Fundraising
- Eli Crane Ras of Oct 14, 2026Raised $11.9mSpent $10.9m · Cash $1.3m
- Jonathan Michael Nez Das of Oct 14, 2026Raised $5.8mSpent $5.4m · Cash $506k
1 other 2026 candidate filed reports (primary candidate).
Federal Election Commission, candidate totals, public domain.
President in this district
PollCheck calculation from precinct returns on the 2026 lines (method).
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Other | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris 42.0% | Trump 56.8% | 1.2% | R+14.8 |
| 2020 | Biden 45.3% | Trump 53.2% | 1.5% | R+7.9 |
| 2016 | Clinton 41.1% | Trump 51.2% | 7.7% | R+10.2 |
Who lives here
| Measure | This district | US |
|---|---|---|
| People | ||
| Population | 826,257 | |
| Adults (18+) | 657,694 | |
| Citizens, % of adults | 96.5% | 92.1% |
| Age, % of adults | ||
| 18 to 29 | 19.1% | 20.3% |
| 30 to 44 | 21.9% | 25.9% |
| 45 to 64 | 29.7% | 31.8% |
| 65 and over | 29.3% | 22.0% |
| Race and Hispanic origin, % of residents | ||
| White | 54.6% | 57.4% |
| Black | 2.3% | 11.9% |
| Hispanic | 18.2% | 19.3% |
| Asian | 1.2% | 5.9% |
| Other or more than one | 23.6% | 5.5% |
| Education and income | ||
| Bachelor's degree or higher, % of 25+ | 26.2% | 35.7% |
| Median household income | $67,729 | $80,734 |
American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates for this district. The tick marks the US figure.
Winning margin
Results since 1976
| Year | Winner | Share | Runner-up | Share | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current lines (2022 on) post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2024 | Elijah Crane Republican | 54.5% | Jonathan Nez Democrat | 45.5% | R+9.0 |
| 2022 | Eli Crane Republican | 53.9% | Tom O’Halleran Democrat | 46.1% | R+7.7 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2012-2020 seat count changed from 8 to 9 after the census | |||||
| 2020 | Ann Kirkpatrick Democrat | 55.1% | Brandon Martin Republican | 44.9% | D+10.2 |
| 2018 | Ann Kirkpatrick Democrat | 54.7% | Lea Marquez Peterson Republican | 45.2% | D+9.5 |
| 2016 | Martha McSally Republican | 57.0% | Matt Heinz Democrat | 43.0% | R+13.9 |
| 2014 | Martha McSally Republican | 50.0% | Ron Barber Democrat others 0.1% | 49.9% | R+0.1 |
| 2012 | Ron Barber Democrat | 50.4% | Martha McSally Republican | 49.6% | D+0.8 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2002-2010 seat count changed from 6 to 8 after the census | |||||
| 2010 | Trent Franks Republican | 64.9% | John Thrasher Democrat others 4.0% | 31.1% | R+33.8 |
| 2008 | Trent Franks Republican | 59.4% | John Thrasher Democrat others 3.4% | 37.2% | R+22.3 |
| 2006 | Trent Franks Republican | 58.6% | John Thrasher Democrat others 2.5% | 38.9% | R+19.7 |
| 2004 | Trent Franks Republican | 59.2% | Randy Camacho Democrat others 2.4% | 38.5% | R+20.7 |
| 2002 | Trent Franks Republican | 59.9% | Randy Comacho Democrat others 3.5% | 36.5% | R+23.4 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1992-2000 seat count changed from 5 to 6 after the census | |||||
| 2000 | Ed Pastor Democrat | 68.5% | Bill Barenholtz Republican others 4.5% | 26.9% | D+41.6 |
| 1998 | Ed Pastor Democrat | 67.8% | Ed Barron Republican others 4.2% | 28.0% | D+39.8 |
| 1996 | Ed Pastor Democrat | 65.0% | Jim Buster Republican others 4.2% | 30.8% | D+34.2 |
| 1994 | Ed Pastor Democrat | 62.3% | Robert MacDonald Republican others 5.0% | 32.6% | D+29.7 |
| 1992 | Ed Pastor Democrat | 66.0% | Don Shooter Republican others 4.0% | 30.0% | D+36.0 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1982-1990 seat count changed from 4 to 5 after the census | |||||
| 1990 | Morris K. Udall Democrat | 65.9% | Joseph Sweeney Republican | 34.1% | D+31.8 |
| 1988 | Morris K. Udall Democrat | 73.3% | Joseph D. Sweeney Republican | 26.7% | D+46.7 |
| 1986 | Morris K. Udall Democrat | 73.3% | Sheldon Clark Republican others 3.5% | 23.3% | D+50.0 |
| 1984 | Morris K. Udall Democrat | 87.7% | Lorenzo Torrez People before profits | 12.3% | D+75.5 |
| 1982 | Morris K. Udall Democrat | 70.9% | Roy B. Laos Republican others 1.7% | 27.4% | D+43.5 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1976-1980 | |||||
| 1980 | Morris K. Udall Democrat | 58.1% | Richard H. Huff Republican others 1.5% | 40.4% | D+17.8 |
| 1978 | Morris K. Udall Democrat | 52.5% | Tom Richey Republican others 2.0% | 45.4% | D+7.1 |
| 1976 | Morris K. Udall Democrat | 58.2% | Laird Guttersen Republican others 2.4% | 39.4% | D+18.8 |
More on Arizona
Other Arizona districts
About these results
Shares count all candidate votes, including write-ins, with a candidate's votes on several party lines added together. Each result is on the lines in force at the time. Mid-decade redraws before 2016 may be unmarked.
President in this district: 2016 and 2020 are estimates: precinct votes are split between districts by census block.
Counties only partly inside the district show the 2024 result for that part; estimates are labelled.
Margin chart: winner minus runner-up. Gaps are unopposed races; dashed lines are new district lines.
Sources
Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2016 (doi:10.7910/DVN/IG0UN2, CC0; via MEDSL/constituency-returns), and Clerk of the US House, Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election 2018-2024 (public domain).
Presidential results: PollCheck calculation from MIT Election Data and Science Lab 2024 precinct returns (doi:10.7910/DVN/XDJYKC, doi:10.7910/DVN/USBYR4, CC0; state totals doi:10.7910/DVN/42MVDX, CC0) and Voting and Election Science Team 2016 and 2020 precinct results and shapes (doi:10.7910/DVN/NH5S2I, doi:10.7910/DVN/K7760H, CC BY 4.0), with US Census Bureau 2020 block populations and block equivalency files (public domain). Official figures: Texas Legislative Council (2024 on the 2026 lines); Louisiana, New Jersey, California and Washington election offices (county totals). Certified results transcribed by Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): Maine 2024 by district: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine (revision 1382530995); Indiana county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana (revision 1382505975); Oregon county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon (revision 1382605746).
District lines: US Census Bureau TIGER/Line 2026 (120th Congress) and 2025 cartographic boundary files (119th Congress), public domain.
Members: unitedstates/congress-legislators (CC0).
Counties: US Census Bureau 2024 cartographic boundary file (public domain); 2024 county results summed from the same MEDSL precinct returns, with the official county totals above.
Demographics: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 (public domain).
2028 candidates: Federal Election Commission (public domain).
Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits