House districts / Texas


Texas's 15th congressional district

TX-15. Redrawn for 2026: the November 2026 election is on new lines. The outline shows the 2024 district with the same number.

Monica De La Cruz
Current member, elected on the 2024 lines
Monica De La Cruz
Republican. In office since 2023.
2026 lines2024 lines

Fundraising

1 other 2026 candidate filed reports (primary candidate). 1 other candidate has not filed.

Federal Election Commission, candidate totals, public domain.

President in this district

PollCheck calculation from precinct returns on the 2026 lines (method).

YearDemocratRepublicanOtherMargin2024 lines
2024Harris 40.6%Trump 58.5%0.9%R+17.9R+17.8
2020Biden 48.3%Trump 50.7%1.0%R+2.4R+2.9
2016Clinton 55.0%Trump 41.4%3.6%D+13.6D+13.2

Who lives here

MeasureThis districtUS
People
Population
766,987
Adults (18+)
548,298
Citizens, % of adults*
82.5%
92.1%
Age, % of adults
18 to 29*
25.1%
20.3%
30 to 44*
27.3%
25.9%
45 to 64*
29.3%
31.8%
65 and over*
18.3%
22.0%
Race and Hispanic origin, % of residents
White
15.3%
57.8%
Black
1.3%
12.1%
Hispanic
81.2%
18.7%
Asian
1.0%
5.9%
Other or more than one
1.2%
5.5%
Education and income
Bachelor's degree or higher, % of 25+*
19.4%
35.7%
Median household income*
$57,657
$80,734

* Estimated for the 2026 lines from census blocks (ACS 2020-2024). Population, adults and race: 2020 Census, counted on the 2026 lines. The tick marks the US figure.

Winning margin

Results since 1976

YearWinnerShare Runner-upShareMargin
2024 lines, elections 2022-2024: redrawn for 2026 seat count changed from 36 to 38 after the census
2024Monica De La Cruz Republican57.1%Michelle Vallejo Democrat42.9%R+14.2
2022Monica De La Cruz Republican53.3%Michelle Vallejo Democrat others 1.9%44.8%R+8.5
Earlier lines, elections 2012-2020 seat count changed from 32 to 36 after the census
2020Vicente Gonzalez Democrat50.5%Monica De La Cruz-Hernandez Republican others 1.9%47.6%D+2.9
2018Vicente Gonzalez Democrat59.7%Tim Westley Republican others 1.6%38.8%D+20.9
2016Vicente Gonzalez Democrat57.3%Tim Westley Republican others 5.0%37.7%D+19.6
2014Ruben Hinojosa Democrat54.0%Eddie Zamora Republican others 2.7%43.3%D+10.8
2012Ruben Hinojosa Democrat60.9%Dale A. Brueggemann Republican others 2.3%36.9%D+24.0
Earlier lines, elections 2006-2010 LULAC v. Perry (2006): court-drawn lines for five districts
2010Ruben Hinojosa Democrat55.7%Eddie Zamora Republican others 2.7%41.6%D+14.1
2008Ruben Hinojosa Democrat65.7%Eddie Zamora Republican others 2.3%31.9%D+33.8
2006 SpecialRuben Hinojosa Democrat61.8%Paul B. Haring Republican others 14.5%23.7%D+38.1
Earlier lines, elections 2004 Texas Legislature's 2003 mid-decade map
2004Ruben Hinojosa Democrat57.8%Michael D. Thamm Republican others 1.4%40.8%D+16.9
Earlier lines, elections 2002 seat count changed from 30 to 32 after the census
2002Ruben Hinojosa Democrat100.0%D+100.0
Earlier lines, elections 1996-2000 Bush v. Vera (1996): 13 districts redrawn by the court, with special elections that November
2000Ruben Hinojosa Democrat88.5%Frank Jones Libertarian others 0.6%10.9%D+77.5
1998Ruben Hinojosa Democrat58.4%Tom Haughey Republican41.6%D+16.7
1996Ruben Hinojosa Democrat62.3%Tom Haughey Republican others 1.0%36.7%D+25.6
Earlier lines, elections 1992-1994 seat count changed from 27 to 30 after the census
1994E de la Garza Democrat59.0%Tom Haughey Republican others 1.6%39.4%D+19.6
1992E de la Garza Democrat60.4%Tom Haughey Republican39.6%D+20.9
Earlier lines, elections 1982-1990 seat count changed from 24 to 27 after the census
1990E de la Garza Democrat100.0%D+100.0
1988E (Kika) de la Garza Democrat93.9%Gloria Joyce Hendrix Libertarian6.1%D+87.7
1986E (Kika) de la Garza Democrat100.0%D+100.0
1984E. (Kika) de la Garza Democrat100.0%D+100.0
1982E. (Kika) de la Garza Democrat95.7%Frank L. Jones III Libertarian4.3%D+91.4
Earlier lines, elections 1976-1980
1980E. "Kika" de la Garza Democrat70.0%Lendy McDonald Republican30.0%D+40.0
1978E de la Garza Democrat66.2%Robert Lendol McDonald Republican33.8%D+32.4
1976E (Kika) de la Garza Democrat74.4%R. L. (Lendy) McDonald Republican25.6%D+48.7

More on Texas

Other Texas districts

About these results

Shares count all candidate votes, including write-ins, with a candidate's votes on several party lines added together. Each result is on the lines in force at the time. Mid-decade redraws before 2016 may be unmarked.

President in this district: 2024 on the new lines is the official figure published by the state. 2016 and 2020 are estimates: precinct votes are split between districts by census block. The last column is the margin in TX-15 on the 2024 lines.

Counties only partly inside the district show the 2024 result for that part; estimates are labelled.

Margin chart: winner minus runner-up. Gaps are unopposed races; dashed lines are new district lines.

Who lives here (2026 lines) is estimated from Census survey figures split by population.

Sources

Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2016 (doi:10.7910/DVN/IG0UN2, CC0; via MEDSL/constituency-returns), and Clerk of the US House, Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election 2018-2024 (public domain).

Presidential results: PollCheck calculation from MIT Election Data and Science Lab 2024 precinct returns (doi:10.7910/DVN/XDJYKC, doi:10.7910/DVN/USBYR4, CC0; state totals doi:10.7910/DVN/42MVDX, CC0) and Voting and Election Science Team 2016 and 2020 precinct results and shapes (doi:10.7910/DVN/NH5S2I, doi:10.7910/DVN/K7760H, CC BY 4.0), with US Census Bureau 2020 block populations and block equivalency files (public domain). Official figures: Texas Legislative Council (2024 on the 2026 lines); Louisiana, New Jersey, California and Washington election offices (county totals). Certified results transcribed by Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): Maine 2024 by district: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine (revision 1382530995); Indiana county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana (revision 1382505975); Oregon county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon (revision 1382605746).

District lines: US Census Bureau TIGER/Line 2026 (120th Congress) and 2025 cartographic boundary files (119th Congress), public domain.

Members: unitedstates/congress-legislators (CC0).

Counties: US Census Bureau 2024 cartographic boundary file (public domain); 2024 county results summed from the same MEDSL precinct returns, with the official county totals above.

Demographics: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024; 2020 Census P.L. 94-171 (public domain).

2028 candidates: Federal Election Commission (public domain).

Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.

PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits