US / US midterms 2026 / Ohio Senate (special)
Ohio senate (special election)
Ohio Senate 2026 results: Jon Husted (R) vs Sherrod Brown (D)
Election day 3 November 2026
Result
Complete
DDHQ projects Sherrod Brown (D), 11:16 pm ET
Democratic gain from Republicans
Sherrod Brown D50.0%
2,301,042 votes
Jon Husted R45.1%
2,077,748 votes
William Redpath L2.8%
128,272 votes
Greg Levy I2.0%
94,509 votes
Others O0.0%
354 votes
8,834 of 8,834 precincts reporting. Ohio Secretary of State, 9:19 pm Wed ET (2:19 am Thu UK).
Count over time
Final pre-election PollCheck polling average
Average: Brown +2.6. Result: Brown +4.9
Jon Husted (R)
45.5%
+1.1 in 30 days
Sherrod Brown (D)
48.1%
0.0 in 30 days
Win probability
64%
Brown - Toss-up
- Incumbent
- Jon Husted (R)
- Status
- Interim appointee nominated
- Last result
- 2022: JD Vance (R) 53%, Tim Ryan (D) 46.9%
- 2024 president
- R+11.2
- Election day
- 3 November 2026, polls close 7:30 pm Eastern (12:30 am Wed UK)
Polling trend
Ohio senate polling average
Every poll
67 general election polls
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Husted | Brown | Spread | vs avg | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College Leans R+0.2↑ Poll sponsored by Poll Vault , a Substack newsletter authored by Sean Trende . | 31 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 930 LV | 48% | 46% | Husted +2 | Husted +4.6 | Pollster |
| Trafalgar Group R Leans R+1.5 | 31 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 1,092 LV | 45% | 47% | Brown +2 | Husted +0.6 | Pollster |
| Research Co. Leans D+0.1 | 30 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 450 LV | 44% | 45% | Brown +1 | Husted +1.6 | Pollster |
| AtlasIntel Leans D+3.5 | 28 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 1,801 LV | 44% | 51% | Brown +7 | Husted -4.4 | Pollster |
| Survey 160 Leans D+1.7 | 27 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 1,122 LV | 46% | 50% | Brown +4 | Husted -1.4 | Pollster |
| Survey 160 Leans D+1.7Not in average: same survey, another version used | 27 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 1,122 LV | 45% | 49% | Brown +4 | Husted -1.4 | Pollster |
| Survey 160 Leans D+1.7Not in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 27 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 1,159 RV | 45% | 50% | Brown +5 | Husted -2.4 | Pollster |
| Survey 160 Leans D+1.7Not in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 27 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 1,159 RV | 44% | 49% | Brown +5 | Husted -2.4 | Pollster |
| New York Times / Siena University Leans D+1.0 | 26 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 717 LV | 44% | 49% | Brown +5 | Husted -2.4 | Pollster |
| HarrisX Leans R+1.1 | 30 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 496 LV | 45% | 47% | Brown +2 | Husted +0.6 | Pollster |
| Rasmussen Reports R Leans R+0.9 | 27 Oct 2026 - 31 Oct 2026 | 1,119 LV | 46% | 46% | Tie | Husted +3.0 | Pollster |
| ActiVote Leans R+0.5 | 18 Oct 2026 - 31 Oct 2026 | 400 LV | 50% | 50% | Tie | Husted +3.0 | Pollster |
| InsiderAdvantage R Leans R+1.1 | 29 Oct 2026 - 30 Oct 2026 | 1,200 LV | 47% | 49% | Brown +2 | Husted +1.0 | Pollster |
| YouGov Leans D+0.4 | 26 Oct 2026 - 29 Oct 2026 | 2,090 LV | 48% | 50% | Brown +2 | Husted +1.0 | Pollster |
| Suffolk University Leans D+1.0 | 21 Oct 2026 - 26 Oct 2026 | 500 LV | 44% | 47% | Brown +3 | Husted +0.2 | Pollster |
| Concord Public Opinion Partners D Leans D+2.4↑ Poll sponsored by Democrats for Education Reform | 22 Oct 2026 - 24 Oct 2026 | 496 LV | 42% | 46% | Brown +4 | Husted -0.8 | Pollster |
| RedBox Research D↑ Poll sponsored by A Fight Worth Having, a Democratic-aligned super PAC. | 20 Oct 2026 - 23 Oct 2026 | 2,998 LV | 44% | 47% | Brown +3 | Husted +0.3 | Pollster |
| Echelon Insights R Leans R+0.8↑ Poll conducted for NetChoice | 16 Oct 2026 - 23 Oct 2026 | 508 LV | 47% | 47% | Tie | Husted +3.3 | Pollster |
| InsiderAdvantage R Leans R+1.1 | 21 Oct 2026 - 22 Oct 2026 | 1,200 LV | 44% | 47% | Brown +3 | Husted +0.5 | Pollster |
| Verasight/VoteHub Leans D+1.6 | 1 Oct 2026 - 20 Oct 2026 | 531 LV | 44% | 48% | Brown +4 | Husted -0.6 | Pollster |
| Verasight/VoteHub Leans D+1.6Not in average: same survey, another version used | 1 Oct 2026 - 20 Oct 2026 | 531 LV | 41% | 45% | Brown +4 | Husted -0.6 | Pollster |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) Leans D+0.3Poll conducted for Fox NewsNot in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 15 Oct 2026 - 19 Oct 2026 | 2,005 RV | 46% | 53% | Brown +7 | Husted -3.5 | Pollster |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) Leans D+0.3Poll conducted for Fox News | 15 Oct 2026 - 19 Oct 2026 | 1,592 LV | 47% | 52% | Brown +5 | Husted -1.5 | Pollster |
| Marist University Leans D+1.6 | 15 Oct 2026 - 18 Oct 2026 | - LV | 44% | 48% | Brown +4 | Husted -0.6 | Pollster |
| Marist University Leans D+1.6Not in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 15 Oct 2026 - 18 Oct 2026 | 1,176 RV | 42% | 51% | Brown +9 | Husted -5.6 | Pollster |
| ActiVote Leans R+0.5↑ May or may not be reliable because ActiVote uses a app to conduct the poll. | 26 Sep 2026 - 18 Oct 2026 | 400 LV | 50% | 50% | Tie | Husted +3.4 | Pollster |
| Rasmussen Reports R Leans R+0.9 | 12 Oct 2026 - 14 Oct 2026 | 901 LV | 49% | 47% | Husted +2 | Husted +5.9 | Pollster |
| GS Strategy Group (R)/ New River Strategies (D) Leans D+1.0↑ Poll sponsored by The Cook Political Report . | 9 Oct 2026 - 13 Oct 2026 | 959 LV | 43% | 49% | Brown +6 | Husted -1.9 | Pollster |
| Bowling Green State University / YouGov Leans D+0.4 | 29 Sep 2026 - 9 Oct 2026 | 1,000 LV | 42% | 48% | Brown +6 | Husted -1.9 | Pollster |
| co/efficient R Leans R+3.3 | 5 Oct 2026 - 6 Oct 2026 | 925 LV | 46% | 45% | Husted +1 | Husted +4.9 | Pollster |
| co/efficient R Leans R+3.3Not in average: same survey, another version used | 5 Oct 2026 - 6 Oct 2026 | 925 LV | 44% | 43% | Husted +1 | Husted +4.9 | Pollster |
| SSRS Leans D+0.8↑ "CNN Ohio Poll Conducted by SSRS" . SSRS . October 8, 2026 . Retrieved October 8, 2026 – via DocumentCloud .; ↑ Poll conducted for CNN | 29 Sep 2026 - 5 Oct 2026 | 760 LV | 43% | 49% | Brown +6 | Husted -2.0 | Pollster |
| New York Times / Siena University Leans D+1.0 | 22 Sep 2026 - 1 Oct 2026 | 616 LV | 46% | 49% | Brown +3 | Husted +0.7 | Pollster |
| YouGov Leans D+0.4 | 18 Sep 2026 - 30 Sep 2026 | 3,780 LV | 45% | 49% | Brown +4 | Husted -0.1 | Pollster |
| InsiderAdvantage R Leans R+1.1 | 28 Sep 2026 - 29 Sep 2026 | 1,200 LV | 43% | 44% | Brown +1 | Husted +2.9 | Pollster |
| Big Data Poll R Leans D+0.5↑ Poll sponsored by the Public Polling Project | 26 Sep 2026 - 27 Sep 2026 | 680 LV | 43% | 46% | Brown +3 | Husted +1.1 | Pollster |
| Big Data Poll R Leans D+0.5↑ Poll sponsored by the Public Polling ProjectNot in average: same survey, another version used | 26 Sep 2026 - 27 Sep 2026 | 680 LV | 41% | 46% | Brown +5 | Husted -0.9 | Pollster |
| Big Data Poll R Leans D+0.5↑ Poll sponsored by the Public Polling ProjectNot in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 26 Sep 2026 - 27 Sep 2026 | 735 RV | 41% | 45% | Brown +4 | Husted +0.1 | Pollster |
| Big Data Poll R Leans D+0.5↑ Poll sponsored by the Public Polling ProjectNot in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 26 Sep 2026 - 27 Sep 2026 | 735 RV | 40% | 44% | Brown +4 | Husted +0.1 | Pollster |
| Marist University Leans D+1.6 | 24 Sep 2026 - 27 Sep 2026 | 1,298 RV | 43% | 51% | Brown +8 | Husted -3.9 | Pollster |
| Suffolk University Leans D+1.0↑ Poll sponsored by USA Today | 23 Sep 2026 - 27 Sep 2026 | 500 LV | 44% | 47% | Brown +3 | Husted +1.1 | Pollster |
| Rasmussen Reports R Leans R+0.9 | 22 Sep 2026 - 23 Sep 2026 | 1,115 LV | 43% | 46% | Brown +3 | Husted +0.8 | Pollster |
| Quantus Insights R Leans R+1.4 | 21 Sep 2026 - 23 Sep 2026 | 695 LV | 47% | 47% | Tie | Husted +3.8 | Pollster |
| Quantus Insights R Leans R+1.4Not in average: same survey, another version used | 21 Sep 2026 - 23 Sep 2026 | 695 LV | 45% | 46% | Brown +1 | Husted +2.8 | Pollster |
| Trafalgar Group R Leans R+1.5 | 14 Sep 2026 - 16 Sep 2026 | 1,085 LV | 42% | 45% | Brown +3 | Husted +1.2 | Pollster |
| Bowling Green State University / YouGov Leans D+0.4 | 1 Sep 2026 - 10 Sep 2026 | 1,000 LV | 45% | 48% | Brown +3 | Husted +1.2 | Pollster |
| InsiderAdvantage R Leans R+1.1 | 8 Sep 2026 - 9 Sep 2026 | 1,200 LV | 42% | 47% | Brown +5 | Husted +0.2 | Pollster |
| Concord Public Opinion Partners D Leans D+2.4↑ Poll sponsored by Democrats for Education Reform | 29 Aug 2026 - 31 Aug 2026 | 504 LV | 40% | 50% | Brown +10 | Husted -5.1 | Pollster |
| Abacus Data Leans D+2.5 | 26 Aug 2026 - 28 Aug 2026 | 306 LV | 46% | 52% | Brown +6 | Husted -2.2 | Pollster |
| Abacus Data Leans D+2.5Not in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 26 Aug 2026 - 28 Aug 2026 | 500 RV | 43% | 53% | Brown +10 | Husted -6.2 | Pollster |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) Leans D+0.3Poll conducted for Fox News | 6 Aug 2026 - 10 Aug 2026 | 1,008 RV | 45% | 53% | Brown +8 | Husted -3.8 | Pollster |
| Tulchin Research D Leans D+0.6Poll conducted for John Kulewicz, Democratic candidate for Attorney General | 29 Jul 2026 - 4 Aug 2026 | 600 LV | 43% | 47% | Brown +4 | Husted -2.5 | Pollster |
| New York Times / Siena University Leans D+1.0 | 15 Jun 2026 - 28 Jun 2026 | 601 LV | 50% | 47% | Husted +3 | Husted +4.0 | Pollster |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D) Leans D+0.8↑ Poll conducted for AARP | 14 Jun 2026 - 16 Jun 2026 | 800 LV | 45% | 48% | Brown +3 | Husted +1.2 | Pollster |
| Tulchin Research D Leans D+0.6Poll conducted for John Kulewicz, Democratic candidate for Attorney General | 2 Jun 2026 - 4 Jun 2026 | 600 LV | 42% | 46% | Brown +4 | Pollster | |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) Leans D+0.3Poll conducted for Fox News | 28 May 2026 - 1 Jun 2026 | 1,015 RV | 45% | 53% | Brown +8 | Pollster | |
| Bowling Green State University / YouGov Leans D+0.4Not in average: taken before the primary (5 May) | 7 Apr 2026 - 14 Apr 2026 | 1,000 RV | 50% | 47% | Husted +3 | Pollster | |
| Echelon Insights R Leans R+0.8↑ Poll commissioned by NetChoiceNot in average: taken before the primary (5 May) | 3 Apr 2026 - 9 Apr 2026 | 413 LV | 51% | 45% | Husted +6 | Pollster | |
| Quantus Insights R Leans R+1.4Not in average: taken before the primary (5 May) | 13 Mar 2026 - 14 Mar 2026 | 784 LV | 46% | 44% | Husted +2 | Pollster | |
| OnMessage Public Strategies R↑ Poll sponsored by the Insurance Watchdog CoalitionNot in average: taken before the primary (5 May) | 3 Mar 2026 - 8 Mar 2026 | 600 LV | 45% | 47% | Brown +2 | Pollster | |
| EMC Research D↑ Polling commissioned by Ohio Environmental Council , an environmental organizationNot in average: taken before the primary (5 May) | 10 Feb 2026 - 22 Feb 2026 | 1,343 LV | 47% | 51% | Brown +4 | Pollster | |
| Emerson College Leans R+0.2Not in average: taken before the primary (5 May) | 6 Dec 2025 - 8 Dec 2025 | 850 RV | 49% | 46% | Husted +3 | Pollster | |
| Bowling Green State University / YouGov Leans D+0.4Not in average: taken before the primary (5 May) | 2 Oct 2025 - 14 Oct 2025 | 800 RV | 48% | 49% | Brown +1 | Pollster | |
| Hart Research D Leans R+1.6↑ Poll sponsored by the Ohio Federation of Teachers , which supports BrownNot in average: taken before the primary (5 May) | 19 Sep 2025 - 22 Sep 2025 | 800 LV | 45% | 48% | Brown +3 | Pollster | |
| Emerson College Leans R+0.2Not in average: taken before the primary (5 May) | 18 Aug 2025 - 19 Aug 2025 | 1,000 RV | 50% | 44% | Husted +6 | Pollster | |
| Bowling Green State University / YouGov Leans D+0.4Not in average: taken before the primary (5 May) | 18 Apr 2025 - 24 Apr 2025 | 800 RV | 49% | 46% | Husted +3 | Pollster | |
| Bowling Green State University / YouGov Leans D+0.4Not in average: taken before the primary (5 May) | 14 Feb 2025 - 21 Feb 2025 | 800 RV | 47% | 41% | Husted +6 | Pollster |
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Poll list adapted from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0).