Fundraising
- Lindsay James Das of Oct 14, 2026Raised $3.9mSpent $3.7m · Cash $266k
- Joe Mitchell Ras of Oct 14, 2026Raised $2.9mSpent $2.4m · Cash $546k
- Dave Bushaw Ias of Oct 14, 2026Raised $38kSpent $27k · Cash $11k
7 other 2026 candidates filed reports (primary candidates). 2 other candidates have not filed.
Federal Election Commission, candidate totals, public domain.
President in this district
PollCheck calculation from precinct returns on the 2026 lines (method).
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Other | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris 44.3% | Trump 54.3% | 1.4% | R+10.0 |
| 2020 | Biden 46.8% | Trump 51.2% | 2.0% | R+4.4 |
| 2016 | Clinton 44.1% | Trump 48.7% | 7.2% | R+4.6 |
Who lives here
| Measure | This district | US |
|---|---|---|
| People | ||
| Population | 795,370 | |
| Adults (18+) | 618,201 | |
| Citizens, % of adults | 97.5% | 92.1% |
| Age, % of adults | ||
| 18 to 29 | 20.2% | 20.3% |
| 30 to 44 | 23.4% | 25.9% |
| 45 to 64 | 31.2% | 31.8% |
| 65 and over | 25.2% | 22.0% |
| Race and Hispanic origin, % of residents | ||
| White | 86.1% | 57.4% |
| Black | 3.9% | 11.9% |
| Hispanic | 4.1% | 19.3% |
| Asian | 1.6% | 5.9% |
| Other or more than one | 4.2% | 5.5% |
| Education and income | ||
| Bachelor's degree or higher, % of 25+ | 29.2% | 35.7% |
| Median household income | $73,764 | $80,734 |
American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates for this district. The tick marks the US figure.
Winning margin
Results since 1976
| Year | Winner | Share | Runner-up | Share | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current lines (2022 on) post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2024 | Ashley Hinson Republican | 57.1% | Sarah Corkery Democrat others 1.4% | 41.5% | R+15.6 |
| 2022 | Ashley Hinson Republican | 54.1% | Liz Mathis Democrat others 0.1% | 45.8% | R+8.2 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2012-2020 seat count changed from 5 to 4 after the census | |||||
| 2020 | Mariannette Miller-Meeks Republican | 49.9% | Rita R. Hart Democrat others 0.2% | 49.9% | R+0.0 |
| 2018 | David Loebsack Democrat | 54.8% | Christopher Peters Republican others 2.6% | 42.6% | D+12.2 |
| 2016 | David Loebsack Democrat | 53.7% | Christopher Peters Republican others 0.1% | 46.2% | D+7.5 |
| 2014 | David Loebsack Democrat | 52.5% | Mariannette Miller-Meeks Republican others 0.2% | 47.4% | D+5.1 |
| 2012 | David Loebsack Democrat | 55.6% | John Archer Republican others 2.0% | 42.5% | D+13.1 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2002-2010 post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2010 | David Loebsack Democrat | 51.0% | Mariannette Miller-Meeks Republican others 3.1% | 45.9% | D+5.1 |
| 2008 | David Loebsack Democrat | 57.2% | Mariannette Miller-Meeks Republican others 4.0% | 38.8% | D+18.4 |
| 2006 | Dave Loebsack Democrat | 51.4% | James A. Leach Republican | 48.6% | D+2.9 |
| 2004 | James A. Leach Republican | 58.9% | Dave Franker Democrat others 1.9% | 39.1% | R+19.8 |
| 2002 | James A. Leach Republican | 52.2% | Julie Thomas Democrat others 2.1% | 45.7% | R+6.5 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1992-2000 seat count changed from 6 to 5 after the census | |||||
| 2000 | Jim Nussle Republican | 55.4% | Donna L. Smith Democrat others 0.9% | 43.7% | R+11.7 |
| 1998 | Jim Nussle Republican | 55.2% | Rob Tully Democrat others 0.8% | 44.0% | R+11.2 |
| 1996 | Jim Nussle Republican | 53.4% | Donna L. Smith Democrat others 0.7% | 45.9% | R+7.6 |
| 1994 | Jim Nussle Republican | 56.0% | Dave Nagle Democrat others 0.7% | 43.4% | R+12.6 |
| 1992 | Jim Nussle Republican | 50.2% | David R. Nagle Democrat others 0.7% | 49.1% | R+1.1 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1982-1990 post-census redistricting | |||||
| 1990 | Jim Nussle Republican | 49.8% | Eric Tabor Democrat others 1.5% | 48.8% | R+1.0 |
| 1988 | Thomas J. Tauke Republican | 56.8% | Eric Tabor Democrat | 43.2% | R+13.6 |
| 1986 | Tom Tauke Republican | 61.3% | Eric Tabor Democrat | 38.6% | R+22.7 |
| 1984 | Tom Tauke Republican | 63.9% | Joe Welsh Democrat | 36.1% | R+27.8 |
| 1982 | Tom Tauke Republican | 58.9% | Brent Appel Democrat | 41.1% | R+17.7 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1976-1980 | |||||
| 1980 | Tom Tauke Republican | 54.0% | Steve Sovern Democrat others 0.9% | 45.1% | R+8.9 |
| 1978 | Thomas J. Tauke Republican | 52.3% | Michael T. Blouin Democrat others 0.6% | 47.1% | R+5.2 |
| 1976 | Michael T. Blouin Democrat | 50.3% | Tom Riley Republican others 0.6% | 49.1% | D+1.3 |
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About these results
Shares count all candidate votes, including write-ins, with a candidate's votes on several party lines added together. Each result is on the lines in force at the time. Mid-decade redraws before 2016 may be unmarked.
President in this district: 2016 and 2020 are estimates: precinct votes are split between districts by census block.
Counties only partly inside the district show the 2024 result for that part; estimates are labelled.
Margin chart: winner minus runner-up. Gaps are unopposed races; dashed lines are new district lines.
Sources
Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2016 (doi:10.7910/DVN/IG0UN2, CC0; via MEDSL/constituency-returns), and Clerk of the US House, Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election 2018-2024 (public domain).
Presidential results: PollCheck calculation from MIT Election Data and Science Lab 2024 precinct returns (doi:10.7910/DVN/XDJYKC, doi:10.7910/DVN/USBYR4, CC0; state totals doi:10.7910/DVN/42MVDX, CC0) and Voting and Election Science Team 2016 and 2020 precinct results and shapes (doi:10.7910/DVN/NH5S2I, doi:10.7910/DVN/K7760H, CC BY 4.0), with US Census Bureau 2020 block populations and block equivalency files (public domain). Official figures: Texas Legislative Council (2024 on the 2026 lines); Louisiana, New Jersey, California and Washington election offices (county totals). Certified results transcribed by Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): Maine 2024 by district: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine (revision 1382530995); Indiana county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana (revision 1382505975); Oregon county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon (revision 1382605746).
District lines: US Census Bureau TIGER/Line 2026 (120th Congress) and 2025 cartographic boundary files (119th Congress), public domain.
Members: unitedstates/congress-legislators (CC0).
Counties: US Census Bureau 2024 cartographic boundary file (public domain); 2024 county results summed from the same MEDSL precinct returns, with the official county totals above.
Demographics: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 (public domain).
2028 candidates: Federal Election Commission (public domain).
Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits