US / US midterms 2026 / Florida governor
Florida governor
Florida Governor 2026 results: Byron Donalds (R) vs David Jolly (D)
Election day 3 November 2026
Result
Result so far: 99% reporting
DDHQ projects Byron Donalds (R), 8:29 pm ET
Byron Donalds R50.0%
4,132,355 votes
David Jolly D48.7%
4,024,669 votes
Scott Jewett L0.5%
37,889 votes
Frank Russo I0.3%
23,201 votes
Charles Burkett I0.2%
15,239 votes
Dean Abrams I0.1%
12,535 votes
Others O0.1%
8,749 votes
Jeffrey Datto I0.1%
8,312 votes
Moe Dimanche I0.1%
7,591 votes
civicAPI, 9:19 pm Wed ET (2:19 am Thu UK).
Final pre-election PollCheck polling average
Byron Donalds (R)
47.9%
-0.4 in 30 days
David Jolly (D)
44.1%
+1.7 in 30 days
Win probability
89%
Donalds - Likely R
- Incumbent
- Ron DeSantis (R)
- Status
- Incumbent term-limited
- Last result
- 2022: Ron DeSantis (R) 59.4%, Charlie Crist (D) 40%
- 2024 president
- R+13.1
- Election day
- 3 November 2026, polls close 7 pm and 8 pm Eastern (12 am and 1 am Wed UK)
Polling trend
Florida governor polling average
Every poll
53 general election polls
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Donalds | Jolly | Spread | vs avg | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. Leans D+0.1 | 31 Oct 2026 - 2 Nov 2026 | 450 LV | 48% | 44% | Donalds +4 | Donalds +0.2 | Pollster |
| RedBox Research D | 30 Oct 2026 - 31 Oct 2026 | 2,898 LV | 47% | 46% | Donalds +1 | Donalds -2.8 | Pollster |
| ActiVote Leans R+0.5 | 20 Oct 2026 - 31 Oct 2026 | 400 LV | 52% | 48% | Donalds +4 | Donalds +0.2 | Pollster |
| Big Data Poll Leans D+0.5 | 26 Oct 2026 - 30 Oct 2026 | 1,067 LV | 47% | 44% | Donalds +3 | Donalds -1.0 | Pollster |
| Big Data Poll Leans D+0.5Not in average: same survey, another version used | 26 Oct 2026 - 30 Oct 2026 | 1,067 LV | 44% | 41% | Donalds +3 | Donalds -1.0 | Pollster |
| Big Data Poll Leans D+0.5Not in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 26 Oct 2026 - 30 Oct 2026 | 1,122 RV | 47% | 44% | Donalds +3 | Donalds -1.0 | Pollster |
| Big Data Poll Leans D+0.5Not in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 26 Oct 2026 - 30 Oct 2026 | 1,122 RV | 43% | 40% | Donalds +3 | Donalds -1.0 | Pollster |
| Stetson University Leans R+2.3 | 26 Oct 2026 - 30 Oct 2026 | 852 RV | 51% | 45% | Donalds +6 | Donalds +2.0 | Pollster |
| InsiderAdvantage R Leans R+1.1 | 28 Oct 2026 - 29 Oct 2026 | 1,200 LV | 49% | 45% | Donalds +4 | Donalds -0.1 | Pollster |
| Targoz Market Research Leans R+2.2 | 26 Oct 2026 - 29 Oct 2026 | 1,014 LV | 50% | 43% | Donalds +7 | Donalds +2.9 | Pollster |
| Political Matrix/The Listener Group Leans D+0.6 | 26 Oct 2026 - 28 Oct 2026 | 500 LV | 40% | 39% | Donalds +1 | Donalds -3.2 | Pollster |
| St. Pete Polls Leans D+2.0↑ "Florida Statewide survey conducted for FloridaPolitics.com" . St. Pete Polls. October 27, 2026 . Retrieved October 28, 2026 .; Poll sponsored by Florida Politics | 25 Oct 2026 - 27 Oct 2026 | 916 LV | 48% | 46% | Donalds +2 | Donalds -2.4 | Pollster |
| New York Times / Siena University Leans D+1.0 | 19 Oct 2026 - 25 Oct 2026 | 813 LV | 48% | 44% | Donalds +4 | Donalds -0.5 | Pollster |
| RedBox Research | 20 Oct 2026 - 23 Oct 2026 | 4,832 LV | 49% | 44% | Donalds +5 | Donalds +0.6 | Pollster |
| Echelon Insights R Leans R+0.8↑ Poll conducted for NetChoice | 16 Oct 2026 - 23 Oct 2026 | 515 LV | 50% | 44% | Donalds +6 | Donalds +1.6 | Pollster |
| Workbench Strategy D Leans D+1.8 | 18 Oct 2026 - 22 Oct 2026 | 800 LV | 46% | 48% | Jolly +2 | Donalds -6.3 | Pollster |
| co/efficient R Leans R+3.3 | 18 Oct 2026 - 20 Oct 2026 | 1,014 LV | 49% | 40% | Donalds +9 | Donalds +4.4 | Pollster |
| University of North Florida Leans D+0.9 | 12 Oct 2026 - 19 Oct 2026 | 1,471 LV | 49% | 47% | Donalds +2 | Donalds -2.4 | Pollster |
| ActiVote Leans R+0.5 | 1 Oct 2026 - 19 Oct 2026 | 400 LV | 52% | 48% | Donalds +4 | Donalds -0.4 | Pollster |
| Univision / YouGov Leans D+0.4 | 2 Oct 2026 - 15 Oct 2026 | 825 RV | 50% | 42% | Donalds +8 | Donalds +3.1 | Pollster |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates R Leans R+0.1Poll sponsored by Donalds' campaign | 8 Oct 2026 - 11 Oct 2026 | 1,200 LV | 49% | 43% | Donalds +6 | Donalds +1.8 | Pollster |
| Change Research D Leans D+0.6Poll commissioned by Freedom Project USA | 8 Oct 2026 - 10 Oct 2026 | 920 LV | 47% | 47% | Tie | Donalds -4.1 | Pollster |
| MDW Communications Leans D+0.6↑ Poll conducted for EDGE Communications | 4 Oct 2026 - 10 Oct 2026 | 2,351 LV | 46% | 44% | Donalds +2 | Donalds -2.1 | Pollster |
| Stetson University Leans R+2.3 | 1 Oct 2026 - 9 Oct 2026 | 716 LV | 52% | 41% | Donalds +11 | Donalds +6.3 | Pollster |
| St. Pete Polls Leans D+2.0↑ "Florida Statewide survey conducted for FloridaPolitics.com" (PDF) . St. Pete Polls. October 7, 2026 . Retrieved October 8, 2026 .; Poll sponsored by Florida Politics | 5 Oct 2026 - 7 Oct 2026 | 836 LV | 45% | 45% | Tie | Donalds -4.5 | Pollster |
| YouGov Leans D+0.4 | 28 Sep 2026 - 5 Oct 2026 | 3,813 LV | 47% | 45% | Donalds +2 | Donalds -2.7 | Pollster |
| Targoz Market Research Leans R+2.2Poll sponsored by the James Madison Institute , a conservative think tank | 28 Sep 2026 - 4 Oct 2026 | 849 LV | 52% | 42% | Donalds +10 | Donalds +4.1 | Pollster |
| Targoz Market Research Leans R+2.2Poll sponsored by the James Madison Institute , a conservative think tankNot in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 28 Sep 2026 - 4 Oct 2026 | 1,174 RV | 48% | 39% | Donalds +9 | Donalds +3.1 | Pollster |
| Mason-Dixon Leans R+0.9 | 28 Sep 2026 - 1 Oct 2026 | 625 LV | 48% | 41% | Donalds +7 | Donalds +1.8 | Pollster |
| Change Research D Leans D+0.6Poll commissioned by Freedom Project USA | 25 Sep 2026 - 27 Sep 2026 | 1,063 LV | 46% | 48% | Jolly +2 | Donalds -6.7 | Pollster |
| Stetson University Leans R+2.3 | 14 Sep 2026 - 21 Sep 2026 | 830 LV | 51% | 39% | Donalds +12 | Donalds +7.0 | Pollster |
| St. Pete Polls Leans D+2.0↑ "Florida Statewide survey conducted for FloridaPolitics.com" (PDF) . St. Pete Polls. September 17, 2026 . Retrieved September 18, 2026 .; Poll sponsored by Florida Politics | 15 Sep 2026 - 17 Sep 2026 | 913 LV | 44% | 43% | Donalds +1 | Pollster | |
| Change Research D Leans D+0.6Poll commissioned by Freedom Project USA | 7 Sep 2026 - 9 Sep 2026 | 1,107 LV | 44% | 47% | Jolly +3 | Pollster | |
| Hart Research Associates D Leans R+1.6↑ Poll sponsored by the Democratic Governors AssociationNot in average: taken before the primary (18 August) | 10 Aug 2026 - 13 Aug 2026 | 600 LV | 45% | 46% | Jolly +1 | Pollster | |
| Targoz Market Research Leans R+2.2Poll sponsored by the James Madison Institute , a conservative think tankNot in average: taken before the primary (18 August) | 20 Jul 2026 - 26 Jul 2026 | 1,026 LV | 45% | 38% | Donalds +7 | Pollster | |
