Fundraising
- Yassamin Ansari Das of Oct 14, 2026Raised $1.7mSpent $1.3m · Cash $411k
- Alan Aversa AIPas of Oct 14, 2026Raised $774Spent $991 · Cash $256
- David Wayne Redkey GREas of Oct 14, 2026Raised $0Spent $0 · Cash $0
2 other candidates have not filed.
Federal Election Commission, candidate totals, public domain.
President in this district
PollCheck calculation from precinct returns on the 2026 lines (method).
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Other | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris 68.9% | Trump 29.3% | 1.8% | D+39.6 |
| 2020 | Biden 74.5% | Trump 23.9% | 1.6% | D+50.6 |
| 2016 | Clinton 71.4% | Trump 21.4% | 7.2% | D+50.0 |
Who lives here
| Measure | This district | US |
|---|---|---|
| People | ||
| Population | 815,927 | |
| Adults (18+) | 597,335 | |
| Citizens, % of adults | 78.5% | 92.1% |
| Age, % of adults | ||
| 18 to 29 | 28.6% | 20.3% |
| 30 to 44 | 30.9% | 25.9% |
| 45 to 64 | 28.6% | 31.8% |
| 65 and over | 11.8% | 22.0% |
| Race and Hispanic origin, % of residents | ||
| White | 19.1% | 57.4% |
| Black | 10.3% | 11.9% |
| Hispanic | 63.2% | 19.3% |
| Asian | 2.3% | 5.9% |
| Other or more than one | 5.1% | 5.5% |
| Education and income | ||
| Bachelor's degree or higher, % of 25+ | 20.4% | 35.7% |
| Median household income | $68,202 | $80,734 |
American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates for this district. The tick marks the US figure.
Winning margin
Results since 1976
| Year | Winner | Share | Runner-up | Share | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current lines (2022 on) post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2024 | Yassamin Ansari Democrat | 70.9% | Jeff Zink Republican others 2.5% | 26.6% | D+44.4 |
| 2022 | Ruben Gallego Democrat | 77.0% | Jeff Zink Republican | 23.0% | D+54.0 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2012-2020 seat count changed from 8 to 9 after the census | |||||
| 2020 | Raúl M. Grijalva Democrat | 64.6% | Daniel Wood Republican | 35.4% | D+29.1 |
| 2018 | Raúl M. Grijalva Democrat | 63.9% | Nicolas “Nick” Pierson Republican | 36.1% | D+27.7 |
| 2016 | Raul M. Grijalva Democrat | 98.6% | Jaime Vasquez Republican others 1.1% | 0.2% | D+98.4 |
| 2014 | Raul M. Grijalva Democrat | 55.7% | Gabby Saucedo Republican others 0.1% | 44.2% | D+11.5 |
| 2012 | Raul M. Grijalva Democrat | 58.4% | Gabriela Saucedo Mercer Republican others 4.5% | 37.1% | D+21.2 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2002-2010 seat count changed from 6 to 8 after the census | |||||
| 2010 | Ben Quayle Republican | 52.2% | Jon Hulburd Democrat others 6.6% | 41.1% | R+11.1 |
| 2008 | John B. Shadegg Republican | 54.1% | Bob Lord Democrat others 3.9% | 42.1% | R+12.0 |
| 2006 | John B. Shadegg Republican | 59.3% | Herb Paine Democrat others 2.5% | 38.2% | R+21.0 |
| 2004 | John B. Shadegg Republican | 80.1% | Mark Yannone Libertarian | 19.9% | R+60.2 |
| 2002 | John B. Shadegg Republican | 67.3% | Charles Hill Democrat others 2.4% | 30.3% | R+37.0 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1992-2000 seat count changed from 5 to 6 after the census | |||||
| 2000 | Bob Stump Republican | 65.7% | Gene Scharer Democrat others 3.0% | 31.4% | R+34.3 |
| 1998 | Bob Stump Republican | 67.2% | Stuart Marc Starky Democrat | 32.7% | R+34.5 |
| 1996 | Bob Stump Republican | 66.5% | Alexander "Big Al" Schneider Democrat | 33.5% | R+33.0 |
| 1994 | Bob Stump Republican | 70.1% | Howard Lee Sprague Democrat | 29.9% | R+40.3 |
| 1992 | Bob Stump Republican | 61.5% | Roger Hartstone Democrat others 4.2% | 34.4% | R+27.1 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1982-1990 seat count changed from 4 to 5 after the census | |||||
| 1990 | Bob Stump Republican | 56.6% | Roger Hartstone Democrat | 43.4% | R+13.2 |
| 1988 | Bob Stump Republican | 68.9% | Dave Moss Democrat others 2.5% | 28.6% | R+40.3 |
| 1986 | Bob Stump Republican | 100.0% | R+100.0 | ||
| 1984 | Bob Stump Republican | 71.8% | Bob Schuster Democrat others 1.8% | 26.4% | R+45.3 |
| 1982 | Bob Stump Republican | 63.3% | Pat Bosch Democrat | 36.7% | R+26.6 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1976-1980 | |||||
| 1980 | Bob Stump Democrat | 64.3% | Bob Croft Republican others 5.7% | 29.9% | D+34.4 |
| 1978 | Bob Stump Democrat | 85.0% | Kathleen Cooke Libertarian | 15.1% | D+69.9 |
| 1976 | Bob Stump Democrat | 47.5% | Fred Koory, Jr. Republican others 10.2% | 42.3% | D+5.2 |
More on Arizona
Other Arizona districts
About these results
Shares count all candidate votes, including write-ins, with a candidate's votes on several party lines added together. Each result is on the lines in force at the time. Mid-decade redraws before 2016 may be unmarked.
President in this district: 2016 and 2020 are estimates: precinct votes are split between districts by census block.
Counties only partly inside the district show the 2024 result for that part; estimates are labelled.
Margin chart: winner minus runner-up. Gaps are unopposed races; dashed lines are new district lines.
Sources
Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2016 (doi:10.7910/DVN/IG0UN2, CC0; via MEDSL/constituency-returns), and Clerk of the US House, Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election 2018-2024 (public domain).
Presidential results: PollCheck calculation from MIT Election Data and Science Lab 2024 precinct returns (doi:10.7910/DVN/XDJYKC, doi:10.7910/DVN/USBYR4, CC0; state totals doi:10.7910/DVN/42MVDX, CC0) and Voting and Election Science Team 2016 and 2020 precinct results and shapes (doi:10.7910/DVN/NH5S2I, doi:10.7910/DVN/K7760H, CC BY 4.0), with US Census Bureau 2020 block populations and block equivalency files (public domain). Official figures: Texas Legislative Council (2024 on the 2026 lines); Louisiana, New Jersey, California and Washington election offices (county totals). Certified results transcribed by Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): Maine 2024 by district: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine (revision 1382530995); Indiana county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana (revision 1382505975); Oregon county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon (revision 1382605746).
District lines: US Census Bureau TIGER/Line 2026 (120th Congress) and 2025 cartographic boundary files (119th Congress), public domain.
Members: unitedstates/congress-legislators (CC0).
Counties: US Census Bureau 2024 cartographic boundary file (public domain); 2024 county results summed from the same MEDSL precinct returns, with the official county totals above.
Demographics: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 (public domain).
2028 candidates: Federal Election Commission (public domain).
Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits