US / US midterms 2026 / Tennessee governor
Tennessee governor
Tennessee Governor 2026 results: Marsha Blackburn (R) vs Jerri Green (D)
Election day 3 November 2026
Result
Result so far: 90% reporting
DDHQ projects Marsha Blackburn (R), 12:37 am Wed ET
Marsha Blackburn R45.5%
955,259 votes
Jerri Green D43.0%
902,546 votes
David Hatley I9.3%
195,288 votes
Lauren Pinkston I1.2%
26,186 votes
Dean Brewer I0.2%
4,095 votes
Misam Abidi I0.2%
3,398 votes
Ray Brown I0.1%
2,869 votes
Wendell Jackson I0.1%
2,365 votes
Eddie Lee Murphy I0.1%
2,293 votes
Robert Vick I0.1%
2,239 votes
Others O0.1%
1,687 votes
Charles Van Morgan I0.1%
1,317 votes
L. Webb Taylor I0.1%
1,118 votes
Karl Smithson I0.0%
494 votes
civicAPI, 10:49 am Wed ET (3:49 pm Wed UK).
Final pre-election PollCheck polling average
Marsha Blackburn (R)
44.3%
Jerri Green (D)
33.3%
David Hatley (I)
15.0%
Win probability
98%
Blackburn - Safe R
- Incumbent
- Bill Lee (R)
- Status
- Incumbent term-limited
- Last result
- 2022: Bill Lee (R) 64.9%, Jason Martin (D) 32.9%
- 2024 president
- R+29.7
- Election day
- 3 November 2026, polls close 8 pm Eastern (1 am Wed UK)
Polling trend
Tennessee governor polling average
Every poll
8 general election polls
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Blackburn | Green | Hatley | Spread | vs avg | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research Leans R+2.2Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee | 24 Oct 2026 - 2 Nov 2026 | 718 LV | 54% | 35% | 7% | Blackburn +19 | Blackburn +8.0 | Pollster |
| GOTV Polling I↑ Poll sponsored by Hatley's campaign; Poll sponsored by Hatley for Governor | 25 Oct 2026 - 26 Oct 2026 | 1,196 V | 35% | 30% | 26% | Blackburn +5 | Blackburn -3.6 | Pollster |
| Spry Strategies R | 10 Oct 2026 - 15 Oct 2026 | 635 LV | 44% | 32% | 12% | Blackburn +12 | Blackburn -0.2 | Pollster |
| TargetSmart↑ Poll sponsored by The Progress Fund, which supports Green | 9 Sep 2026 - 12 Sep 2026 | 600 LV | 45% | 36% | 10% | Blackburn +9 | Pollster | |
| Targoz Market Research Leans R+2.2Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of TennesseeNot in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 15 Aug 2026 - 26 Aug 2026 | 1,149 RV | 46% | 33% | - | Blackburn +13 | Pollster | |
| Targoz Market Research Leans R+2.2Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee | 15 Aug 2026 - 26 Aug 2026 | 601 LV | 55% | 34% | - | Blackburn +21 | Pollster | |
| Targoz Market Research Leans R+2.2Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of TennesseeNot in average: taken before the primary (6 August) | 20 Apr 2026 - 27 Apr 2026 | 1,200 RV | 51% | 27% | - | Blackburn +24 | Pollster | |
| Quantus Insights R Leans R+1.4Not in average: taken before the primary (6 August) | 5 Aug 2025 - 7 Aug 2025 | 600 RV | 49% | 28% | - | Blackburn +21 | Pollster |
More on Tennessee
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Poll list adapted from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0).