House districts / Florida
Florida's 16th congressional district
FL-16. Redrawn for 2026: the November 2026 election is on new lines. The outline shows the 2024 district with the same number.
Fundraising
- Sydney Gruters Ras of Oct 14, 2026Raised $1.6mSpent $1.4m · Cash $252k
- Kelly Kirschner Das of Oct 14, 2026Raised $876kSpent $615k · Cash $261k
- Mark Davis NPAas of Oct 14, 2026Raised $67kSpent $65k · Cash $2k
7 other 2026 candidates filed reports (primary candidates).
Federal Election Commission, candidate totals, public domain.
President in this district
PollCheck calculation from precinct returns on the 2026 lines (method).
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Other | Margin | 2024 lines |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris 42.7% | Trump 56.1% | 1.2% | R+13.4 | R+15.4 |
| 2020 | Biden 46.7% | Trump 52.2% | 1.2% | R+5.5 | R+8.9 |
| 2016 | Clinton 45.1% | Trump 50.6% | 4.3% | R+5.6 | R+12.6 |
Who lives here
| Measure | This district | US |
|---|---|---|
| People | ||
| Population | 769,221 | |
| Adults (18+) | 635,485 | |
| Citizens, % of adults* | 93.6% | 92.1% |
| Age, % of adults | ||
| 18 to 29* | 14.5% | 20.3% |
| 30 to 44* | 20.2% | 25.9% |
| 45 to 64* | 32.3% | 31.8% |
| 65 and over* | 33.0% | 22.0% |
| Race and Hispanic origin, % of residents | ||
| White | 66.4% | 57.8% |
| Black | 11.8% | 12.1% |
| Hispanic | 15.5% | 18.7% |
| Asian | 2.2% | 5.9% |
| Other or more than one | 4.1% | 5.5% |
| Education and income | ||
| Bachelor's degree or higher, % of 25+* | 35.7% | 35.7% |
| Median household income* | $76,021 | $80,734 |
* Estimated for the 2026 lines from census blocks (ACS 2020-2024). Population, adults and race: 2020 Census, counted on the 2026 lines. The tick marks the US figure.
Winning margin
Results since 1976
| Year | Winner | Share | Runner-up | Share | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 lines, elections 2022-2024: redrawn for 2026 seat count changed from 27 to 28 after the census | |||||
| 2024 | Vern Buchanan Republican | 59.5% | Jan Schneider Democrat | 40.5% | R+19.0 |
| 2022 | Vern Buchanan Republican | 62.1% | Jan Schneider Democrat | 37.9% | R+24.3 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2016-2020 League of Women Voters of Florida v. Detzner: court-adopted map (2015) | |||||
| 2020 | Vern Buchanan Republican | 55.5% | Margaret Good Democrat | 44.5% | R+11.0 |
| 2018 | Vern Buchanan Republican | 54.6% | David Shapiro Democrat | 45.4% | R+9.1 |
| 2016 | Vern Buchanan Republican | 59.8% | Jan Schneider Democrat | 40.2% | R+19.5 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2012-2014 seat count changed from 25 to 27 after the census | |||||
| 2014 | Vern Buchanan Republican | 61.5% | Henry Lawrence Democrat others 0.1% | 38.4% | R+23.2 |
| 2012 | Vern Buchanan Republican | 53.6% | Keith Fitzgerald Democrat | 46.4% | R+7.2 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2002-2010 seat count changed from 23 to 25 after the census | |||||
| 2010 | Thomas J. Rooney Republican | 66.8% | Jim Horn Democrat others 0.1% | 33.1% | R+33.8 |
| 2008 | Tom Rooney Republican | 60.1% | Tim Mahoney Democrat | 39.9% | R+20.2 |
| 2006 | Tim Mahoney Democrat | 49.5% | Joe Negron Republican others 2.8% | 47.7% | D+1.9 |
| 2004 | Mark Foley Republican | 68.0% | Jeff Fisher Democrat | 32.0% | R+36.1 |
| 2002 | Mark Foley Republican | 78.9% | Jack McLain Constitution | 21.1% | R+57.8 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1992-2000 seat count changed from 19 to 23 after the census | |||||
| 2000 | Mark Foley Republican | 60.2% | Jean Elliott Brown Democrat others 2.6% | 37.2% | R+23.0 |
| 1998 | Mark Foley Republican | Unopposed: no vote counted | |||
| 1996 | Mark Foley Republican | 64.0% | Jim Stuber Democrat | 36.0% | R+28.0 |
| 1994 | Mark Adam Foley Republican | 58.1% | John Comerford Democrat | 41.9% | R+16.1 |
| 1992 | Tom Lewis Republican | 60.9% | John P. Comerford Democrat | 39.1% | R+21.7 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1982-1990 seat count changed from 15 to 19 after the census | |||||
| 1990 | Lawrence J. Smith Democrat | Unopposed: no vote counted | |||
| 1988 | Larry Smith Democrat | 69.4% | Joseph Smith Republican | 30.6% | D+38.8 |
| 1986 | Larry Smith Democrat | 69.7% | Mary Collins Republican | 30.4% | D+39.3 |
| 1984 | Larry Smith Democrat | 56.4% | Tom Bush Republican | 43.6% | D+12.7 |
| 1982 | Larry Smith Democrat | 67.9% | Maurice Berkowitz Republican | 32.1% | D+35.8 |
| FL-16 did not exist before 1982: Florida had 15 districts in 1976-1980. | |||||
More on Florida
Other Florida districts
About these results
Shares count all candidate votes, including write-ins, with a candidate's votes on several party lines added together. Each result is on the lines in force at the time. Mid-decade redraws before 2016 may be unmarked.
President in this district: 2016 and 2020, and 2024 on the new lines, are estimates: precinct votes are split between districts by census block. The last column is the margin in FL-16 on the 2024 lines.
Counties only partly inside the district show the 2024 result for that part; estimates are labelled.
Margin chart: winner minus runner-up. Gaps are unopposed races; dashed lines are new district lines.
Who lives here (2026 lines) is estimated from Census survey figures split by population.
Sources
Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2016 (doi:10.7910/DVN/IG0UN2, CC0; via MEDSL/constituency-returns), and Clerk of the US House, Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election 2018-2024 (public domain).
Presidential results: PollCheck calculation from MIT Election Data and Science Lab 2024 precinct returns (doi:10.7910/DVN/XDJYKC, doi:10.7910/DVN/USBYR4, CC0; state totals doi:10.7910/DVN/42MVDX, CC0) and Voting and Election Science Team 2016 and 2020 precinct results and shapes (doi:10.7910/DVN/NH5S2I, doi:10.7910/DVN/K7760H, CC BY 4.0), with US Census Bureau 2020 block populations and block equivalency files (public domain). Official figures: Texas Legislative Council (2024 on the 2026 lines); Louisiana, New Jersey, California and Washington election offices (county totals). Certified results transcribed by Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): Maine 2024 by district: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine (revision 1382530995); Indiana county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana (revision 1382505975); Oregon county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon (revision 1382605746).
District lines: US Census Bureau TIGER/Line 2026 (120th Congress) and 2025 cartographic boundary files (119th Congress), public domain.
Members: unitedstates/congress-legislators (CC0).
Counties: US Census Bureau 2024 cartographic boundary file (public domain); 2024 county results summed from the same MEDSL precinct returns, with the official county totals above.
Demographics: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024; 2020 Census P.L. 94-171 (public domain).
2028 candidates: Federal Election Commission (public domain).
Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits