Fundraising
- Greg Stanton Das of Oct 14, 2026Raised $2.7mSpent $1.8m · Cash $1.9m
- M. Zuhdi Jasser Ras of Oct 14, 2026Raised $744kSpent $655k · Cash $90k
4 other 2026 candidates filed reports (primary candidates). 3 other candidates have not filed.
Federal Election Commission, candidate totals, public domain.
President in this district
PollCheck calculation from precinct returns on the 2026 lines (method).
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Other | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris 52.4% | Trump 45.8% | 1.9% | D+6.6 |
| 2020 | Biden 54.2% | Trump 43.9% | 2.0% | D+10.3 |
| 2016 | Clinton 46.5% | Trump 44.0% | 9.4% | D+2.5 |
Who lives here
| Measure | This district | US |
|---|---|---|
| People | ||
| Population | 804,739 | |
| Adults (18+) | 644,816 | |
| Citizens, % of adults | 91.2% | 92.1% |
| Age, % of adults | ||
| 18 to 29 | 26.7% | 20.3% |
| 30 to 44 | 26.6% | 25.9% |
| 45 to 64 | 27.6% | 31.8% |
| 65 and over | 19.2% | 22.0% |
| Race and Hispanic origin, % of residents | ||
| White | 55.2% | 57.4% |
| Black | 5.0% | 11.9% |
| Hispanic | 26.5% | 19.3% |
| Asian | 5.6% | 5.9% |
| Other or more than one | 7.6% | 5.5% |
| Education and income | ||
| Bachelor's degree or higher, % of 25+ | 39.2% | 35.7% |
| Median household income | $82,587 | $80,734 |
American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates for this district. The tick marks the US figure.
Winning margin
Results since 1976
| Year | Winner | Share | Runner-up | Share | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current lines (2022 on) post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2024 | Greg Stanton Democrat | 52.7% | Kelly Cooper Republican others 1.8% | 45.5% | D+7.3 |
| 2022 | Greg Stanton Democrat | 56.1% | Kelly Cooper Republican | 43.9% | D+12.2 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2012-2020 seat count changed from 8 to 9 after the census | |||||
| 2020 | Paul A. Gosar Republican | 69.7% | Delina DiSanto Democrat | 30.2% | R+39.5 |
| 2018 | Paul A. Gosar Republican | 68.2% | David Brill Democrat others 1.3% | 30.5% | R+37.7 |
| 2016 | Paul A. Gosar Republican | 71.5% | Mikel Weisser Democrat | 28.6% | R+42.9 |
| 2014 | Paul A. Gosar Republican | 70.0% | Mike Weisser Democrat others 4.2% | 25.8% | R+44.2 |
| 2012 | Paul A. Gosar Republican | 66.8% | Johnnie Robinson Democrat others 4.8% | 28.4% | R+38.5 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2002-2010 seat count changed from 6 to 8 after the census | |||||
| 2010 | Ed Pastor Democrat | 66.9% | Janet Contreras Republican others 5.5% | 27.5% | D+39.4 |
| 2008 | Ed Pastor Democrat | 72.1% | Don Karg Republican others 6.7% | 21.2% | D+50.9 |
| 2006 | Ed Pastor Democrat | 72.5% | Don Karg Republican others 3.6% | 23.9% | D+48.6 |
| 2004 | Ed Pastor Democrat | 70.1% | Don Karg Republican others 4.2% | 25.7% | D+44.5 |
| 2002 | Ed Pastor Democrat | 67.4% | Jonathan Barnert Republican others 4.8% | 27.8% | D+39.6 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1992-2000 seat count changed from 5 to 6 after the census | |||||
| 2000 | John B. Shadegg Republican | 64.0% | Ben Jankowski Democrat others 3.3% | 32.7% | R+31.2 |
| 1998 | John B. Shadegg Republican | 64.7% | Eric Ehst Democrat others 4.1% | 31.2% | R+33.5 |
| 1996 | John B. Shadegg Republican | 66.8% | Maria Elena Milton Democrat | 33.2% | R+33.6 |
| 1994 | John B. Shadegg Republican | 60.2% | Carol Cure Democrat others 3.8% | 36.0% | R+24.2 |
| 1992 | John Kyl Republican | 59.2% | Walter R. Mybeck II Democrat others 14.1% | 26.7% | R+32.5 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1982-1990 seat count changed from 4 to 5 after the census | |||||
| 1990 | Jon L. Kyl Republican | 61.3% | Mark Ivey Jr. Democrat | 38.7% | R+22.7 |
| 1988 | Jon Kyl Republican | 87.1% | Gary Sprunk Libertarian | 12.9% | R+74.3 |
| 1986 | Jon Kyl Republican | 64.6% | Philip R. Davis Democrat | 35.4% | R+29.2 |
| 1984 | Eldon Rudd Republican | 100.0% | R+99.9 | ||
| 1982 | Eldon Rudd Republican | 65.7% | Wayne O. Earley Democrat others 3.9% | 30.4% | R+35.4 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1976-1980 | |||||
| 1980 | Eldon Rudd Republican | 62.6% | Les Miller Democrat | 37.4% | R+25.3 |
| 1978 | Eldon Rudd Republican | 63.1% | Michael McCormick Democrat others 3.1% | 33.8% | R+29.3 |
| 1976 | Eldon Rudd Republican | 48.6% | Tony Mason Democrat others 3.1% | 48.2% | R+0.4 |
More on Arizona
Other Arizona districts
About these results
Shares count all candidate votes, including write-ins, with a candidate's votes on several party lines added together. Each result is on the lines in force at the time. Mid-decade redraws before 2016 may be unmarked.
President in this district: 2016 and 2020 are estimates: precinct votes are split between districts by census block.
Counties only partly inside the district show the 2024 result for that part; estimates are labelled.
Margin chart: winner minus runner-up. Gaps are unopposed races; dashed lines are new district lines.
Sources
Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2016 (doi:10.7910/DVN/IG0UN2, CC0; via MEDSL/constituency-returns), and Clerk of the US House, Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election 2018-2024 (public domain).
Presidential results: PollCheck calculation from MIT Election Data and Science Lab 2024 precinct returns (doi:10.7910/DVN/XDJYKC, doi:10.7910/DVN/USBYR4, CC0; state totals doi:10.7910/DVN/42MVDX, CC0) and Voting and Election Science Team 2016 and 2020 precinct results and shapes (doi:10.7910/DVN/NH5S2I, doi:10.7910/DVN/K7760H, CC BY 4.0), with US Census Bureau 2020 block populations and block equivalency files (public domain). Official figures: Texas Legislative Council (2024 on the 2026 lines); Louisiana, New Jersey, California and Washington election offices (county totals). Certified results transcribed by Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): Maine 2024 by district: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine (revision 1382530995); Indiana county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana (revision 1382505975); Oregon county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon (revision 1382605746).
District lines: US Census Bureau TIGER/Line 2026 (120th Congress) and 2025 cartographic boundary files (119th Congress), public domain.
Members: unitedstates/congress-legislators (CC0).
Counties: US Census Bureau 2024 cartographic boundary file (public domain); 2024 county results summed from the same MEDSL precinct returns, with the official county totals above.
Demographics: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 (public domain).
2028 candidates: Federal Election Commission (public domain).
Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits