House districts / Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district
PA-16. Same lines in 2026 as in 2022.
Fundraising
- George J Kelly Jr. Ras of Oct 14, 2026Raised $1.4mSpent $1.4m · Cash $1.0m
- Justin Wagner Das of Oct 14, 2026Raised $247kSpent $189k · Cash $63k
1 other candidate has not filed.
Federal Election Commission, candidate totals, public domain.
President in this district
PollCheck calculation from precinct returns on the 2026 lines (method).
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Other | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris 38.2% | Trump 61.0% | 0.8% | R+22.8 |
| 2020 | Biden 39.0% | Trump 59.7% | 1.3% | R+20.6 |
| 2016 | Clinton 36.9% | Trump 59.0% | 4.1% | R+22.1 |
Who lives here
| Measure | This district | US |
|---|---|---|
| People | ||
| Population | 762,592 | |
| Adults (18+) | 610,958 | |
| Citizens, % of adults | 98.7% | 92.1% |
| Age, % of adults | ||
| 18 to 29 | 18.2% | 20.3% |
| 30 to 44 | 22.2% | 25.9% |
| 45 to 64 | 32.9% | 31.8% |
| 65 and over | 26.6% | 22.0% |
| Race and Hispanic origin, % of residents | ||
| White | 87.6% | 57.4% |
| Black | 4.1% | 11.9% |
| Hispanic | 2.9% | 19.3% |
| Asian | 1.3% | 5.9% |
| Other or more than one | 4.0% | 5.5% |
| Education and income | ||
| Bachelor's degree or higher, % of 25+ | 30.0% | 35.7% |
| Median household income | $67,764 | $80,734 |
American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates for this district. The tick marks the US figure.
Winning margin
Results since 1976
| Year | Winner | Share | Runner-up | Share | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current lines (2022 on) seat count changed from 18 to 17 after the census | |||||
| 2024 | Mike Kelly Republican | 63.6% | Preston Nouri Democrat | 36.4% | R+27.3 |
| 2022 | Mike Kelly Republican | 59.4% | Dan Pastore Democrat | 40.6% | R+18.7 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2018-2020 League of Women Voters v. Commonwealth: Pennsylvania Supreme Court map (2018) | |||||
| 2020 | George J. Kelly, Jr. Republican | 59.3% | Kristy Marie Gnibus Democrat | 40.7% | R+18.7 |
| 2018 | Mike Kelly Republican | 51.6% | Ron DiNicola Democrat others 1.1% | 47.3% | R+4.3 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2012-2016 seat count changed from 19 to 18 after the census | |||||
| 2016 | Lloyd K. Smucker Republican | 53.8% | Christina Hartman Democrat others 3.4% | 42.9% | R+10.9 |
| 2014 | Joseph R. Pitts Republican | 57.7% | Tom Houghton Democrat | 42.3% | R+15.4 |
| 2012 | Joseph R. Pitts Republican | 54.9% | Aryanna C. Strader Democrat others 6.1% | 39.0% | R+15.8 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2002-2010 seat count changed from 21 to 19 after the census | |||||
| 2010 | Joseph R. Pitts Republican | 65.4% | Lois Herr Democrat | 34.6% | R+30.8 |
| 2008 | Joseph R. Pitts Republican | 55.8% | Bruce A. Slater Democrat others 4.8% | 39.4% | R+16.4 |
| 2006 | Joseph R. Pitts Republican | 56.5% | Lois K. Herr Democrat others 3.9% | 39.5% | R+17.0 |
| 2004 | Joseph R. Pitts Republican | 64.4% | Lois K. Herr Democrat others 1.1% | 34.5% | R+29.9 |
| 2002 | Joseph R. Pitts Republican | 88.5% | Will Todd Green others 5.1% | 6.5% | R+82.0 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1992-2000 seat count changed from 23 to 21 after the census | |||||
| 2000 | Joseph R. Pitts Republican | 67.0% | Bob Yorczyk Democrat | 33.0% | R+33.9 |
| 1998 | Joseph R. Pitts Republican | 70.5% | Robert S. Yorczyk Democrat | 29.5% | R+41.1 |
| 1996 | Joseph R. Pitts Republican | 59.4% | James G. Blaine Democrat others 3.1% | 37.5% | R+21.9 |
| 1994 | Robert S. Walker Republican | 69.7% | Bill Chertok Democrat | 30.3% | R+39.4 |
| 1992 | Robert S. Walker Republican | 64.8% | Robert Peters Democrat | 35.2% | R+29.7 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1982-1990 seat count changed from 25 to 23 after the census | |||||
| 1990 | Robert S. Walker Republican | 66.1% | Ernest Eric Guyll Democrat | 33.9% | R+32.3 |
| 1988 | Robert S. Walker Republican | 74.0% | Ernest Eric Guyll Democrat | 26.0% | R+48.0 |
| 1986 | Robert S. Walker Republican | 74.5% | James D. Hagelgans Democrat | 25.4% | R+49.1 |
| 1984 | Robert S. Walker Republican | 77.8% | Martin L. Bard Democrat | 22.2% | R+55.6 |
| 1982 | Robert S. Walker Republican | 71.3% | Jean D. Mowery Democrat | 28.6% | R+42.7 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1976-1980 | |||||
| 1980 | Robert S. Walker Republican | 76.9% | James A. Woodcock Democrat | 23.1% | R+53.9 |
| 1978 | Robert S. Walker Republican | 77.0% | Charles W. Boohar Democrat | 23.0% | R+54.1 |
| 1976 | Robert S. Walker Republican | 62.3% | Michael J. Minney Democrat others 0.7% | 37.0% | R+25.4 |
More on Pennsylvania
Other Pennsylvania districts
About these results
Shares count all candidate votes, including write-ins, with a candidate's votes on several party lines added together. Each result is on the lines in force at the time. Mid-decade redraws before 2016 may be unmarked.
President in this district: 2016 and 2020 are estimates: precinct votes are split between districts by census block.
Counties only partly inside the district show the 2024 result for that part; estimates are labelled.
Margin chart: winner minus runner-up. Gaps are unopposed races; dashed lines are new district lines.
Sources
Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2016 (doi:10.7910/DVN/IG0UN2, CC0; via MEDSL/constituency-returns), and Clerk of the US House, Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election 2018-2024 (public domain).
Presidential results: PollCheck calculation from MIT Election Data and Science Lab 2024 precinct returns (doi:10.7910/DVN/XDJYKC, doi:10.7910/DVN/USBYR4, CC0; state totals doi:10.7910/DVN/42MVDX, CC0) and Voting and Election Science Team 2016 and 2020 precinct results and shapes (doi:10.7910/DVN/NH5S2I, doi:10.7910/DVN/K7760H, CC BY 4.0), with US Census Bureau 2020 block populations and block equivalency files (public domain). Official figures: Texas Legislative Council (2024 on the 2026 lines); Louisiana, New Jersey, California and Washington election offices (county totals). Certified results transcribed by Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): Maine 2024 by district: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine (revision 1382530995); Indiana county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana (revision 1382505975); Oregon county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon (revision 1382605746).
District lines: US Census Bureau TIGER/Line 2026 (120th Congress) and 2025 cartographic boundary files (119th Congress), public domain.
Members: unitedstates/congress-legislators (CC0).
Counties: US Census Bureau 2024 cartographic boundary file (public domain); 2024 county results summed from the same MEDSL precinct returns, with the official county totals above.
Demographics: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 (public domain).
2028 candidates: Federal Election Commission (public domain).
Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits