House districts / California
California's 15th congressional district
CA-15. Redrawn for 2026: the November 2026 election is on new lines. The new district is close to the 2024 one (under 2% of its area differs).
Fundraising
- Kevin Mullin Das of Oct 14, 2026Raised $987kSpent $847k · Cash $192k
3 other 2026 candidates filed reports (primary candidates). 3 other candidates have not filed.
Federal Election Commission, candidate totals, public domain.
President in this district
PollCheck calculation from precinct returns on the 2026 lines (method).
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Other | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris 72.2% | Trump 24.3% | 3.5% | D+47.9 |
| 2020 | Biden 77.7% | Trump 20.4% | 1.9% | D+57.4 |
| 2016 | Clinton 77.3% | Trump 17.9% | 4.8% | D+59.5 |
Who lives here
| Measure | This district | US |
|---|---|---|
| People | ||
| Population | 759,058 | |
| Adults (18+) | 609,967 | |
| Citizens, % of adults* | 81.9% | 92.1% |
| Age, % of adults | ||
| 18 to 29* | 17.4% | 20.3% |
| 30 to 44* | 28.5% | 25.9% |
| 45 to 64* | 32.8% | 31.8% |
| 65 and over* | 21.4% | 22.0% |
| Race and Hispanic origin, % of residents | ||
| White | 28.5% | 57.8% |
| Black | 2.5% | 12.1% |
| Hispanic | 26.5% | 18.7% |
| Asian | 35.8% | 5.9% |
| Other or more than one | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Education and income | ||
| Bachelor's degree or higher, % of 25+* | 49.2% | 35.7% |
| Median household income* | $149,789 | $80,734 |
* Estimated for the 2026 lines from census blocks (ACS 2020-2024). Population, adults and race: 2020 Census, counted on the 2026 lines. The tick marks the US figure.
Winning margin
Results since 1976
| Year | Winner | Share | Runner-up | Share | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 lines, elections 2022-2024: redrawn for 2026 seat count changed from 53 to 52 after the census | |||||
| 2024 | Kevin Mullin Democrat | 73.1% | Anna Cheng Kramer Republican | 26.9% | D+46.2 |
| 2022 | Kevin Mullin Democrat | 55.5% | David J. Canepa Democrat | 44.5% | D+10.9 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2012-2020 post-census redistricting | |||||
| 2020 | Eric Swalwell Democrat | 70.9% | Alison Hayden Republican | 29.1% | D+41.8 |
| 2018 | Eric Swalwell Democrat | 73.0% | Rudy L. Peters, Jr. Republican | 27.0% | D+45.9 |
| 2016 | Eric Swalwell Democrat | 73.8% | Danny R. Turner Republican | 26.2% | D+47.5 |
| 2014 | Eric Swalwell Democrat | 69.8% | Hugh Bussell Republican | 30.2% | D+39.6 |
| 2012 | Eric Swalwell Democrat | 52.1% | Fortney Pete Stark Democrat | 47.9% | D+4.2 |
| Earlier lines, elections 2002-2010 seat count changed from 52 to 53 after the census | |||||
| 2010 | Michael M. Honda Democrat | 67.6% | Scott Kirkland Republican | 32.4% | D+35.2 |
| 2008 | Michael M. Honda Democrat | 71.7% | Joyce Stoer Cordi Republican others 5.1% | 23.3% | D+48.4 |
| 2006 | Michael M. Honda Democrat | 72.3% | Raymond L. Chukwu Republican | 27.7% | D+44.7 |
| 2004 | Michael M. Honda Democrat | 72.0% | Raymond L. Chukwu Republican | 28.0% | D+44.1 |
| 2002 | Michael M. Honda Democrat | 65.8% | Linda Rae Hermann Republican others 3.2% | 31.0% | D+34.8 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1992-2000 seat count changed from 45 to 52 after the census | |||||
| 2000 | Mike Honda Democrat | 54.3% | Jim Cunneen Republican others 3.6% | 42.2% | D+12.1 |
| 1998 | Tom Campbell Republican | 60.5% | Dick Lane Democrat others 1.5% | 37.9% | R+22.6 |
| 1996 | Tom Campbell Republican | 58.5% | Dick Lane Democrat others 6.7% | 34.8% | R+23.7 |
