House districts / Florida
Florida's 15th congressional district
FL-15. Redrawn for 2026: the November 2026 election is on new lines. The outline shows the 2024 district with the same number.
Fundraising
- Laurel Lee Ras of Oct 14, 2026Raised $2.7mSpent $1.8m · Cash $1.3m
- Robert People Das of Oct 14, 2026Raised $83kSpent $56k · Cash $27k
1 other 2026 candidate filed reports (primary candidate). 3 other candidates have not filed.
Federal Election Commission, candidate totals, public domain.
President in this district
PollCheck calculation from precinct returns on the 2026 lines (method).
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Other | Margin | 2024 lines |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris 39.8% | Trump 58.9% | 1.4% | R+19.1 | R+11.1 |
| 2020 | Biden 44.1% | Trump 54.7% | 1.2% | R+10.6 | R+3.1 |
| 2016 | Clinton 43.0% | Trump 52.7% | 4.3% | R+9.7 | R+3.8 |
Who lives here
| Measure | This district | US |
|---|---|---|
| People | ||
| Population | 769,221 | |
| Adults (18+) | 619,782 | |
| Citizens, % of adults* | 93.9% | 92.1% |
| Age, % of adults | ||
| 18 to 29* | 18.8% | 20.3% |
| 30 to 44* | 22.9% | 25.9% |
| 45 to 64* | 30.2% | 31.8% |
| 65 and over* | 28.1% | 22.0% |
| Race and Hispanic origin, % of residents | ||
| White | 60.2% | 57.8% |
| Black | 14.1% | 12.1% |
| Hispanic | 16.7% | 18.7% |
| Asian | 4.1% | 5.9% |
| Other or more than one | 4.8% | 5.5% |
| Education and income | ||
| Bachelor's degree or higher, % of 25+* | 28.1% | 35.7% |
| Median household income* | $65,008 | $80,734 |
* Estimated for the 2026 lines from census blocks (ACS 2020-2024). Population, adults and race: 2020 Census, counted on the 2026 lines. The tick marks the US figure.
Winning margin
Results since 1976
| Year | Winner | Share | Runner-up | Share | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 lines, elections 2022-2024: redrawn for 2026 seat count changed from 27 to 28 after the census | |||||
| 2024 | Laurel M. Lee Republican | 56.2% | Patricia “Pat” Kemp Democrat | 43.8% | R+12.4 |
| 2022 | Laurel Lee Republican | 58.5% | Alan M. Cohn Democrat | 41.5% | R+17.1 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2016-2020 League of Women Voters of Florida v. Detzner: court-adopted map (2015) | |||||
| 2020 | Scott Franklin Republican | 55.4% | Alan Cohn Democrat | 44.6% | R+10.8 |
| 2018 | Ross Spano Republican | 53.0% | Kristen Carlson Democrat | 47.0% | R+6.0 |
| 2016 | Dennis A. Ross Republican | 57.5% | Jim Lange Democrat | 42.5% | R+14.9 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2012-2014 seat count changed from 25 to 27 after the census | |||||
| 2014 | Dennis A. Ross Republican | 60.3% | Alan M. Cohn Democrat | 39.7% | R+20.6 |
| 2012 | Dennis A. Ross Republican | Unopposed: no vote counted | |||
| Earlier lines, elections 2002-2010 seat count changed from 23 to 25 after the census | |||||
| 2010 | Bill Posey Republican | 64.7% | Shannon Roberts Democrat | 35.3% | R+29.5 |
| 2008 | Bill Posey Republican | 53.1% | Stephen Blythe Democrat others 4.9% | 42.0% | R+11.1 |
| 2006 | Dave Weldon Republican | 56.3% | Bob Bowman Democrat | 43.7% | R+12.6 |
| 2004 | Dave Weldon Republican | 65.3% | Simon Pristoop Democrat | 34.6% | R+30.7 |
| 2002 | Dave Weldon Republican | 63.1% | Jim Tso Democrat | 36.9% | R+26.3 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1992-2000 seat count changed from 19 to 23 after the census | |||||
| 2000 | Dave Weldon Republican | 58.8% | Patsy Ann Kurth Democrat others 1.9% | 39.2% | R+19.6 |
| 1998 | Dave Weldon Republican | 63.1% | David R. Golding Democrat | 36.9% | R+26.2 |
| 1996 | Dave Weldon Republican | 51.4% | John L. Byron Democrat others 5.7% | 42.9% | R+8.5 |
| 1994 | Dve Weldon Republican | 53.7% | Sue Munsey Democrat others 0.1% | 46.1% | R+7.6 |
| 1992 | Jim Bacchus Democrat | 50.7% | Bill Tolley Republican | 49.3% | D+1.4 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1982-1990 seat count changed from 15 to 19 after the census | |||||
| 1990 | E. Clay Shaw Jr. Republican | 97.8% | others 2.2% | R+95.5 | |
| 1988 | E. Clay Shaw Republican | 66.1% | Michael A. "Mike" Kuhle Democrat | 33.9% | R+32.2 |
| 1986 | E. Clay Shaw, Jr. Republican | Unopposed: no vote counted | |||
| 1984 | E. Clay Shaw Jr. Republican | 65.7% | Bill Humphrey Democrat | 34.3% | R+31.4 |
| 1982 | E. Clay Shaw, Jr. Republican | 57.1% | Edward J. "Ed" Stack Democrat | 42.9% | R+14.1 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1976-1980 | |||||
| 1980 | Dante B. Fascell Democrat | 65.4% | Herbert J. Hoodwin Republican | 34.6% | D+30.7 |
| 1978 | Dante B. Fascell Democrat | 74.2% | Herbert J. Hoodwin Republican | 25.8% | D+48.3 |
| 1976 | Dante B. Fascell Democrat | 70.4% | Paul R. Cobb Republican | 29.6% | D+40.8 |
More on Florida
Other Florida districts
About these results
Shares count all candidate votes, including write-ins, with a candidate's votes on several party lines added together. Each result is on the lines in force at the time. Mid-decade redraws before 2016 may be unmarked.
President in this district: 2016 and 2020, and 2024 on the new lines, are estimates: precinct votes are split between districts by census block. The last column is the margin in FL-15 on the 2024 lines.
Counties only partly inside the district show the 2024 result for that part; estimates are labelled.
Margin chart: winner minus runner-up. Gaps are unopposed races; dashed lines are new district lines.
Who lives here (2026 lines) is estimated from Census survey figures split by population.
Sources
Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2016 (doi:10.7910/DVN/IG0UN2, CC0; via MEDSL/constituency-returns), and Clerk of the US House, Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election 2018-2024 (public domain).
Presidential results: PollCheck calculation from MIT Election Data and Science Lab 2024 precinct returns (doi:10.7910/DVN/XDJYKC, doi:10.7910/DVN/USBYR4, CC0; state totals doi:10.7910/DVN/42MVDX, CC0) and Voting and Election Science Team 2016 and 2020 precinct results and shapes (doi:10.7910/DVN/NH5S2I, doi:10.7910/DVN/K7760H, CC BY 4.0), with US Census Bureau 2020 block populations and block equivalency files (public domain). Official figures: Texas Legislative Council (2024 on the 2026 lines); Louisiana, New Jersey, California and Washington election offices (county totals). Certified results transcribed by Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): Maine 2024 by district: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine (revision 1382530995); Indiana county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana (revision 1382505975); Oregon county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon (revision 1382605746).
District lines: US Census Bureau TIGER/Line 2026 (120th Congress) and 2025 cartographic boundary files (119th Congress), public domain.
Members: unitedstates/congress-legislators (CC0).
Counties: US Census Bureau 2024 cartographic boundary file (public domain); 2024 county results summed from the same MEDSL precinct returns, with the official county totals above.
Demographics: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024; 2020 Census P.L. 94-171 (public domain).
2028 candidates: Federal Election Commission (public domain).
Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits