House districts / Ohio
Ohio's 15th congressional district
OH-15. Redrawn for 2026: the November 2026 election is on new lines. The outline shows the 2024 district with the same number.
Fundraising
- Mike Carey Ras of Oct 14, 2026Raised $4.2mSpent $4.0m · Cash $370k
- Don Ralph Leonard Das of Oct 14, 2026Raised $1.3mSpent $1.2m · Cash $98k
2 other 2026 candidates filed reports (primary candidates). 1 other candidate has not filed.
Federal Election Commission, candidate totals, public domain.
President in this district
PollCheck calculation from precinct returns on the 2026 lines (method).
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Other | Margin | 2024 lines |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris 44.5% | Trump 54.5% | 1.0% | R+10.1 | R+9.2 |
| 2020 | Biden 45.5% | Trump 52.9% | 1.6% | R+7.3 | R+6.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton 42.4% | Trump 52.8% | 4.8% | R+10.4 | R+10.3 |
Who lives here
| Measure | This district | US |
|---|---|---|
| People | ||
| Population | 786,630 | |
| Adults (18+) | 599,242 | |
| Citizens, % of adults* | 94.8% | 92.1% |
| Age, % of adults | ||
| 18 to 29* | 19.6% | 20.3% |
| 30 to 44* | 29.0% | 25.9% |
| 45 to 64* | 32.6% | 31.8% |
| 65 and over* | 18.8% | 22.0% |
| Race and Hispanic origin, % of residents | ||
| White | 73.5% | 57.8% |
| Black | 11.0% | 12.1% |
| Hispanic | 5.9% | 18.7% |
| Asian | 4.0% | 5.9% |
| Other or more than one | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Education and income | ||
| Bachelor's degree or higher, % of 25+* | 32.7% | 35.7% |
| Median household income* | $78,372 | $80,734 |
* Estimated for the 2026 lines from census blocks (ACS 2020-2024). Population, adults and race: 2020 Census, counted on the 2026 lines. The tick marks the US figure.
Winning margin
Results since 1976
| Year | Winner | Share | Runner-up | Share | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 lines, elections 2022-2024: redrawn for 2026 seat count changed from 16 to 15 after the census | |||||
| 2024 | Mike Carey Republican | 56.5% | Adam Miller Democrat | 43.5% | R+12.9 |
| 2022 | Mike Carey Republican | 57.0% | Gary Josephson Democrat | 43.0% | R+13.9 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2012-2020 seat count changed from 18 to 16 after the census | |||||
| 2020 | Steve Stivers Republican | 63.4% | Joel Newby Democrat | 36.6% | R+26.8 |
| 2018 | Steve Stivers Republican | 58.3% | Rick Neal Democrat others 2.0% | 39.7% | R+18.6 |
| 2016 | Steve Stivers Republican | 66.2% | Scott Wharton Democrat | 33.8% | R+32.3 |
| 2014 | Steve Stivers Republican | 66.0% | Scott Wharton Democrat | 34.0% | R+32.0 |
| 2012 | Steve Stivers Republican | 61.6% | Pat Lang Democrat | 38.4% | R+23.1 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2002-2010 seat count changed from 19 to 18 after the census | |||||
| 2010 | Steve Stivers Republican | 54.2% | Mary Jo Kilroy Democrat others 4.5% | 41.3% | R+12.9 |
| 2008 | Mary Jo Kilroy Democrat | 45.9% | Steve Stivers Republican others 8.9% | 45.2% | D+0.8 |
| 2006 | Deborah Pryce Republican | 50.2% | Mary Jo Kilroy Democrat others 0.1% | 49.7% | R+0.5 |
| 2004 | Deborah Pryce Republican | 60.0% | Mark P. Brown Democrat | 40.0% | R+20.0 |
| 2002 | Deborah Pryce Republican | 66.6% | Mark Brown Democrat | 33.4% | R+33.2 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1992-2000 seat count changed from 21 to 19 after the census | |||||
| 2000 | Deborah Pryce Republican | 67.5% | Bill Buckel Democrat others 4.6% | 27.9% | R+39.6 |
| 1998 | Deborah Pryce Republican | 65.7% | Adam Clay Miller Democrat others 5.8% | 28.5% | R+37.2 |
| 1996 | Deborah Pryce Republican | 70.8% | Cliff Arnebeck Jr. Democrat | 29.2% | R+41.6 |
| 1994 | Deborah Pryce Republican | 70.7% | Bill Buckel Democrat others 0.2% | 29.1% | R+41.6 |
| 1992 | Deborah Pryce Republican | 44.1% | Richard Cordray Democrat others 17.9% | 37.9% | R+6.2 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1982-1990 seat count changed from 23 to 21 after the census | |||||
| 1990 | Chalmers P. Wylie Republican | 59.1% | Thomas V. Erney Democrat others 0.1% | 40.8% | R+18.3 |
| 1988 | Chalmers P. Wylie Republican | 75.1% | Mark S. Froehlich Democrat | 24.9% | R+50.3 |
| 1986 | Chalmers P. Wylie Republican | 63.7% | David L. Jackson Democrat | 36.3% | R+27.4 |
| 1984 | Chalmers P. Wylie Republican | 71.6% | Duane Jager Democrat | 28.4% | R+43.2 |
| 1982 | Chalmers P. Wylie Republican | 66.3% | Greg Kostelac Democrat others 3.9% | 29.8% | R+36.5 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1976-1980 | |||||
| 1980 | Chalmers P. Wylie Republican | 72.6% | Terry Freeman Democrat | 27.4% | R+45.2 |
| 1978 | Chalmers P. Wylie Republican | 71.1% | Henry W. Eckhart Democrat | 28.9% | R+42.2 |
| 1976 | Chalmers P. Wylie Republican | 65.5% | Mike McGee Democrat | 34.5% | R+31.0 |
More on Ohio
Other Ohio districts
About these results
Shares count all candidate votes, including write-ins, with a candidate's votes on several party lines added together. Each result is on the lines in force at the time. Mid-decade redraws before 2016 may be unmarked.
President in this district: 2016 and 2020, and 2024 on the new lines, are estimates: precinct votes are split between districts by census block. The last column is the margin in OH-15 on the 2024 lines.
Counties only partly inside the district show the 2024 result for that part; estimates are labelled.
Margin chart: winner minus runner-up. Gaps are unopposed races; dashed lines are new district lines.
Who lives here (2026 lines) is estimated from Census survey figures split by population.
Sources
Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2016 (doi:10.7910/DVN/IG0UN2, CC0; via MEDSL/constituency-returns), and Clerk of the US House, Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election 2018-2024 (public domain).
Presidential results: PollCheck calculation from MIT Election Data and Science Lab 2024 precinct returns (doi:10.7910/DVN/XDJYKC, doi:10.7910/DVN/USBYR4, CC0; state totals doi:10.7910/DVN/42MVDX, CC0) and Voting and Election Science Team 2016 and 2020 precinct results and shapes (doi:10.7910/DVN/NH5S2I, doi:10.7910/DVN/K7760H, CC BY 4.0), with US Census Bureau 2020 block populations and block equivalency files (public domain). Official figures: Texas Legislative Council (2024 on the 2026 lines); Louisiana, New Jersey, California and Washington election offices (county totals). Certified results transcribed by Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): Maine 2024 by district: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine (revision 1382530995); Indiana county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana (revision 1382505975); Oregon county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon (revision 1382605746).
District lines: US Census Bureau TIGER/Line 2026 (120th Congress) and 2025 cartographic boundary files (119th Congress), public domain.
Members: unitedstates/congress-legislators (CC0).
Counties: US Census Bureau 2024 cartographic boundary file (public domain); 2024 county results summed from the same MEDSL precinct returns, with the official county totals above.
Demographics: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024; 2020 Census P.L. 94-171 (public domain).
2028 candidates: Federal Election Commission (public domain).
Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits