Fundraising
- Paul Gosar Ras of Oct 14, 2026Raised $814kSpent $655k · Cash $250k
- Danielle Sterbinsky Das of Oct 14, 2026Raised $462kSpent $432k · Cash $34k
1 other 2026 candidate filed reports (primary candidate). 6 other candidates have not filed.
Federal Election Commission, candidate totals, public domain.
President in this district
PollCheck calculation from precinct returns on the 2026 lines (method).
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Other | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris 34.0% | Trump 65.0% | 1.1% | R+31.0 |
| 2020 | Biden 36.4% | Trump 62.2% | 1.4% | R+25.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton 32.3% | Trump 61.4% | 6.3% | R+29.1 |
Who lives here
| Measure | This district | US |
|---|---|---|
| People | ||
| Population | 863,227 | |
| Adults (18+) | 670,133 | |
| Citizens, % of adults | 94.5% | 92.1% |
| Age, % of adults | ||
| 18 to 29 | 17.5% | 20.3% |
| 30 to 44 | 24.4% | 25.9% |
| 45 to 64 | 30.8% | 31.8% |
| 65 and over | 27.3% | 22.0% |
| Race and Hispanic origin, % of residents | ||
| White | 56.2% | 57.4% |
| Black | 4.2% | 11.9% |
| Hispanic | 31.2% | 19.3% |
| Asian | 2.1% | 5.9% |
| Other or more than one | 6.3% | 5.5% |
| Education and income | ||
| Bachelor's degree or higher, % of 25+ | 22.9% | 35.7% |
| Median household income | $78,678 | $80,734 |
American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates for this district. The tick marks the US figure.
Winning margin
Results since 1976
| Year | Winner | Share | Runner-up | Share | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current lines (2022 on) post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2024 | Paul A. Gosar Republican | 65.3% | Quacy Smith Democrat | 34.7% | R+30.6 |
| 2022 | Paul Gosar Republican | 97.8% | Richard Grayson Write-in (Democratic) others 0.4% | 1.8% | R+96.0 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2012-2020 seat count changed from 8 to 9 after the census | |||||
| 2020 | Greg Stanton Democrat | 61.6% | Dave Giles Republican | 38.4% | D+23.3 |
| 2018 | Greg Stanton Democrat | 61.1% | Stephen L. Ferrara Republican | 38.9% | D+22.2 |
| 2016 | Kyrsten Sinema Democrat | 60.9% | Dave Giles Republican | 39.0% | D+21.9 |
| 2014 | Kyrsten Sinema Democrat | 54.7% | Wendy Rogers Republican others 3.5% | 41.9% | D+12.8 |
| 2012 | Kyrsten Sinema Democrat | 48.7% | Vernon B. Parker Republican others 6.6% | 44.6% | D+4.1 |
| AZ-9 did not exist before 2012: Arizona had 4 districts in 1976-1980, 5 in 1982-1990, 6 in 1992-2000 and 8 in 2002-2010. | |||||
More on Arizona
Other Arizona districts
About these results
Shares count all candidate votes, including write-ins, with a candidate's votes on several party lines added together. Each result is on the lines in force at the time. Mid-decade redraws before 2016 may be unmarked.
President in this district: 2016 and 2020 are estimates: precinct votes are split between districts by census block.
Counties only partly inside the district show the 2024 result for that part; estimates are labelled.
Margin chart: winner minus runner-up. Gaps are unopposed races; dashed lines are new district lines.
Sources
Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2016 (doi:10.7910/DVN/IG0UN2, CC0; via MEDSL/constituency-returns), and Clerk of the US House, Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election 2018-2024 (public domain).
Presidential results: PollCheck calculation from MIT Election Data and Science Lab 2024 precinct returns (doi:10.7910/DVN/XDJYKC, doi:10.7910/DVN/USBYR4, CC0; state totals doi:10.7910/DVN/42MVDX, CC0) and Voting and Election Science Team 2016 and 2020 precinct results and shapes (doi:10.7910/DVN/NH5S2I, doi:10.7910/DVN/K7760H, CC BY 4.0), with US Census Bureau 2020 block populations and block equivalency files (public domain). Official figures: Texas Legislative Council (2024 on the 2026 lines); Louisiana, New Jersey, California and Washington election offices (county totals). Certified results transcribed by Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): Maine 2024 by district: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine (revision 1382530995); Indiana county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana (revision 1382505975); Oregon county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon (revision 1382605746).
District lines: US Census Bureau TIGER/Line 2026 (120th Congress) and 2025 cartographic boundary files (119th Congress), public domain.
Members: unitedstates/congress-legislators (CC0).
Counties: US Census Bureau 2024 cartographic boundary file (public domain); 2024 county results summed from the same MEDSL precinct returns, with the official county totals above.
Demographics: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 (public domain).
2028 candidates: Federal Election Commission (public domain).
Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits