US / US midterms 2026 / Alaska governor
Alaska governor
Alaska Governor 2026 results: Bernadette Wilson (R) vs Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D)
Election day 3 November 2026
Result
Result so far: first choices; ranked-choice count if no one passes 50%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins D49.1%
103,837 votes
Bernadette Wilson R29.2%
61,734 votes
Dave Bronson R14.2%
30,003 votes
Treg Taylor R7.5%
15,763 votes
Alaska Division of Elections, 9:19 pm Wed ET (2:19 am Thu UK).
First-choice votes. Ranked-choice counting follows if no one passes 50%.
Count over time
Final pre-election PollCheck polling average
Bernadette Wilson (R)
43.8%
-2.9 in 30 days
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D)
52.4%
-0.9 in 30 days
Win probability
92%
Kreiss-Tomkins - Likely D
- Incumbent
- Mike Dunleavy (R)
- Status
- Incumbent term-limited
- Last result
- 2022: Mike Dunleavy (R) 50.3%, Les Gara (D) 24.2%
- 2024 president
- R+13.1
- Election day
- 3 November 2026, polls close 12 am and 1 am Wed Eastern (5 am and 6 am Wed UK)
Polling trend
Alaska governor polling average
Every poll
24 general election polls
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Wilson | Kreiss-Tomkins | Spread | vs avg | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel Leans D+3.5 | 28 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 522 LV | 34% | 51.5% | Kreiss-Tomkins +17.5 | Wilson -8.9 | Pollster |
| New York Times/Siena Leans D+1.0 | 23 Oct 2026 - 30 Oct 2026 | 610 LV | 46% | 54% | Kreiss-Tomkins +8 | Wilson -1.2 | Pollster |
| Alaska Survey Research Leans D+0.4Not in average: earlier ranked-choice round, final round used | 23 Oct 2026 - 25 Oct 2026 | 1,068 LV | 31% | 51% | Kreiss-Tomkins +20 | Wilson -13.4 | Pollster |
| Alaska Survey Research Leans D+0.4Not in average: earlier ranked-choice round, final round used | 23 Oct 2026 - 25 Oct 2026 | 1,068 LV | 34% | 51% | Kreiss-Tomkins +17 | Wilson -10.4 | Pollster |
| Alaska Survey Research Leans D+0.4 | 23 Oct 2026 - 25 Oct 2026 | 1,068 LV | 47% | 53% | Kreiss-Tomkins +6 | Wilson +0.6 | Pollster |
| Alaska Survey Research Leans D+0.4Not in average: earlier ranked-choice round, final round used | 15 Oct 2026 - 18 Oct 2026 | 1,568 LV | 30% | 50% | Kreiss-Tomkins +20 | Wilson -12.8 | Pollster |
| Alaska Survey Research Leans D+0.4Not in average: earlier ranked-choice round, final round used | 15 Oct 2026 - 18 Oct 2026 | 1,568 LV | 33% | 51% | Kreiss-Tomkins +18 | Wilson -10.8 | Pollster |
| Alaska Survey Research Leans D+0.4 | 15 Oct 2026 - 18 Oct 2026 | 1,568 LV | 45% | 55% | Kreiss-Tomkins +10 | Wilson -2.8 | Pollster |
| Data for Progress D Leans D+0.2Not in average: first choices only, no final round | 8 Oct 2026 - 16 Oct 2026 | 694 LV | 28% | 46% | Kreiss-Tomkins +18 | Wilson -11.6 | Pollster |
| Data for Progress D Leans D+0.2Not in average: earlier ranked-choice round, final round used | 8 Oct 2026 - 16 Oct 2026 | 660 LV | 29% | 49% | Kreiss-Tomkins +20 | Wilson -13.6 | Pollster |
| Data for Progress D Leans D+0.2Not in average: first choices only, no final round | 8 Oct 2026 - 16 Oct 2026 | 648 LV | 33% | 50% | Kreiss-Tomkins +17 | Wilson -10.6 | Pollster |
| Data for Progress D Leans D+0.2 | 8 Oct 2026 - 16 Oct 2026 | 629 LV | 47% | 53% | Kreiss-Tomkins +6 | Wilson +0.4 | Pollster |
| Data for Progress D Leans D+0.2Not in average: same survey, another version used | 8 Oct 2026 - 16 Oct 2026 | 660 LV | 50% | 50% | Tie | Wilson +6.4 | Pollster |
| Alaska Survey Research Leans D+0.4Not in average: earlier ranked-choice round, final round used | 1 Oct 2026 - 3 Oct 2026 | 1,512 LV | 27% | 48% | Kreiss-Tomkins +21 | Wilson -14.4 | Pollster |
| Alaska Survey Research Leans D+0.4Not in average: earlier ranked-choice round, final round used | 1 Oct 2026 - 3 Oct 2026 | 1,512 LV | 30% | 50% | Kreiss-Tomkins +20 | Wilson -13.4 | Pollster |
| Alaska Survey Research Leans D+0.4 | 1 Oct 2026 - 3 Oct 2026 | 1,512 LV | 46% | 54% | Kreiss-Tomkins +8 | Wilson -1.4 | Pollster |
| New York Times / Siena University Leans D+1.0Not in average: earlier ranked-choice round, final round used | 24 Sep 2026 - 1 Oct 2026 | 504 LV | 20% | 40% | Kreiss-Tomkins +20 | Pollster | |
| New York Times / Siena University Leans D+1.0Not in average: earlier ranked-choice round, final round used | 24 Sep 2026 - 1 Oct 2026 | 504 LV | 24% | 46% | Kreiss-Tomkins +22 | Pollster | |
| New York Times / Siena University Leans D+1.0Not in average: earlier ranked-choice round, final round used | 24 Sep 2026 - 1 Oct 2026 | 504 LV | 31% | 48% | Kreiss-Tomkins +17 | Pollster | |
| New York Times / Siena University Leans D+1.0 | 24 Sep 2026 - 1 Oct 2026 | 504 LV | 48% | 52% | Kreiss-Tomkins +4 | Pollster | |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D) Leans D+0.8Poll sponsored by AARPNot in average: earlier ranked-choice round, final round used | 8 Sep 2026 - 11 Sep 2026 | 800 LV | 20% | 40% | Kreiss-Tomkins +20 | Pollster | |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D) Leans D+0.8Poll sponsored by AARPNot in average: earlier ranked-choice round, final round used | 8 Sep 2026 - 11 Sep 2026 | 800 LV | 25% | 49% | Kreiss-Tomkins +24 | Pollster | |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D) Leans D+0.8Poll sponsored by AARPNot in average: earlier ranked-choice round, final round used | 8 Sep 2026 - 11 Sep 2026 | 800 LV | 28% | 50% | Kreiss-Tomkins +22 | Pollster | |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D) Leans D+0.8Poll sponsored by AARP | 8 Sep 2026 - 11 Sep 2026 | 800 LV | 45% | 55% | Kreiss-Tomkins +10 | Pollster |
More on Alaska
Alaska House district
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Poll list adapted from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0).