| Targoz Market Research Leans R+2.2Poll sponsored by the James Madison Institute , a conservative think tankNot in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 20 Jul 2026 - 26 Jul 2026 | 1,338 RV | 40% | 36% | Donalds +4 | Pollster | |
| University of North Florida Leans D+0.9Not in average: taken before the primary (18 August) | 8 Jul 2026 - 17 Jul 2026 | 848 LV | 46% | 41% | Donalds +5 | Pollster | |
| Change Research D Leans D+0.6Not in average: taken before the primary (18 August) | 9 Jul 2026 - 11 Jul 2026 | 1,348 RV | 37% | 37% | Tie | Pollster | |
| Change Research D Leans D+0.6Not in average: same survey, another version used | 9 Jul 2026 - 11 Jul 2026 | 1,348 RV | 40% | 41% | Jolly +1 | Pollster | |
| Change Research D Leans D+0.6Poll commissioned by Freedom Project USANot in average: taken before the primary (18 August) | 13 May 2026 - 16 May 2026 | 1,593 LV | 42% | 46% | Jolly +4 | Pollster | |
| Change Research D Leans D+0.6Poll commissioned by Freedom Project USANot in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 13 May 2026 - 16 May 2026 | 2,070 RV | 43% | 41% | Donalds +2 | Pollster | |
| Cherry Communications RPoll sponsored by the Florida Chamber of CommerceNot in average: taken before the primary (18 August) | 1 May 2026 - 9 May 2026 | 604 LV | 47% | 39% | Donalds +8 | Pollster | |
| Stetson University Leans R+2.3Not in average: taken before the primary (18 August) | 15 Mar 2026 - 13 Apr 2026 | 848 LV | 47% | 40% | Donalds +7 | Pollster | |
| Echelon Insights Leans R+0.8Poll commissioned by NetChoiceNot in average: taken before the primary (18 August) | 3 Apr 2026 - 9 Apr 2026 | 406 LV | 49% | 43% | Donalds +6 | Pollster | |
| MDW Communications D Leans D+0.6↑ Poll sponsored by Edge CommunicationsNot in average: taken before the primary (18 August) | 27 Mar 2026 - 3 Apr 2026 | 1,834 LV | 41% | 41% | Tie | Pollster | |
| Emerson College Leans R+0.2Not in average: taken before the primary (18 August) | 29 Mar 2026 - 31 Mar 2026 | 1,165 LV | 44% | 39% | Donalds +5 | Pollster | |
| University of North Florida Leans D+0.9Not in average: taken before the primary (18 August) | 21 Feb 2026 - 2 Mar 2026 | 786 LV | 42% | 36% | Donalds +6 | Pollster | |
| Targoz Market Research Leans R+2.2Poll sponsored by the James Madison Institute , a conservative think tankNot in average: taken before the primary (18 August) | 13 Feb 2026 - 16 Feb 2026 | 1,129 LV | 41% | 36% | Donalds +5 | Pollster | |
| University of North Florida Leans D+0.9Not in average: taken before the primary (18 August) | 15 Oct 2025 - 25 Oct 2025 | 728 LV | 45% | 34% | Donalds +11 | Pollster | |
| Targoz Market Research Leans R+2.2Poll sponsored by the James Madison Institute , a conservative think tankNot in average: taken before the primary (18 August) | 16 Sep 2025 - 18 Sep 2025 | 1,118 RV | 36% | 32% | Donalds +4 | Pollster | |
| Bendixen & Amandi International DPoll sponsored by Jolly's campaignNot in average: taken before the primary (18 August) | 7 Sep 2025 - 9 Sep 2025 | 631 LV | 40% | 41% | Jolly +1 | Pollster | |
| AIF Center RNot in average: taken before the primary (18 August) | 25 Aug 2025 - 27 Aug 2025 | 800 LV | 49% | 41% | Donalds +8 | Pollster | |
| Victory Insights R Leans R+0.1Not in average: taken before the primary (18 August) | 7 Jun 2025 - 10 Jun 2025 | 600 LV | 37% | 31% | Donalds +6 | Pollster |
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Poll list adapted from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0).