| 1994 | Norman Y. Mineta Democrat | 59.9% | Robert Wick Republican | 40.1% | D+19.8 |
| 1992 | Norman Y. Mineta Democrat | 63.5% | Robert Wick Republican others 5.2% | 31.2% | D+32.3 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1982-1990 seat count changed from 43 to 45 after the census | |||||
| 1990 | Gary Condit Democrat | 66.2% | Cliff Burris Republican | 33.8% | D+32.4 |
| 1988 | Tony Coelho Democrat | 69.8% | Carol Harner Republican others 2.1% | 28.2% | D+41.6 |
| 1986 | Tony Coelho Democrat | 71.0% | Carol Harner Republican others 1.8% | 27.2% | D+43.9 |
| 1984 | Tony Coelho Democrat | 65.5% | Carol Harner Republican others 1.8% | 32.7% | D+32.8 |
| 1982 | Tony Coelho Democrat | 63.7% | Ed Bates Republican others 2.3% | 34.0% | D+29.7 |
| Earlier lines, elections 1976-1980 | |||||
| 1980 | Tony Coelho Democrat | 71.8% | Ron Schwartz Republican others 3.0% | 25.2% | D+46.6 |
| 1978 | Tony Coelho Democrat | 60.1% | Chris Patterakis Republican | 39.9% | D+20.2 |
| 1976 | B. F. Sisk Democrat | 72.2% | Carol Harner Republican | 27.8% | D+44.4 |
More on California
Other California districts
About these results
Shares count all candidate votes, including write-ins, with a candidate's votes on several party lines added together. Each result is on the lines in force at the time. Mid-decade redraws before 2016 may be unmarked.
President in this district: 2016 and 2020, and 2024 on the new lines, are estimates: precinct votes are split between districts by census block.
Counties only partly inside the district show the 2024 result for that part; estimates are labelled.
Margin chart: winner minus runner-up. Gaps are unopposed races; dashed lines are new district lines.
Who lives here (2026 lines) is estimated from Census survey figures split by population.
Sources
Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2016 (doi:10.7910/DVN/IG0UN2, CC0; via MEDSL/constituency-returns), and Clerk of the US House, Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election 2018-2024 (public domain).
Presidential results: PollCheck calculation from MIT Election Data and Science Lab 2024 precinct returns (doi:10.7910/DVN/XDJYKC, doi:10.7910/DVN/USBYR4, CC0; state totals doi:10.7910/DVN/42MVDX, CC0) and Voting and Election Science Team 2016 and 2020 precinct results and shapes (doi:10.7910/DVN/NH5S2I, doi:10.7910/DVN/K7760H, CC BY 4.0), with US Census Bureau 2020 block populations and block equivalency files (public domain). Official figures: Texas Legislative Council (2024 on the 2026 lines); Louisiana, New Jersey, California and Washington election offices (county totals). Certified results transcribed by Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): Maine 2024 by district: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine (revision 1382530995); Indiana county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana (revision 1382505975); Oregon county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon (revision 1382605746).
District lines: US Census Bureau TIGER/Line 2026 (120th Congress) and 2025 cartographic boundary files (119th Congress), public domain.
Members: unitedstates/congress-legislators (CC0).
Counties: US Census Bureau 2024 cartographic boundary file (public domain); 2024 county results summed from the same MEDSL precinct returns, with the official county totals above.
Demographics: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024; 2020 Census P.L. 94-171 (public domain).
2028 candidates: Federal Election Commission (public domain).
Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits