbent renominated
Last result: 2022: Joe Lombardo (R) 48.8%, Steve Sisolak (D) 47.3%
2024 president: R+3.1
Election day: 3 November 2026, polls close 10 pm Eastern (3 am Wed UK)

Polling trend

Nevada governor polling average

Every poll

18 general election polls

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Lombardo	Ford	Spread	vs avg	Source
Noble Predictive Insights Leans R+0.1	26 Oct 2026 - 28 Oct 2026	487 LV	47%	47%	Tie	Lombardo +1.3	Pollster
Hart Research D Leans R+1.6↑ Poll sponsored by A More Affordable Nevada, which supports the Democratic Governors Association	20 Oct 2026 - 25 Oct 2026	950 LV	45%	49%	Ford +4	Lombardo -2.6	Pollster
RedBox Research D	20 Oct 2026 - 23 Oct 2026	1,407 LV	43%	46%	Ford +3	Lombardo -3.0	Pollster
Global Strategy Group D Leans D+1.4↑ Poll sponsored by Aaron Ford's campaign	8 Oct 2026 - 13 Oct 2026	700 LV	48%	47%	Lombardo +1	Lombardo -0.7	Pollster
Concord Public Opinion Partners D Leans D+2.4↑ Poll sponsored by Education Reform Now Advocacy	26 Sep 2026 - 30 Sep 2026	565 LV	43%	42%	Lombardo +1	Lombardo -0.4	Pollster
Noble Predictive Insights Leans R+0.1Not in average: same survey, likely voter version used	22 Sep 2026 - 26 Sep 2026	800 RV	38%	37%	Lombardo +1	Lombardo +0.2	Pollster
Noble Predictive Insights Leans R+0.1	22 Sep 2026 - 26 Sep 2026	708 LV	42%	40%	Lombardo +2	Lombardo +1.2	Pollster
Emerson College Leans R+0.2	5 Sep 2026 - 8 Sep 2026	680 LV	42%	44%	Ford +2	Lombardo -1.3	Pollster
Tarrance Group RPoll sponsored by Better Nevada PAC and the Republican Governors Association , both of which support Lombardo	25 Jul 2026 - 29 Jul 2026	- LV	50%	43%	Lombardo +7	Lombardo +1.6	Pollster
Public Policy Polling D Leans D+0.9↑ Poll sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association	15 Jul 2026 - 16 Jul 2026	558 LV	44%	44%	Tie		Pollster
Grassroots Targeting RPoll sponsored by Better Nevada PAC and the Republican Governors Association , both of which support LombardoNot in average: date unclear	8 Jul 2026 - 6 Jul 2026	- LV	52%	40%	Lombardo +12		Pollster
Public Opinion Strategies R Leans R+0.6↑ Poll sponsored by the Republican Governors Association , which supports Lombardo	27 Jun 2026 - 29 Jun 2026	- LV	51%	42%	Lombardo +9		Pollster
Global Strategy Group D Leans D+1.4Not in average: taken before the primary (9 June)	5 May 2026 - 11 May 2026	700 LV	45%	42%	Lombardo +3		Pollster
Noble Predictive Insights Leans R+0.1Not in average: taken before the primary (9 June)	10 Mar 2026 - 13 Mar 2026	845 RV	39%	38%	Lombardo +1		Pollster
Hart Research D Leans R+1.6↑ Poll commissioned by The Majority Institute, a Democrat-aligned firmNot in average: taken before the primary (9 June)	11 Feb 2026 - 17 Feb 2026	800 LV	46%	43%	Lombardo +3		Pollster
Emerson College Leans R+0.2Not in average: taken before the primary (9 June)	16 Nov 2025 - 18 Nov 2025	800 RV	41%	41%	Tie		Pollster
Noble Predictive Insights Leans R+0.1Not in average: taken before the primary (9 June)	7 Oct 2025 - 13 Oct 2025	766 RV	40%	37%	Lombardo +3		Pollster
Vote TXT↑ Poll commissioned by Nevada NewsmakersNot in average: taken before the primary (9 June)	15 May 2023 - 19 May 2023	412 RV	51%	30%	Lombardo +21		Pollster

Nevada Governor 2026 results: Joe Lombardo (R) vs Aaron Ford (D)

Result so far: 80% reporting

Nevada governor polling average

18 general election polls