US / US midterms 2026 / Pennsylvania governor
Pennsylvania governor
Pennsylvania Governor 2026 results: Josh Shapiro (D) vs Stacy Garrity (R)
Election day 3 November 2026
Result
Result so far
DDHQ projects Josh Shapiro (D), 8:18 pm ET
Josh Shapiro D60.3%
2,991,139 votes
Stacy Garrity R38.4%
1,906,117 votes
Ken Krawchuk L1.3%
64,314 votes
Pennsylvania Department of State, 2:54 pm Wed ET (7:54 pm Wed UK).
Final pre-election PollCheck polling average
Josh Shapiro (D)
56.8%
+3.7 in 30 days
Stacy Garrity (R)
34.2%
+0.4 in 30 days
Win probability
>99%
Shapiro - Safe D
- Incumbent
- Josh Shapiro (D)
- Status
- Incumbent renominated
- Last result
- 2022: Josh Shapiro (D) 56.5%, Doug Mastriano (R) 41.7%
- 2024 president
- R+1.7
- Election day
- 3 November 2026, polls close 8 pm Eastern (1 am Wed UK)
Polling trend
Pennsylvania governor polling average
Every poll
26 general election polls
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Shapiro | Garrity | Spread | vs avg | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. Leans D+0.1 | 30 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 450 LV | 59% | 34% | Shapiro +25 | Shapiro +2.4 | Pollster |
| ActiVote Leans R+0.5 | 1 Oct 2026 - 21 Oct 2026 | 400 LV | 61.5% | 38.5% | Shapiro +23 | Shapiro +1.4 | Pollster |
| Franklin & Marshall College Leans D+1.2 | 7 Oct 2026 - 18 Oct 2026 | 808 RV | 52% | 30% | Shapiro +22 | Shapiro +1.1 | Pollster |
| Franklin & Marshall College Leans D+1.2Not in average: same survey, another version used | 7 Oct 2026 - 18 Oct 2026 | 808 RV | 54% | 33% | Shapiro +21 | Shapiro +0.1 | Pollster |
| PennLive Leans D+4.0Poll sponsored by the Bravo Group | 5 Oct 2026 - 11 Oct 2026 | 628 RV | 58% | 28% | Shapiro +30 | Shapiro +9.2 | Pollster |
| Quinnipiac University Leans D+2.3 | 1 Oct 2026 - 5 Oct 2026 | 1,159 LV | 59% | 34% | Shapiro +25 | Shapiro +4.6 | Pollster |
| Z to A Research D Leans D+0.6↑ Poll sponsored by Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democrats | 28 Sep 2026 - 1 Oct 2026 | 630 LV | 53% | 34% | Shapiro +19 | Shapiro -0.3 | Pollster |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research R Leans D+1.1 | 22 Sep 2026 - 30 Sep 2026 | 700 LV | 52% | 31% | Shapiro +21 | Shapiro +1.4 | Pollster |
| PennLive Leans D+4.0Poll sponsored by the Bravo Group | 16 Sep 2026 - 22 Sep 2026 | 624 RV | 55% | 28% | Shapiro +27 | Shapiro +7.6 | Pollster |
| The New York Times / The Philadelphia Inquirer / Siena University Leans D+1.0 | 15 Sep 2026 - 22 Sep 2026 | 615 LV | 58% | 38% | Shapiro +20 | Shapiro +0.6 | Pollster |
| The New York Times / The Philadelphia Inquirer / Siena University Leans D+1.0Not in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 15 Sep 2026 - 22 Sep 2026 | 615 RV | 57% | 38% | Shapiro +19 | Shapiro -0.4 | Pollster |
| Franklin & Marshall College Leans D+1.2 | 17 Aug 2026 - 23 Aug 2026 | 501 RV | 50% | 25% | Shapiro +25 | Shapiro +7.6 | Pollster |
| PennLive Leans D+4.0Poll sponsored by the Bravo Group | 18 Aug 2026 - 22 Aug 2026 | 711 RV | 56% | 25% | Shapiro +31 | Shapiro +14.8 | Pollster |
| The New York Times / The Philadelphia Inquirer / Siena University Leans D+1.0 | 17 Aug 2026 - 21 Aug 2026 | 760 LV | 55% | 39% | Shapiro +16 | Shapiro +1.7 | Pollster |
| The New York Times / The Philadelphia Inquirer / Siena University Leans D+1.0Not in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 17 Aug 2026 - 21 Aug 2026 | 760 RV | 54% | 37% | Shapiro +17 | Shapiro +2.7 | Pollster |
| National Public Affairs R Leans R+2.2 | 26 Jul 2026 - 30 Jul 2026 | 600 LV | 50% | 43% | Shapiro +7 | Shapiro -6.3 | Pollster |
| Quinnipiac University Leans D+2.3 | 9 Jul 2026 - 13 Jul 2026 | 895 RV | 53% | 40% | Shapiro +13 | Shapiro -1.9 | Pollster |
| PennLive Leans D+4.0Poll sponsored by the Bravo Group | 18 Jun 2026 - 25 Jun 2026 | 644 RV | 54% | 29% | Shapiro +25 | Shapiro +5.4 | Pollster |
| Franklin & Marshall College Leans D+1.2 | 8 Jun 2026 - 14 Jun 2026 | 546 RV | 50% | 28% | Shapiro +22 | Shapiro +2.8 | Pollster |
| MAD Global Strategy↑ Poll sponsored by Natural Allies for a Clean Energy Future | 9 Jun 2026 - 11 Jun 2026 | 600 LV | 48% | 31% | Shapiro +17 | Pollster | |
| PennLive Leans D+4.0Poll sponsored by the Bravo Group | 20 May 2026 - 24 May 2026 | 683 LV | 53% | 29% | Shapiro +24 | Pollster | |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research R Leans D+1.1Not in average: taken before the primary (19 May) | 18 Mar 2026 - 29 Mar 2026 | 700 LV | 58% | 36% | Shapiro +22 | Pollster | |
| Franklin & Marshall College Leans D+1.2Not in average: taken before the primary (19 May) | 18 Feb 2026 - 1 Mar 2026 | 834 RV | 48% | 28% | Shapiro +20 | Pollster | |
| Quinnipiac University Leans D+2.3Not in average: taken before the primary (19 May) | 19 Feb 2026 - 23 Feb 2026 | 836 RV | 55% | 37% | Shapiro +18 | Pollster | |
| Quinnipiac University Leans D+2.3Not in average: taken before the primary (19 May) | 25 Sep 2025 - 29 Sep 2025 | 1,579 RV | 55% | 39% | Shapiro +16 | Pollster | |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research R Leans D+1.1Not in average: taken before the primary (19 May) | 22 Sep 2025 - 28 Sep 2025 | 700 LV | 54% | 36% | Shapiro +18 | Pollster |
More on Pennsylvania
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Poll list adapted from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0).